QFIN

Qfin Holdings, Inc.

27
Fundamentals31/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

QFIN's fundamentals are weak: its operating margin fell 18 points to 32% and revenue fell 6.7%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

QFIN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

QFIN's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like QFIN.

QFIN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.1x9.1x12x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.1x9.1x12x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current0.7x$5.15—
Cheap2.6x$18.64+262%
Fair4.6x$32.73+535%
Expensive6.7x$47.38+820%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QFIN's PE is 0.7x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

QFIN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect QFIN's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

QFIN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$7.75
Downside-34%$3.41

Calculated from the latest close: $5.15 on Nov 12.

QFIN's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +50% against −34%.

QFIN Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $3.33Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $4.19Q2 2024: $4.51Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $6.25Q1 2025: $7.03Q2 2025: $7.58Q3 2025: $7.41Q4 2025: $7.70Q1 2026: $7.96Q2 2026: $7.06
Q3 2023: $3.33Q4 2023: $3.93Q1 2024: $4.19Q2 2024: $4.51Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $6.25Q1 2025: $7.03Q2 2025: $7.58Q3 2025: $7.41Q4 2025: $7.70Q1 2026: $7.96Q2 2026: $7.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$7.06-6.9%
Q1 2026$7.96+13%
Q4 2025$7.70+23%
Q3 2025$7.41+41%
Q2 2025$7.58+68%
Q1 2025$7.03+68%
Q4 2024$6.25+59%
Q3 2024$5.25+58%

QFIN earned $7.06 per share over the past year, down 6.9% from the year before.

QFIN Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $642MQ4 2023: $675MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $624MQ3 2024: $656MQ4 2024: $673MQ1 2025: $609MQ2 2025: $650MQ3 2025: $781MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $587MQ2 2026: $534M
Q3 2023: $642MQ4 2023: $675MQ1 2024: $623MQ2 2024: $624MQ3 2024: $656MQ4 2024: $673MQ1 2025: $609MQ2 2025: $650MQ3 2025: $781MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $587MQ2 2026: $534M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$533.7M-18%
Q1 2026$586.7M-3.7%
Q4 2025$511.6M-24%
Q3 2025$781.2M+19%
Q2 2025$649.6M+4.1%
Q1 2025$609.2M-2.3%
Q4 2024$672.7M-0.3%
Q3 2024$655.8M+2.1%

QFIN's revenue is shrinking: $534M last quarter, down 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

QFIN Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $187MQ4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $294MQ3 2024: $356MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $375MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $163M
Q3 2023: $187MQ4 2023: $340MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $294MQ3 2024: $356MQ4 2024: $435MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $393MQ3 2025: $375MQ4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $315MQ2 2026: $163M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$162.8M-59%
Q1 2026$314.8M-25%
Q4 2025$0-100%
Q3 2025$375.4M+5.5%
Q2 2025$393.5M+34%
Q1 2025$421.1M+43%
Q4 2024$435M+28%
Q3 2024$355.9M+91%

QFIN's free cash flow was $853M over the past year, down 47% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like QFIN.

QFIN Total Shares

Q3 2023: 165MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 159MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 148MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 136MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 143MQ2 2026: 143M
Q3 2023: 165MQ4 2023: 162MQ1 2024: 159MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 148MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 136MQ3 2025: 133MQ4 2025: 131MQ1 2026: 143MQ2 2026: 143M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+4.9%+6.7M shares
3 years-14%-22.8M shares
5 years-11%-18.4M shares
Available history-4.6%-6.9M shares

QFIN has 143M diluted shares, up 4.9% from a year ago, despite $707M in buybacks over the past year.

QFIN Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.7xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.8x
Q3 2023: -0.7xQ4 2023: -0.5xQ1 2024: -0.6xQ2 2024: -0.7xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.5xQ2 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.4xNet Cash

QFIN has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like QFIN.

QFIN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI24.0Oversold
Stochastic2.9Oversold

QFIN's weekly RSI is 24 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

QFIN PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricQFINSector medianRelative
PE0.7x13x94% below
PE %06363 pts below

QFIN is trading at 0.7x earnings, a 94% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

QFIN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.8512% below
20 week MA$9.3445% below
50 week MA$13.060% below
100 week MA$24.579% below
200 week MA$22.377% below

QFIN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 77% below its 200-week average.

QFIN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.41$10.8+15%
2021$10.8$22.0+103%
2022$22.0$19.3-12%
2023$19.3$15.8-18%
2024$15.8$38.2+141%
2025$38.2$20.0-48%
2026 YTD$20.0$5.15-74%

QFIN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +141% in 2024 to −48% in 2025. It's down 74% so far in 2026.

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