QFIN

Qfin Holdings, Inc.

27
Fundamentals31/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

QFIN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over QFIN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

QFIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

QFIN's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like QFIN.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

QFIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.1x9.1x12x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.1x9.1x12x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current0.7x$5.15—
Cheap2.6x$18.64+262%
Fair4.6x$32.73+535%
Expensive6.7x$47.38+820%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QFIN has the edge over SOFI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI's PE is in its cheap range at 28x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

QFIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect QFIN's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over QFIN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

QFIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$7.75
Downside-34%$3.41

Calculated from the latest close: $5.15 on Nov 12.

QFIN trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than QFIN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

QFIN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $3.33Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $4.19Q2 2024: $4.51Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $6.25Q1 2025: $7.03Q2 2025: $7.58Q3 2025: $7.41Q4 2025: $7.70Q1 2026: $7.96Q2 2026: $7.06
Q3 2023: $3.33Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $4.19Q2 2024: $4.51Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $6.25Q1 2025: $7.03Q2 2025: $7.58Q3 2025: $7.41Q4 2025: $7.70Q1 2026: $7.96Q2 2026: $7.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$7.06-6.9%
Q1 2026$7.96+13%
Q4 2025$7.70+23%
Q3 2025$7.41+41%
Q2 2025$7.58+68%
Q1 2025$7.03+68%
Q4 2024$6.25+59%
Q3 2024$5.25+58%

QFIN has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

QFIN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $642MQ4 2023: $675MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $624MQ3 2024: $656MQ4 2024: $673MQ1 2025: $609MQ2 2025: $650MQ3 2025: $781MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $587MQ2 2026: $534M
Q3 2023: $642MQ4 2023: $675MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $624MQ3 2024: $656MQ4 2024: $673MQ1 2025: $609MQ2 2025: $650MQ3 2025: $781MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $587MQ2 2026: $534M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$533.7M-18%
Q1 2026$586.7M-3.7%
Q4 2025$511.6M-24%
Q3 2025$781.2M+19%
Q2 2025$649.6M+4.1%
Q1 2025$609.2M-2.3%
Q4 2024$672.7M-0.3%
Q3 2024$655.8M+2.1%

QFIN's revenue is shrinking: $534M last quarter, down 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over QFIN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QFIN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $187MQ4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $294MQ3 2024: $356MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $375MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $163M
Q3 2023: $187MQ4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $294MQ3 2024: $356MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $375MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $163M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$162.8M-59%
Q1 2026$314.8M-25%
Q4 2025$0-100%
Q3 2025$375.4M+5.5%
Q2 2025$393.5M+34%
Q1 2025$421.1M+43%
Q4 2024$435M+28%
Q3 2024$355.9M+91%

QFIN has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

QFIN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 165MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 159MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 148MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 136MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 143MQ2 2026: 143M
Q3 2023: 165MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 159MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 148MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 136MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 143MQ2 2026: 143M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+4.9%+6.7M shares
3 years-14%-22.8M shares
5 years-11%-18.4M shares
Available history-4.6%-6.9M shares

QFIN has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

QFIN Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.7xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.8x
Q3 2023: -0.7xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.4xNet Cash

QFIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like QFIN.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over QFIN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

QFIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI24.0Oversold
Stochastic2.9Oversold

QFIN's weekly RSI is 24 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

QFIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricQFINSector medianRelative
PE0.7x13x94% below
PE %06363 pts below

QFIN has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

QFIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.8512% below
20 week MA$9.3445% below
50 week MA$13.060% below
100 week MA$24.579% below
200 week MA$22.377% below

QFIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 77% below its 200-week average.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has the edge over QFIN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

QFIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.41$10.8+15%
2021$10.8$22.0+103%
2022$22.0$19.3-12%
2023$19.3$15.8-18%
2024$15.8$38.2+141%
2025$38.2$20.0-48%
2026 YTD$20.0$5.15-74%

QFIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +141% in 2024 to −48% in 2025. It's down 74% so far in 2026.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI has the edge over QFIN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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