PRG

PROG Holdings, Inc.

66
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

PRG has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

PRG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Stable

PRG's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PRG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.3x$37.67—
Cheap7.4x$27.47-27%
Fair10x$38.50+2.2%
Current10x$37.67—
Expensive14x$50.84+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PRG's PE is in its fair range at 10x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.3x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PRG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PRG, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PRG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$54.46
Downside-16%$31.47

Calculated from the latest close: $37.67 on Nov 12.

PRG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails PRG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PRG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.98Q1 2024: $2.47Q2 2024: $2.45Q3 2024: $3.63Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $4.87Q2 2025: $5.05Q3 2025: $3.93Q4 2025: $3.59Q1 2026: $3.65Q2 2026: $3.61Q3 2026: $3.70Forward: $5.15
Q4 2023: $2.98Q1 2024: $2.47Q2 2024: $2.45Q3 2024: $3.63Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $4.87Q2 2025: $5.05Q3 2025: $3.93Q4 2025: $3.59Q1 2026: $3.65Q2 2026: $3.61Q3 2026: $3.70Forward: $5.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.15+39%
Q3 2026$3.70-5.9%
Q2 2026$3.61-29%
Q1 2026$3.65-25%
Q4 2025$3.59-21%
Q3 2025$3.93+8.3%
Q2 2025$5.05+106%
Q1 2025$4.87+97%
Q4 2024$4.53+52%

PRG has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

PRG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $577MQ1 2024: $642MQ2 2024: $592MQ3 2024: $606MQ4 2024: $623MQ1 2025: $684MQ2 2025: $605MQ3 2025: $595MQ4 2025: $525MQ1 2026: $743MQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $726M
Q4 2023: $577MQ1 2024: $642MQ2 2024: $592MQ3 2024: $606MQ4 2024: $623MQ1 2025: $684MQ2 2025: $605MQ3 2025: $595MQ4 2025: $525MQ1 2026: $743MQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $726M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$725.8M+22%
Q2 2026$719.7M+19%
Q1 2026$742.7M+8.6%
Q4 2025$525.4M-16%
Q3 2025$595.1M-1.8%
Q2 2025$604.7M+2.1%
Q1 2025$684.1M+6.6%
Q4 2024$623.3M+8%

PRG's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $726M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over PRG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PRG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$91MQ1 2024: $134MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: −$87MQ1 2025: $208MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: −$57MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $103M
Q4 2023: −$91MQ1 2024: $134MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: −$87MQ1 2025: $208MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: −$57MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $103M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$103.4M-2.9%
Q2 2026$101.2M+49%
Q1 2026$168.6M-19%
Q4 2025-$57.5M+$29.3M
Q3 2025$106.5M+257%
Q2 2025$68M+27%
Q1 2025$208M+56%
Q4 2024-$86.8M+$4.2M

PRG has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

PRG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-184K shares
1 year+0.2%+69K shares
3 years-12%-5.6M shares
5 years-39%-25.8M shares
Available history-29%-16.2M shares

PRG has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

PRG Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.8x
Q4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.8xModerate
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.5xElevated
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20201.1xHealthy
Q1 20200.6xVery low
Q4 20190.9xVery low

PRG's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.1 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

PRG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.5Neutral
Stochastic57.6Neutral

PRG's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

PRG PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricPRGSector medianRelative
PE10x24x58% below
PE %475811 pts below

PRG is trading at 10x earnings, a 58% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PRG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$33.213% above
20 week MA$38.21.3% below
50 week MA$35.27% above
100 week MA$33.612% above
200 week MA$33.811% above

PRG has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

PRG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$56.3$54.0-4.1%
2021$54.0$45.0-17%
2022$45.0$17.2-62%
2023$17.2$30.9+80%
2024$30.9$42.2+36%
2025$42.2$30.5-28%
2026 YTD$30.5$37.7+24%

PRG has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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