RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT has the edge over TLK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

TLK

Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk

49
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

TLK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TLK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT's PE is 20x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current9.5x$11.49—
Cheap12x$14.58+27%
Fair15x$18.56+62%
Expensive17x$20.71+80%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TLK has the edge over RDDT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

RDDT has the edge over TLK on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

TLK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect TLK's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TLK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$14.27
Downside-20%$9.24

Calculated from the latest close: $11.49 on Nov 12.

TLK trails RDDT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

TLK has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 39% for RDDT versus TLK down 4.7%.

TLK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.31Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.31Q3 2024: $1.26Q4 2024: $1.31Q1 2025: $1.30Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.21Q4 2025: $0.99Q1 2026: $0.90Q2 2026: $1.21
Q3 2023: $1.31Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.31Q3 2024: $1.26Q4 2024: $1.31Q1 2025: $1.30Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.21Q4 2025: $0.99Q1 2026: $0.90Q2 2026: $1.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.21-4.7%
Q1 2026$0.90-31%
Q4 2025$0.99-24%
Q3 2025$1.21-4%
Q2 2025$1.27-3.1%
Q1 2025$1.30-3%
Q4 2024$1.31-3.7%
Q3 2024$1.26-3.8%

TLK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.21 over the past year, against $1.70 in mid-2022.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over TLK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TLK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $4.2B
Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $4.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.2B+109%
Q1 2026$2B+1.5%
Q4 2025$2B-1.7%
Q3 2025$2B-0.9%
Q2 2025$2B-4%
Q1 2025$2B-2.1%
Q4 2024$2.1B-0.6%
Q3 2024$2B-2.2%

TLK's revenue has picked up after four years of holding roughly level: $4.2B last quarter, up 109% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over TLK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TLK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $501MQ4 2023: $381MQ1 2024: $569MQ2 2024: $386MQ3 2024: $554MQ4 2024: $446MQ1 2025: $641MQ2 2025: $554MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $675MQ2 2026: $664M
Q3 2023: $501MQ4 2023: $381MQ1 2024: $569MQ2 2024: $386MQ3 2024: $554MQ4 2024: $446MQ1 2025: $641MQ2 2025: $554MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $675MQ2 2026: $664M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$663.7M+20%
Q1 2026$674.9M+5.3%
Q4 2025$374.3M-16%
Q3 2025$562.1M+1.5%
Q2 2025$554M+44%
Q1 2025$641.2M+13%
Q4 2024$446.3M+17%
Q3 2024$553.8M+11%

TLK's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $2.3B over the past year, up 3.6% from the year before.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has the edge over TLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TLK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 991MQ4 2023: 991MQ1 2024: 991MQ2 2024: 991MQ3 2024: 991MQ4 2024: 991MQ1 2025: 991MQ2 2025: 991MQ3 2025: 991MQ4 2025: 991MQ1 2026: 990MQ2 2026: 988M
Q3 2023: 991MQ4 2023: 991MQ1 2024: 991MQ2 2024: 991MQ3 2024: 991MQ4 2024: 991MQ1 2025: 991MQ2 2025: 991MQ3 2025: 991MQ4 2025: 991MQ1 2026: 990MQ2 2026: 988M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1.4M shares
1 year-0.2%-2.4M shares
3 years-0.2%-2.4M shares
5 years-0.2%-2.4M shares
Available history-0.2%-2.4M shares

TLK has 988M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has the edge over TLK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TLK Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.6xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.3x
Q3 2023: 0.6xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 20240.6xVery low

TLK's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

TLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic21.4Neutral

TLK's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

TLK PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTLKSector medianRelative
PE9.5x16x42% below
PE %12625 pts below

TLK has the edge over RDDT on valuation relative to its sector.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

TLK has stronger trend alignment. RDDT is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus TLK above 0 of 5.

TLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.03.9% below
20 week MA$13.515% below
50 week MA$16.731% below
100 week MA$17.032% below
200 week MA$20.043% below

TLK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 43% below its 200-week average.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

TLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.4$23.6-17%
2021$23.6$28.8+22%
2022$28.8$24.0-17%
2023$24.0$25.8+7.2%
2024$25.8$16.6-36%
2025$16.6$21.2+28%
2026 YTD$21.2$11.5-46%

TLK has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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