PRG

PROG Holdings, Inc.

66
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

PRG's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 12% of its revenue into free cash flow, but earnings per share fell 5.9%. At 10x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

PRG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Stable

PRG's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable.

PRG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.3x$37.67—
Cheap7.4x$27.47-27%
Fair10x$38.50+2.2%
Current10x$37.67—
Expensive14x$50.84+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PRG's PE is in its fair range at 10x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.3x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

PRG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PRG, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PRG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$54.46
Downside-16%$31.47

Calculated from the latest close: $37.67 on Nov 12.

PRG's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +45% against −16%.

PRG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.98Q1 2024: $2.47Q2 2024: $2.45Q3 2024: $3.63Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $4.87Q2 2025: $5.05Q3 2025: $3.93Q4 2025: $3.59Q1 2026: $3.65Q2 2026: $3.61Q3 2026: $3.70Forward: $5.15
Q4 2023: $2.98Q1 2024: $2.47Q2 2024: $2.45Q3 2024: $3.63Q4 2024: $4.53Q1 2025: $4.87Q2 2025: $5.05Q3 2025: $3.93Q4 2025: $3.59Q1 2026: $3.65Q2 2026: $3.61Q3 2026: $3.70Forward: $5.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.15+39%
Q3 2026$3.70-5.9%
Q2 2026$3.61-29%
Q1 2026$3.65-25%
Q4 2025$3.59-21%
Q3 2025$3.93+8.3%
Q2 2025$5.05+106%
Q1 2025$4.87+97%
Q4 2024$4.53+52%

PRG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.70 over the past year, against $5.05 in mid-2025.

PRG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $577MQ1 2024: $642MQ2 2024: $592MQ3 2024: $606MQ4 2024: $623MQ1 2025: $684MQ2 2025: $605MQ3 2025: $595MQ4 2025: $525MQ1 2026: $743MQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $726M
Q4 2023: $577MQ1 2024: $642MQ2 2024: $592MQ3 2024: $606MQ4 2024: $623MQ1 2025: $684MQ2 2025: $605MQ3 2025: $595MQ4 2025: $525MQ1 2026: $743MQ2 2026: $720MQ3 2026: $726M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$725.8M+22%
Q2 2026$719.7M+19%
Q1 2026$742.7M+8.6%
Q4 2025$525.4M-16%
Q3 2025$595.1M-1.8%
Q2 2025$604.7M+2.1%
Q1 2025$684.1M+6.6%
Q4 2024$623.3M+8%

PRG's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $726M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

PRG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$91MQ1 2024: $134MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: −$87MQ1 2025: $208MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: −$57MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $103M
Q4 2023: −$91MQ1 2024: $134MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: −$87MQ1 2025: $208MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: −$57MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $103M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$103.4M-2.9%
Q2 2026$101.2M+49%
Q1 2026$168.6M-19%
Q4 2025-$57.5M+$29.3M
Q3 2025$106.5M+257%
Q2 2025$68M+27%
Q1 2025$208M+56%
Q4 2024-$86.8M+$4.2M

PRG generated $316M in free cash flow over the past year, up 6.8% from the year before.

PRG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 44MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-184K shares
1 year+0.2%+69K shares
3 years-12%-5.6M shares
5 years-39%-25.8M shares
Available history-29%-16.2M shares

PRG has 41M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

PRG Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.8x
Q4 2025: 1.2xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.8xModerate
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.5xElevated
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20201.1xHealthy
Q1 20200.6xVery low
Q4 20190.9xVery low

PRG's net debt is about 2.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.1 years a year ago.

PRG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.5Neutral
Stochastic57.6Neutral

PRG's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

PRG PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricPRGSector medianRelative
PE10x24x58% below
PE %475811 pts below

PRG is trading at 10x earnings, a 58% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

PRG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$33.213% above
20 week MA$38.21.3% below
50 week MA$35.27% above
100 week MA$33.612% above
200 week MA$33.811% above

PRG's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 11% above its 200-week average.

PRG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$56.3$54.0-4.1%
2021$54.0$45.0-17%
2022$45.0$17.2-62%
2023$17.2$30.9+80%
2024$30.9$42.2+36%
2025$42.2$30.5-28%
2026 YTD$30.5$37.7+24%

PRG has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 24% so far in 2026.

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