QUAD

Quad/Graphics, Inc.

54
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

QUAD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over QUAD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

QUAD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable

QUAD's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

QUAD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.9x16x24x32x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.9x16x24x32x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward5.7x$7.54—
Cheap9.2x$4.86-36%
Fair14x$7.20-4.5%
Current14x$7.54—
Expensive16x$8.49+13%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QUAD's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 5.7x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QUAD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect QUAD's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over QUAD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

QUAD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$10.49
Downside-22%$5.85

Calculated from the latest close: $7.54 on Nov 12.

QUAD trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than QUAD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

QUAD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.14Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.18Q3 2024: $-1.64Q4 2024: $-1.07Q1 2025: $-0.36Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $0.43Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.56Q2 2026: $0.63Q3 2026: $0.53Forward: $1.32
Q4 2023: $-1.14Q1 2024: $-1.24Q2 2024: $-1.18Q3 2024: $-1.64Q4 2024: $-1.07Q1 2025: $-0.36Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $0.43Q4 2025: $0.54Q1 2026: $0.56Q2 2026: $0.63Q3 2026: $0.53Forward: $1.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.32+148%
Q3 2026$0.53+23%
Q2 2026$0.63+$0.93
Q1 2026$0.56+$0.92
Q4 2025$0.54+$1.61
Q3 2025$0.43+$2.07
Q2 2025-$0.30+$0.88
Q1 2025-$0.36+$0.88
Q4 2024-$1.07+$0.07

QUAD has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

QUAD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $788MQ1 2024: $655MQ2 2024: $634MQ3 2024: $675MQ4 2024: $708MQ1 2025: $629MQ2 2025: $572MQ3 2025: $588MQ4 2025: $631MQ1 2026: $581MQ2 2026: $578MQ3 2026: $587M
Q4 2023: $788MQ1 2024: $655MQ2 2024: $634MQ3 2024: $675MQ4 2024: $708MQ1 2025: $629MQ2 2025: $572MQ3 2025: $588MQ4 2025: $631MQ1 2026: $581MQ2 2026: $578MQ3 2026: $587M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$586.7M-0.2%
Q2 2026$577.5M+1%
Q1 2026$581M-7.7%
Q4 2025$630.6M-11%
Q3 2025$588M-13%
Q2 2025$571.9M-9.8%
Q1 2025$629.4M-3.9%
Q4 2024$708.4M-10%

QUAD's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $587M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over QUAD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QUAD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $95MQ1 2024: −$70MQ2 2024: −$12MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $147MQ1 2025: −$100MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: −$21MQ4 2025: $137MQ1 2026: −$107MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: −$34M
Q4 2023: $95MQ1 2024: −$70MQ2 2024: −$12MQ3 2024: −$10MQ4 2024: $147MQ1 2025: −$100MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: −$21MQ4 2025: $137MQ1 2026: −$107MQ2 2026: $41MQ3 2026: −$34M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$33.8M-$13.2M
Q2 2026$40.8M+19%
Q1 2026-$107M-$6.7M
Q4 2025$137.2M-6.9%
Q3 2025-$20.6M-$10.8M
Q2 2025$34.4M+$46.1M
Q1 2025-$100.3M-$30.2M
Q4 2024$147.3M+55%

QUAD has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

QUAD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+400K shares
1 year+1.4%+700K shares
3 years+5%+2.4M shares
5 years-5.1%-2.7M shares
Available history+0.8%+400K shares

QUAD has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

QUAD Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20222.9xModerate
Q4 20212.5xModerate
Q3 20213.9xElevated
Q2 20214.0xElevated
Q1 20215.5xHigh
Q4 20206.4xHigh
Q3 20204.1xHigh
Q2 20204.9xHigh

QUAD's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.5 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

QUAD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic8.1Oversold

QUAD's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

QUAD PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricQUADSector medianRelative
PE14x24x41% below
PE %55583 pts below

QUAD is trading at 14x earnings, a 41% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QUAD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.6813% below
20 week MA$9.2118% below
50 week MA$7.843.8% below
100 week MA$6.909.3% above
200 week MA$5.9527% above

QUAD has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

QUAD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.41$3.52-20%
2021$3.52$3.97+13%
2022$3.97$3.71-6.5%
2023$3.71$5.42+46%
2024$5.42$7.05+30%
2025$7.05$6.37-9.6%
2026 YTD$6.37$7.54+18%

QUAD has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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