PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over YMM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

YMM

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.

59
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

YMM's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

YMM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

YMM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR's PE is in its cheap range at 120x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 75x next year's earnings.

YMM PE Valuation

YMM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

PLTR has the edge over YMM on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

YMM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for YMM, with profitability holding steady.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than YMM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

YMM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$10.74
Downside-21%$6.73

Calculated from the latest close: $8.49 on Nov 12.

YMM trails PLTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 240% for PLTR versus YMM up 60%.

YMM Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.04Q4 2023: $0.04Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.06Q4 2024: $0.06Q1 2025: $0.07Q2 2025: $0.08
Q3 2023: $0.04Q4 2023: $0.04Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.06Q4 2024: $0.06Q1 2025: $0.07Q2 2025: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2025$0.08+60%
Q1 2025$0.07+40%
Q4 2024$0.06+50%
Q3 2024$0.06+50%
Q2 2024$0.05+67%
Q1 2024$0.05+150%
Q4 2023$0.04+300%
Q3 2023$0.04+$0.06

YMM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.08 over the past year, up 60% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over YMM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

YMM Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $340MQ4 2023: $361MQ1 2024: $340MQ2 2024: $415MQ3 2024: $455MQ4 2024: $476MQ1 2025: $405MQ2 2025: $486MQ3 2025: $504MQ4 2025: $479MQ1 2026: $427MQ2 2026: $506M
Q3 2023: $340MQ4 2023: $361MQ1 2024: $340MQ2 2024: $415MQ3 2024: $455MQ4 2024: $476MQ1 2025: $405MQ2 2025: $486MQ3 2025: $504MQ4 2025: $479MQ1 2026: $427MQ2 2026: $506M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$506M+4.1%
Q1 2026$427.5M+5.5%
Q4 2025$479.1M+0.6%
Q3 2025$504M+11%
Q2 2025$486.1M+17%
Q1 2025$405.2M+19%
Q4 2024$476.4M+32%
Q3 2024$454.9M+34%

YMM's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $506M last quarter, up 4.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over YMM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

YMM Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $234MQ2 2026: $323M
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $234MQ2 2026: $323M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$322.7M+$322.7M
Q1 2026$234.4M+$234.4M
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

YMM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since late 2022: $557M over the past year, against $0 the year before.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

YMM Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.1BQ4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1BQ2 2025: 1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1B
Q3 2023: 1.1BQ4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1BQ2 2025: 1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-3.2M shares
1 year-0.7%-7M shares
3 years-2.5%-26.7M shares
5 years-5.2%-57.3M shares
Available history-5.2%-57.3M shares

YMM has the edge over PLTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has more cash than debt.

YMM Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -6.6xQ4 2023: -6.5xQ1 2024: -5.9xQ2 2024: -3.6xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.4x
Q3 2023: -6.6xQ4 2023: -6.5xQ1 2024: -5.9xQ2 2024: -3.6xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-2.3xNet Cash

YMM has the edge over PLTR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

YMM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic41.8Neutral

YMM's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

YMM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricYMMSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

YMM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR has the edge over YMM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

YMM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.490% above
20 week MA$8.692.3% below
50 week MA$9.066.3% below
100 week MA$10.519% below
200 week MA$9.025.9% below

YMM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 5.9% below its 200-week average.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR has the edge over YMM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

YMM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$19.7$8.30-58%
2022$8.30$8.14-1.9%
2023$8.14$7.01-14%
2024$7.01$11.0+56%
2025$11.0$11.2+1.8%
2026 YTD$11.2$8.49-24%

YMM has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 24% so far in 2026.

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