QUAD

Quad/Graphics, Inc.

54
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

QUAD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has a slight edge over QUAD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

QUAD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable

QUAD's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

QUAD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.9x16x24x32x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.9x16x24x32x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward5.7x$7.54—
Cheap9.2x$4.86-36%
Fair14x$7.20-4.5%
Current14x$7.54—
Expensive16x$8.49+13%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QUAD's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 5.7x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QUAD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect QUAD's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over QUAD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

QUAD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$10.49
Downside-22%$5.85

Calculated from the latest close: $7.54 on Nov 12.

QUAD trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than QUAD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

QUAD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.14Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.18Q3 2024: $-1.64Q4 2024: $-1.07Q1 2025: $-0.36Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $0.43Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.56Q2 2026: $0.63Q3 2026: $0.53Forward: $1.32
Q4 2023: $-1.14Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.18Q3 2024: $-1.64Q4 2024: $-1.07Q1 2025: $-0.36Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $0.43Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.56Q2 2026: $0.63Q3 2026: $0.53Forward: $1.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.32+148%
Q3 2026$0.53+23%
Q2 2026$0.63+$0.93
Q1 2026$0.56+$0.92
Q4 2025$0.54+$1.61
Q3 2025$0.43+$2.07
Q2 2025-$0.30+$0.88
Q1 2025-$0.36+$0.88
Q4 2024-$1.07+$0.07

QUAD has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

QUAD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $788MQ1 2024: $655MQ2 2024: $634MQ3 2024: $675MQ4 2024: $708MQ1 2025: $629MQ2 2025: $572MQ3 2025: $588MQ4 2025: $631MQ1 2026: $581MQ2 2026: $578MQ3 2026: $587M
Q4 2023: $788MQ1 2024: $655MQ2 2024: $634MQ3 2024: $675MQ4 2024: $708MQ1 2025: $629MQ2 2025: $572MQ3 2025: $588MQ4 2025: $631MQ1 2026: $581MQ2 2026: $578MQ3 2026: $587M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$586.7M-0.2%
Q2 2026$577.5M+1%
Q1 2026$581M-7.7%
Q4 2025$630.6M-11%
Q3 2025$588M-13%
Q2 2025$571.9M-9.8%
Q1 2025$629.4M-3.9%
Q4 2024$708.4M-10%

QUAD's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $587M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over QUAD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QUAD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $95MQ1 2024: −$70MQ2 2024: −$12MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $147MQ1 2025: −$100MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: −$21MQ4 2025: $137MQ1 2026: −$107MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: −$34M
Q4 2023: $95MQ1 2024: −$70MQ2 2024: −$12MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $147MQ1 2025: −$100MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: −$21MQ4 2025: $137MQ1 2026: −$107MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: −$34M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$33.8M-$13.2M
Q2 2026$40.8M+19%
Q1 2026-$107M-$6.7M
Q4 2025$137.2M-6.9%
Q3 2025-$20.6M-$10.8M
Q2 2025$34.4M+$46.1M
Q1 2025-$100.3M-$30.2M
Q4 2024$147.3M+55%

QUAD has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

QUAD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+400K shares
1 year+1.4%+700K shares
3 years+5%+2.4M shares
5 years-5.1%-2.7M shares
Available history+0.8%+400K shares

QUAD has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

QUAD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20222.9xModerate
Q4 20212.5xModerate
Q3 20213.9xElevated
Q2 20214.0xElevated
Q1 20215.5xHigh
Q4 20206.4xHigh
Q3 20204.1xHigh
Q2 20204.9xHigh

QUAD's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.5 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

QUAD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic8.1Oversold

QUAD's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

QUAD PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricQUADSector medianRelative
PE14x24x41% below
PE %55583 pts below

QUAD is trading at 14x earnings, a 41% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QUAD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.6813% below
20 week MA$9.2118% below
50 week MA$7.843.8% below
100 week MA$6.909.3% above
200 week MA$5.9527% above

QUAD has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 27% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over QUAD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

QUAD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.41$3.52-20%
2021$3.52$3.97+13%
2022$3.97$3.71-6.5%
2023$3.71$5.42+46%
2024$5.42$7.05+30%
2025$7.05$6.37-9.6%
2026 YTD$6.37$7.54+18%

QUAD has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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