RDDT
Reddit, Inc.
RDDT offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TKO
TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
TKO has a slight edge over RDDT overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.
RDDT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
TKO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
TKO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
RDDT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $99.55 | — |
| Current | 20x | $99.55 | — |
| Cheap | 35x | $171 | +72% |
| Fair | 46x | $228 | +129% |
| Expensive | 53x | $262 | +163% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RDDT has the edge over TKO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TKO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 26x | $194 | — |
| Current | 52x | $194 | — |
| Cheap | 65x | $243 | +25% |
| Fair | 78x | $290 | +49% |
| Expensive | 88x | $325 | +68% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TKO's PE is in its cheap range at 52x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings.
RDDT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RDDT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
TKO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TKO, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDDT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.32 | +29% |
| Q3 2024 | -$7.98 | -$7.17 |
| Q2 2024 | -$8.19 | -$7.15 |
| Q1 2024 | -$8.38 | -$7.25 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.56 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2023 | -$0.81 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2023 | -$1.04 | -$0.48 |
| Q1 2023 | -$1.13 | -$0.48 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.97 | -$0.19 |
TKO has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 39% for RDDT versus TKO up 42%.
TKO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.51 | +102% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.71 | +42% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.85 | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.68 | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.25 | +11150% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.61 | +$3.26 |
| Q2 2025 | $2.42 | +$3.61 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.97 | +$3.21 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.02 | -98% |
TKO earned $3.71 per share over the past year, up 42% from the year before.
RDDT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $895M | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $804.9M | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $663.4M | +69% |
| Q4 2025 | $725.6M | +70% |
| Q3 2025 | $584.9M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $499.6M | +78% |
| Q1 2025 | $392.4M | +61% |
| Q4 2024 | $427.7M | +71% |
RDDT has the edge over TKO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 29% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | +27 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +25 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1% | +244 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +11 points |
RDDT has the edge over TKO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TKO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.6B | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +64% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +54% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3B | +101% |
| Q4 2024 | $642.2M | +4.6% |
TKO's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 28% | +12 points |
| Q2 2026 | 28% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 21% | +2.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.5% | -10 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | -4.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | -1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 19% | +52 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | +5.6 points |
TKO's operating margin was 28% last quarter, up 12 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RDDT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $362.6M | +98% |
| Q2 2026 | $260.7M | +135% |
| Q1 2026 | $311.2M | +146% |
| Q4 2025 | $263.6M | +196% |
| Q3 2025 | $183.1M | +161% |
| Q2 2025 | $110.8M | +308% |
| Q1 2025 | $126.6M | +333% |
| Q4 2024 | $89.2M | +$111.2M |
RDDT has the edge over TKO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TKO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $472.2M | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $373.9M | -5.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $694.5M | +327% |
| Q4 2025 | $309.9M | +445% |
| Q3 2025 | $416.8M | +76% |
| Q2 2025 | $396.2M | +72% |
| Q1 2025 | $162.8M | +174% |
| Q4 2024 | $56.8M | -74% |
TKO's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since early 2021: $1.9B over the past year, up 79% from the year before.
RDDT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -169K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -868K shares |
| 3 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
| 5 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
RDDT has 202M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $234.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $5M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | $4.2M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
TKO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.3% | -1.7M shares |
| 1 year | -63% | -125M shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -9M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -10.1M shares |
TKO has the edge over RDDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $156.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $129.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $838.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $40.7M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
TKO spent $1.2B buying back its own shares over the past year.
RDDT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -13.1x | Net Cash |
RDDT has the edge over TKO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
TKO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 3.3x | Elevated |
TKO's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
RDDT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.5 | Oversold |
RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
TKO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 56.1 | Neutral |
TKO's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).
RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | RDDT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 16x | 23% above |
| PE % | 5 | 23 | 18 pts below |
RDDT has the edge over TKO on valuation relative to its sector.
TKO PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | TKO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 52x | 16x | 217% above |
| PE % | 7 | 24 | 17 pts below |
TKO is trading at 52x earnings, a 217% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
RDDT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $130.6 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $151.7 | 34% below |
| 50 week MA | $165.0 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $167.1 | 40% below |
TKO has stronger trend alignment. RDDT is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus TKO above 3 of 4.
TKO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $181.3 | 7% above |
| 20 week MA | $185.4 | 4.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $195.0 | 0.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $181.5 | 6.9% above |
TKO's trend is mixed: it's above three of its four weekly moving averages, and 6.9% above its 100-week average.
RDDT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $46.0 | $173.5 | +277% |
| 2025 | $173.5 | $225.8 | +30% |
| 2026 YTD | $225.8 | $99.6 | -56% |
RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.
TKO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $98.1 | $81.6 | -17% |
| 2024 | $81.6 | $144.0 | +77% |
| 2025 | $144.0 | $217.4 | +51% |
| 2026 YTD | $217.4 | $194.1 | -11% |
TKO has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.