RAIL
FreightCar America, Inc.
RAIL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over RAIL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
RAIL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
RAIL's cash flow is currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RAIL PE Valuation
RAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.2x next year's earnings.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RAIL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RAIL to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
RAIL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.65 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.33 | -113% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.56 | +$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.72 | +$1.78 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.09 | +$4.21 |
| Q3 2025 | $2.51 | +$6.74 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.83 | -$0.14 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.47 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.12 | -$1.94 |
RAIL has the edge over RDW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
RAIL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $76.5M | -52% |
| Q2 2026 | $113.1M | -4.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $64.3M | -33% |
| Q4 2025 | $125.6M | -8.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $160.5M | +42% |
| Q2 2025 | $118.6M | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $96.3M | -40% |
| Q4 2024 | $137.7M | +8.8% |
RAIL's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $76M last quarter, down 52% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -4% | -13 points |
| Q2 2026 | -3.8% | -10 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9% | -4.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.2% | -2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.1% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.5% | -2.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.4% | +8.2 points |
RAIL has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over RAIL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RAIL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M | +1014% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.3M | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.5M | -136% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.8M | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2M | -61% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.9M | -86% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.5M | +$38.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $4.6M | -83% |
RAIL has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
RAIL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +10% | +3.3M shares |
| 1 year | +5.4% | +1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +37% | +9.5M shares |
| 5 years | +184% | +22.8M shares |
RAIL has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
RAIL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
RAIL's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from a year a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RAIL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.5 | Oversold |
RAIL's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
RAIL PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | RAIL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
RAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RAIL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $5.53 | 3.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $6.81 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.63 | 38% below |
| 100 week MA | $8.68 | 39% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.54 | 19% below |
RAIL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 19% below its 200-week average.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
RAIL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.21 | $2.57 | +16% |
| 2021 | $2.57 | $3.93 | +53% |
| 2022 | $3.93 | $3.25 | -17% |
| 2023 | $3.25 | $2.70 | -17% |
| 2024 | $2.70 | $9.23 | +242% |
| 2025 | $9.23 | $11.5 | +25% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.5 | $5.32 | -54% |
RAIL is down 54% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over RAIL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.