PZZA

Papa John's International, Inc.

30
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential30/ 100
Risk potential50/ 100

PZZA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has the edge over PZZA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

PZZA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Weak

PZZA's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PZZA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1231x2461x3692x4923x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1231x2461x3692x4923x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$15.78-18%
Current25x$19.16—
Fair33x$25.26+32%
Expensive100x$75.77+295%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PZZA's PE is in its cheap range at 25x.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PZZA Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for PZZA to show an outlook.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PZZA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$23.25
Downside-50%$9.49

Calculated from the latest close: $19.16 on Nov 12.

PZZA trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PZZA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PZZA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.48Q1 2024: $2.27Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $2.89Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.28Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $0.90Q1 2026: $0.84Q2 2026: $0.80Q3 2026: $0.76
Q4 2023: $2.48Q1 2024: $2.27Q2 2024: $2.10Q3 2024: $2.89Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.37Q2 2025: $2.28Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $0.90Q1 2026: $0.84Q2 2026: $0.80Q3 2026: $0.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.76-33%
Q2 2026$0.80-65%
Q1 2026$0.84-65%
Q4 2025$0.90-65%
Q3 2025$1.14-61%
Q2 2025$2.28+8.6%
Q1 2025$2.37+4.4%
Q4 2024$2.54+2.4%

PZZA has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

PZZA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $571MQ1 2024: $514MQ2 2024: $508MQ3 2024: $507MQ4 2024: $531MQ1 2025: $518MQ2 2025: $529MQ3 2025: $508MQ4 2025: $498MQ1 2026: $479MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: $455M
Q4 2023: $571MQ1 2024: $514MQ2 2024: $508MQ3 2024: $507MQ4 2024: $531MQ1 2025: $518MQ2 2025: $529MQ3 2025: $508MQ4 2025: $498MQ1 2026: $479MQ2 2026: $482MQ3 2026: $455M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$454.8M-10%
Q2 2026$482.4M-8.8%
Q1 2026$478.6M-7.7%
Q4 2025$498.2M-6.1%
Q3 2025$508.2M+0.3%
Q2 2025$529.2M+4.2%
Q1 2025$518.3M+0.9%
Q4 2024$530.8M-7.1%

PZZA's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $455M last quarter, down 10% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over PZZA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PZZA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: $40MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.7M-57%
Q2 2026$15.7M-9.9%
Q1 2026-$6.2M-133%
Q4 2025$2.1M-92%
Q3 2025$22.7M+$26.5M
Q2 2025$17.4M+26%
Q1 2025$19.1M+$20.2M
Q4 2024$25.2M-38%

PZZA has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

PZZA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year+0.3%+86K shares
3 years+1%+329K shares
5 years-9.8%-3.6M shares
Available history+4.7%+1.5M shares

PZZA has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

PZZA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 4.1x
Q4 2023: 3.4xQ1 2024: 3.5xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.1xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 4.0xQ3 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.1xHigh
Q2 20264.0xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.8xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q2 20253.2xElevated
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20243.1xElevated

PZZA's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

PZZA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.4Neutral
Stochastic13.3Oversold

PZZA's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

PZZA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPZZASector medianRelative
PE25x18x40% above
PE %294718 pts below

PZZA is trading at 25x earnings, a 40% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PZZA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$19.20.2% below
20 week MA$23.819% below
50 week MA$30.838% below
100 week MA$37.248% below
200 week MA$51.463% below

PZZA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 63% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

PZZA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$64.5$87.5+36%
2021$87.5$132.6+51%
2022$132.6$84.0-37%
2023$84.0$76.2-9.2%
2024$76.2$39.5-48%
2025$39.5$39.3-0.5%
2026 YTD$39.3$19.2-51%

PZZA has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 51% so far in 2026.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over PZZA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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