RDDT
Reddit, Inc.
RDDT has the edge over STGW overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
STGW
Stagwell Inc.
STGW's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
RDDT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
STGW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
STGW's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
RDDT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $99.55 | — |
| Current | 20x | $99.55 | — |
| Cheap | 35x | $171 | +72% |
| Fair | 46x | $228 | +129% |
| Expensive | 53x | $262 | +163% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RDDT has the edge over STGW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
STGW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 9.1x | $11.15 | — |
| Cheap | 38x | $1.52 | -86% |
| Fair | 92x | $3.68 | -67% |
| Expensive | 145x | $5.81 | -48% |
| Current | 279x | $11.15 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
STGW's PE is in its expensive range at 279x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.1x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
RDDT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
RDDT has the edge over STGW on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
STGW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for STGW, with profitability holding steady.
RDDT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.32 | +29% |
| Q3 2024 | -$7.98 | -$7.17 |
| Q2 2024 | -$8.19 | -$7.15 |
| Q1 2024 | -$8.38 | -$7.25 |
| Q4 2023 | -$0.56 | +$0.41 |
| Q3 2023 | -$0.81 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2023 | -$1.04 | -$0.48 |
| Q1 2023 | -$1.13 | -$0.48 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.97 | -$0.19 |
STGW has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 39% for RDDT versus STGW down 33%.
STGW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.22 | +2958% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.04 | -33% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.06 | +$0.06 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.07 | +$0.08 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.08 | +300% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.06 | +$0.07 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.00 | +$0.04 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.01 | +$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.02 | +$0.07 |
STGW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.04 over the past year, against $0.25 in late 2022.
RDDT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $895M | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $804.9M | +61% |
| Q1 2026 | $663.4M | +69% |
| Q4 2025 | $725.6M | +70% |
| Q3 2025 | $584.9M | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $499.6M | +78% |
| Q1 2025 | $392.4M | +61% |
| Q4 2024 | $427.7M | +71% |
RDDT has the edge over STGW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 29% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 29% | +15 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | +27 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +20 points |
| Q3 2025 | 24% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +25 points |
| Q1 2025 | 1% | +244 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +11 points |
RDDT has the edge over STGW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
STGW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $816M | +9.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $786.3M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $704.1M | +8% |
| Q4 2025 | $807.4M | +2.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $743M | +4.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $706.8M | +5.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $651.7M | -2.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $788.7M | +20% |
STGW's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $816M last quarter, up 9.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.9% | -2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5% | -1.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4% | -1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.2% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.3% | 0 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.8% | -1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.5% | +2.6 points |
STGW's operating margin was 5.9% last quarter, down 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RDDT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $362.6M | +98% |
| Q2 2026 | $260.7M | +135% |
| Q1 2026 | $311.2M | +146% |
| Q4 2025 | $263.6M | +196% |
| Q3 2025 | $183.1M | +161% |
| Q2 2025 | $110.8M | +308% |
| Q1 2025 | $126.6M | +333% |
| Q4 2024 | $89.2M | +$111.2M |
RDDT has the edge over STGW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
STGW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $82.8M | +$121.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $79.2M | -26% |
| Q1 2026 | -$37.2M | +$26.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $242.9M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | -$38.8M | -$34.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $107.1M | +$130.1M |
| Q1 2025 | -$63.9M | -$5.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $209.9M | +1.6% |
STGW generated $368M in free cash flow over the past year, up 72% from the year before.
RDDT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -169K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -868K shares |
| 3 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
| 5 years | +24% | +38.5M shares |
RDDT has 202M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $234.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $5M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | $4.2M |
| Q4 2022 | — |
STGW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.1% | +5.1M shares |
| 1 year | -3.3% | -8.6M shares |
| 3 years | +117% | +136M shares |
| 5 years | +233% | +176M shares |
| Available history | +263% | +182M shares |
STGW has the edge over RDDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $47.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $40.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $29.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $37.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $56.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $11.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $7M |
STGW spent $120M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 6.8% from the year before.
RDDT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -5.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -13.1x | Net Cash |
RDDT has the edge over STGW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
STGW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.2x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3x | High |
STGW's net debt is about 4.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.5 years a year ago.
RDDT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.5 | Oversold |
RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
STGW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 73.6 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 89.5 | Overbought |
STGW's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).
RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | RDDT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20x | 16x | 23% above |
| PE % | 5 | 23 | 18 pts below |
RDDT has the edge over STGW on valuation relative to its sector.
STGW PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | STGW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 279x | 16x | 1,590% above |
| PE % | 95 | 26 | 69 pts above |
STGW is trading at 279x earnings, a 1590% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
RDDT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $130.6 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $151.7 | 34% below |
| 50 week MA | $165.0 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $167.1 | 40% below |
STGW has stronger trend alignment. RDDT is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus STGW above 5 of 5.
STGW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.57 | 17% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.82 | 26% above |
| 50 week MA | $7.12 | 57% above |
| 100 week MA | $6.30 | 77% above |
| 200 week MA | $6.35 | 76% above |
STGW has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 76% above its 200-week average.
RDDT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $46.0 | $173.5 | +277% |
| 2025 | $173.5 | $225.8 | +30% |
| 2026 YTD | $225.8 | $99.6 | -56% |
RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.
STGW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.70 | $2.66 | -1.5% |
| 2021 | $2.66 | $8.98 | +238% |
| 2022 | $8.98 | $6.27 | -30% |
| 2023 | $6.27 | $6.63 | +5.7% |
| 2024 | $6.63 | $6.64 | +0.2% |
| 2025 | $6.64 | $4.98 | -25% |
| 2026 YTD | $4.98 | $11.2 | +124% |
STGW has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.