QUAD

Quad/Graphics, Inc.

54
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

QUAD's fundamentals are mixed: earnings per share grew 23%, but free cash flow fell 39%. At 14x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

QUAD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable

QUAD's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

QUAD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.9x16x24x32x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.9x16x24x32x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward5.7x$7.54—
Cheap9.2x$4.86-36%
Fair14x$7.20-4.5%
Current14x$7.54—
Expensive16x$8.49+13%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QUAD's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 5.7x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

QUAD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect QUAD's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

QUAD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$10.49
Downside-22%$5.85

Calculated from the latest close: $7.54 on Nov 12.

QUAD's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +39% against −22%.

QUAD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.14Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.18Q3 2024: $-1.64Q4 2024: $-1.07Q1 2025: $-0.36Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $0.43Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.56Q2 2026: $0.63Q3 2026: $0.53Forward: $1.32
Q4 2023: $-1.14Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.18Q3 2024: $-1.64Q4 2024: $-1.07Q1 2025: $-0.36Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $0.43Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.56Q2 2026: $0.63Q3 2026: $0.53Forward: $1.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.32+148%
Q3 2026$0.53+23%
Q2 2026$0.63+$0.93
Q1 2026$0.56+$0.92
Q4 2025$0.54+$1.61
Q3 2025$0.43+$2.07
Q2 2025-$0.30+$0.88
Q1 2025-$0.36+$0.88
Q4 2024-$1.07+$0.07

QUAD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.53 over the past year, against $0.71 in late 2021.

QUAD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $788MQ1 2024: $655MQ2 2024: $634MQ3 2024: $675MQ4 2024: $708MQ1 2025: $629MQ2 2025: $572MQ3 2025: $588MQ4 2025: $631MQ1 2026: $581MQ2 2026: $578MQ3 2026: $587M
Q4 2023: $788MQ1 2024: $655MQ2 2024: $634MQ3 2024: $675MQ4 2024: $708MQ1 2025: $629MQ2 2025: $572MQ3 2025: $588MQ4 2025: $631MQ1 2026: $581MQ2 2026: $578MQ3 2026: $587M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$586.7M-0.2%
Q2 2026$577.5M+1%
Q1 2026$581M-7.7%
Q4 2025$630.6M-11%
Q3 2025$588M-13%
Q2 2025$571.9M-9.8%
Q1 2025$629.4M-3.9%
Q4 2024$708.4M-10%

QUAD's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $587M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

QUAD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $95MQ1 2024: −$70MQ2 2024: −$12MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $147MQ1 2025: −$100MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: −$21MQ4 2025: $137MQ1 2026: −$107MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: −$34M
Q4 2023: $95MQ1 2024: −$70MQ2 2024: −$12MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $147MQ1 2025: −$100MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: −$21MQ4 2025: $137MQ1 2026: −$107MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: −$34M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$33.8M-$13.2M
Q2 2026$40.8M+19%
Q1 2026-$107M-$6.7M
Q4 2025$137.2M-6.9%
Q3 2025-$20.6M-$10.8M
Q2 2025$34.4M+$46.1M
Q1 2025-$100.3M-$30.2M
Q4 2024$147.3M+55%

QUAD usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$34M, but it generated $37M over the past year.

QUAD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+400K shares
1 year+1.4%+700K shares
3 years+5%+2.4M shares
5 years-5.1%-2.7M shares
Available history+0.8%+400K shares

QUAD has 50M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago, despite $9M in buybacks over the past year.

QUAD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20222.9xModerate
Q4 20212.5xModerate
Q3 20213.9xElevated
Q2 20214.0xElevated
Q1 20215.5xHigh
Q4 20206.4xHigh
Q3 20204.1xHigh
Q2 20204.9xHigh

QUAD's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.5 years a year ago.

QUAD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic8.1Oversold

QUAD's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

QUAD PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricQUADSector medianRelative
PE14x24x41% below
PE %55583 pts below

QUAD is trading at 14x earnings, a 41% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

QUAD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.6813% below
20 week MA$9.2118% below
50 week MA$7.843.8% below
100 week MA$6.909.3% above
200 week MA$5.9527% above

QUAD has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 27% above its 200-week average.

QUAD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.41$3.52-20%
2021$3.52$3.97+13%
2022$3.97$3.71-6.5%
2023$3.71$5.42+46%
2024$5.42$7.05+30%
2025$7.05$6.37-9.6%
2026 YTD$6.37$7.54+18%

QUAD has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 18% so far in 2026.

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