RAIL

FreightCar America, Inc.

47
Fundamentals32/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

RAIL lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

RAIL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Healthy
Stable

RAIL's cash flow is currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.

RAIL PE Valuation

RAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.2x next year's earnings.

RAIL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RAIL to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RAIL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+66%$8.84
Downside-39%$3.22

Calculated from the latest close: $5.32 on Nov 12.

RAIL's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +66% against −39%.

RAIL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.18Q1 2024: $-1.53Q2 2024: $-0.69Q3 2024: $-4.23Q4 2024: $-3.12Q1 2025: $-1.06Q2 2025: $-0.83Q3 2025: $2.51Q4 2025: $1.09Q1 2026: $0.72Q2 2026: $-0.56Q3 2026: $-0.33Forward: $0.65
Q4 2023: $-1.18Q1 2024: $-1.53Q2 2024: $-0.69Q3 2024: $-4.23Q4 2024: $-3.12Q1 2025: $-1.06Q2 2025: $-0.83Q3 2025: $2.51Q4 2025: $1.09Q1 2026: $0.72Q2 2026: $-0.56Q3 2026: $-0.33Forward: $0.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.65—
Q3 2026-$0.33-113%
Q2 2026-$0.56+$0.27
Q1 2026$0.72+$1.78
Q4 2025$1.09+$4.21
Q3 2025$2.51+$6.74
Q2 2025-$0.83-$0.14
Q1 2025-$1.06+$0.47
Q4 2024-$3.12-$1.94

RAIL has swung to a loss: it lost $0.33 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RAIL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $147MQ3 2024: $113MQ4 2024: $138MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: $161MQ4 2025: $126MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $113MQ3 2026: $76M
Q4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $147MQ3 2024: $113MQ4 2024: $138MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: $161MQ4 2025: $126MQ1 2026: $64MQ2 2026: $113MQ3 2026: $76M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$76.5M-52%
Q2 2026$113.1M-4.6%
Q1 2026$64.3M-33%
Q4 2025$125.6M-8.8%
Q3 2025$160.5M+42%
Q2 2025$118.6M-20%
Q1 2025$96.3M-40%
Q4 2024$137.7M+8.8%

RAIL's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $76M last quarter, down 52% from the same quarter a year ago.

RAIL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: −$26MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $25M
Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: −$26MQ2 2024: $56MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: $11MQ3 2026: $25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$25M+1014%
Q2 2026$11.3M+43%
Q1 2026-$4.5M-136%
Q4 2025$8.8M+91%
Q3 2025$2.2M-61%
Q2 2025$7.9M-86%
Q1 2025$12.5M+$38.8M
Q4 2024$4.6M-83%

RAIL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $41M over the past year.

RAIL Total Shares

Q1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 35M
Q1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 32MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+10%+3.3M shares
1 year+5.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+37%+9.5M shares
5 years+184%+22.8M shares

RAIL has 35M diluted shares, up 5.4% from a year ago.

RAIL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 20251.0xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

RAIL's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from a year a year ago.

RAIL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic16.5Oversold

RAIL's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

RAIL PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricRAILSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

RAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RAIL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.533.8% below
20 week MA$6.8122% below
50 week MA$8.6338% below
100 week MA$8.6839% below
200 week MA$6.5419% below

RAIL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 19% below its 200-week average.

RAIL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.21$2.57+16%
2021$2.57$3.93+53%
2022$3.93$3.25-17%
2023$3.25$2.70-17%
2024$2.70$9.23+242%
2025$9.23$11.5+25%
2026 YTD$11.5$5.32-54%

RAIL is down 54% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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