TLK

Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk

49
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

TLK's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 26%, but its operating margin fell 5 points to 23%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

TLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TLK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current9.5x$11.49—
Cheap12x$14.58+27%
Fair15x$18.56+62%
Expensive17x$20.71+80%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TLK's PE is 9.5x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TLK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect TLK's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

TLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$14.27
Downside-20%$9.24

Calculated from the latest close: $11.49 on Nov 12.

TLK's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +24% against −20%.

TLK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.31Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.31Q3 2024: $1.26Q4 2024: $1.31Q1 2025: $1.30Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.21Q4 2025: $0.99Q1 2026: $0.90Q2 2026: $1.21
Q3 2023: $1.31Q4 2023: $1.36Q1 2024: $1.34Q2 2024: $1.31Q3 2024: $1.26Q4 2024: $1.31Q1 2025: $1.30Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.21Q4 2025: $0.99Q1 2026: $0.90Q2 2026: $1.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.21-4.7%
Q1 2026$0.90-31%
Q4 2025$0.99-24%
Q3 2025$1.21-4%
Q2 2025$1.27-3.1%
Q1 2025$1.30-3%
Q4 2024$1.31-3.7%
Q3 2024$1.26-3.8%

TLK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.21 over the past year, against $1.70 in mid-2022.

TLK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $4.2B
Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $4.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.2B+109%
Q1 2026$2B+1.5%
Q4 2025$2B-1.7%
Q3 2025$2B-0.9%
Q2 2025$2B-4%
Q1 2025$2B-2.1%
Q4 2024$2.1B-0.6%
Q3 2024$2B-2.2%

TLK's revenue has picked up after four years of holding roughly level: $4.2B last quarter, up 109% from the same quarter a year ago.

TLK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $501MQ4 2023: $381MQ1 2024: $569MQ2 2024: $386MQ3 2024: $554MQ4 2024: $446MQ1 2025: $641MQ2 2025: $554MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $675MQ2 2026: $664M
Q3 2023: $501MQ4 2023: $381MQ1 2024: $569MQ2 2024: $386MQ3 2024: $554MQ4 2024: $446MQ1 2025: $641MQ2 2025: $554MQ3 2025: $562MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $675MQ2 2026: $664M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$663.7M+20%
Q1 2026$674.9M+5.3%
Q4 2025$374.3M-16%
Q3 2025$562.1M+1.5%
Q2 2025$554M+44%
Q1 2025$641.2M+13%
Q4 2024$446.3M+17%
Q3 2024$553.8M+11%

TLK's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $2.3B over the past year, up 3.6% from the year before.

TLK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 991MQ4 2023: 991MQ1 2024: 991MQ2 2024: 991MQ3 2024: 991MQ4 2024: 991MQ1 2025: 991MQ2 2025: 991MQ3 2025: 991MQ4 2025: 991MQ1 2026: 990MQ2 2026: 988M
Q3 2023: 991MQ4 2023: 991MQ1 2024: 991MQ2 2024: 991MQ3 2024: 991MQ4 2024: 991MQ1 2025: 991MQ2 2025: 991MQ3 2025: 991MQ4 2025: 991MQ1 2026: 990MQ2 2026: 988M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-1.4M shares
1 year-0.2%-2.4M shares
3 years-0.2%-2.4M shares
5 years-0.2%-2.4M shares
Available history-0.2%-2.4M shares

TLK has 988M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TLK Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.6xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.3x
Q3 2023: 0.6xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 0.7xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 20240.6xVery low

TLK's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.7Neutral
Stochastic21.4Neutral

TLK's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

TLK PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTLKSector medianRelative
PE9.5x16x42% below
PE %12625 pts below

TLK is trading at 9.5x earnings, a 42% discount to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

TLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.03.9% below
20 week MA$13.515% below
50 week MA$16.731% below
100 week MA$17.032% below
200 week MA$20.043% below

TLK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 43% below its 200-week average.

TLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.4$23.6-17%
2021$23.6$28.8+22%
2022$28.8$24.0-17%
2023$24.0$25.8+7.2%
2024$25.8$16.6-36%
2025$16.6$21.2+28%
2026 YTD$21.2$11.5-46%

TLK has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 46% so far in 2026.

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