RAIL

FreightCar America, Inc.

47
Fundamentals32/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

RAIL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over RAIL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

RAIL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Healthy
Stable

RAIL's cash flow is currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

RAIL PE Valuation

RAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.2x next year's earnings.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT's PE is in its cheap range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

RAIL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RAIL to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.

RAIL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$8.84
Downside-39%$3.22

Calculated from the latest close: $5.32 on Nov 12.

RAIL trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RAIL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RAIL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.18Q1 2024: $-1.53Q2 2024: $-0.69Q3 2024: $-4.23Q4 2024: $-3.12Q1 2025: $-1.06Q2 2025: $-0.83Q3 2025: $2.51Q4 2025: $1.09Q1 2026: $0.72Q2 2026: $-0.56Q3 2026: $-0.33Forward: $0.65
Q4 2023: $-1.18Q1 2024: $-1.53Q2 2024: $-0.69Q3 2024: $-4.23Q4 2024: $-3.12Q1 2025: $-1.06Q2 2025: $-0.83Q3 2025: $2.51Q4 2025: $1.09Q1 2026: $0.72Q2 2026: $-0.56Q3 2026: $-0.33Forward: $0.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.65—
Q3 2026-$0.33-113%
Q2 2026-$0.56+$0.27
Q1 2026$0.72+$1.78
Q4 2025$1.09+$4.21
Q3 2025$2.51+$6.74
Q2 2025-$0.83-$0.14
Q1 2025-$1.06+$0.47
Q4 2024-$3.12-$1.94

RAIL has swung to a loss: it lost $0.33 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over RAIL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RAIL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $147MQ3 2024: $113MQ4 2024: $138MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: $161MQ4 2025: $126MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $113MQ3 2026: $76M
Q4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $147MQ3 2024: $113MQ4 2024: $138MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: $161MQ4 2025: $126MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $113MQ3 2026: $76M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$76.5M-52%
Q2 2026$113.1M-4.6%
Q1 2026$64.3M-33%
Q4 2025$125.6M-8.8%
Q3 2025$160.5M+42%
Q2 2025$118.6M-20%
Q1 2025$96.3M-40%
Q4 2024$137.7M+8.8%

RAIL's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $76M last quarter, down 52% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT has the edge over RAIL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RAIL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: −$26MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $25M
Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: −$26MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25M+1014%
Q2 2026$11.3M+43%
Q1 2026-$4.5M-136%
Q4 2025$8.8M+91%
Q3 2025$2.2M-61%
Q2 2025$7.9M-86%
Q1 2025$12.5M+$38.8M
Q4 2024$4.6M-83%

RAIL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $41M over the past year.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over RAIL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RAIL Total Shares

Q1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 35M
Q1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+10%+3.3M shares
1 year+5.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+37%+9.5M shares
5 years+184%+22.8M shares

RAIL has 35M diluted shares, up 5.4% from a year ago.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has the edge over RAIL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RAIL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 20251.0xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

RAIL's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from a year a year ago.

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has the edge over RAIL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

RAIL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic16.5Oversold

RAIL's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

RAIL PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricRAILSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

RAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RAIL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.533.8% below
20 week MA$6.8122% below
50 week MA$8.6338% below
100 week MA$8.6839% below
200 week MA$6.5419% below

RAIL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 19% below its 200-week average.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has the edge over RAIL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RAIL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.21$2.57+16%
2021$2.57$3.93+53%
2022$3.93$3.25-17%
2023$3.25$2.70-17%
2024$2.70$9.23+242%
2025$9.23$11.5+25%
2026 YTD$11.5$5.32-54%

RAIL is down 54% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT has the edge over RAIL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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