RAIL
FreightCar America, Inc.
RAIL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
RKLB has the edge over RAIL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
RAIL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
RAIL's cash flow is currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.
RKLB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RAIL PE Valuation
RAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.2x next year's earnings.
RKLB PE Valuation
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RAIL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RAIL to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RKLB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RAIL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.65 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.33 | -113% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.56 | +$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.72 | +$1.78 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.09 | +$4.21 |
| Q3 2025 | $2.51 | +$6.74 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.83 | -$0.14 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.47 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.12 | -$1.94 |
RAIL has the edge over RKLB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RKLB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.36 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.27 | +$0.19 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.39 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.46 | -$0.11 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.41 | -$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | $0.00 |
RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.
RAIL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $76.5M | -52% |
| Q2 2026 | $113.1M | -4.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $64.3M | -33% |
| Q4 2025 | $125.6M | -8.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $160.5M | +42% |
| Q2 2025 | $118.6M | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $96.3M | -40% |
| Q4 2024 | $137.7M | +8.8% |
RAIL's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $76M last quarter, down 52% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -4% | -13 points |
| Q2 2026 | -3.8% | -10 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9% | -4.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.2% | -2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.1% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.5% | -2.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.4% | +8.2 points |
RAIL has the edge over RKLB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RKLB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $267.8M | +73% |
| Q2 2026 | $234.1M | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.3M | +63% |
| Q4 2025 | $179.7M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $155.1M | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $144.5M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $122.6M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $132.4M | +121% |
RKLB has the edge over RAIL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -30% | +8.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -25% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | -28% | +20 points |
| Q4 2025 | -28% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | -38% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -41% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -48% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | +41 points |
RKLB's operating margin was −30% last quarter, up 8.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RAIL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M | +1014% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.3M | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.5M | -136% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.8M | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2M | -61% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.9M | -86% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.5M | +$38.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $4.6M | -83% |
RAIL has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RKLB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$23.9M | +$45.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$110.1M | -$54.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$77.4M | +$5.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$114.2M | -$90.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$69.4M | -$27.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$55.3M | -$26.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$82.9M | -$61.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$23.9M | +$28.7M |
RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.
RAIL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +10% | +3.3M shares |
| 1 year | +5.4% | +1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +37% | +9.5M shares |
| 5 years | +184% | +22.8M shares |
RAIL has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RKLB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.6% | +22.6M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +124M shares |
| 3 years | +35% | +168M shares |
| 5 years | +46% | +204M shares |
RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
RAIL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
RAIL's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from a year a year ago.
RKLB Net Leverage
RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RAIL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.5 | Oversold |
RAIL's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
RKLB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.6 | Neutral |
RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
RAIL PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | RAIL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
RAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RAIL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $5.53 | 3.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $6.81 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.63 | 38% below |
| 100 week MA | $8.68 | 39% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.54 | 19% below |
RAIL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 19% below its 200-week average.
RKLB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.4 | 4.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $68.1 | 5.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $77.6 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.5 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.4 | 104% above |
RKLB has the edge over RAIL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RAIL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.21 | $2.57 | +16% |
| 2021 | $2.57 | $3.93 | +53% |
| 2022 | $3.93 | $3.25 | -17% |
| 2023 | $3.25 | $2.70 | -17% |
| 2024 | $2.70 | $9.23 | +242% |
| 2025 | $9.23 | $11.5 | +25% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.5 | $5.32 | -54% |
RAIL is down 54% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.
RKLB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.82 | $10.3 | +4.9% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $12.0 | +17% |
| 2022 | $12.0 | $3.77 | -69% |
| 2023 | $3.77 | $5.53 | +47% |
| 2024 | $5.53 | $27.2 | +392% |
| 2025 | $27.2 | $70.7 | +160% |
| 2026 YTD | $70.7 | $64.1 | -9.3% |
RKLB has the edge over RAIL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.