YMM

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.

59
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

YMM lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover.

YMM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

YMM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

YMM PE Valuation

YMM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

YMM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for YMM, with profitability holding steady.

YMM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$10.74
Downside-21%$6.73

Calculated from the latest close: $8.49 on Nov 12.

YMM's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +27% against −21%.

YMM Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.04Q4 2023: $0.04Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.06Q4 2024: $0.06Q1 2025: $0.07Q2 2025: $0.08
Q3 2023: $0.04Q4 2023: $0.04Q1 2024: $0.05Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.06Q4 2024: $0.06Q1 2025: $0.07Q2 2025: $0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2025$0.08+60%
Q1 2025$0.07+40%
Q4 2024$0.06+50%
Q3 2024$0.06+50%
Q2 2024$0.05+67%
Q1 2024$0.05+150%
Q4 2023$0.04+300%
Q3 2023$0.04+$0.06

YMM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.08 over the past year, up 60% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.

YMM Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $340MQ4 2023: $361MQ1 2024: $340MQ2 2024: $415MQ3 2024: $455MQ4 2024: $476MQ1 2025: $405MQ2 2025: $486MQ3 2025: $504MQ4 2025: $479MQ1 2026: $427MQ2 2026: $506M
Q3 2023: $340MQ4 2023: $361MQ1 2024: $340MQ2 2024: $415MQ3 2024: $455MQ4 2024: $476MQ1 2025: $405MQ2 2025: $486MQ3 2025: $504MQ4 2025: $479MQ1 2026: $427MQ2 2026: $506M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$506M+4.1%
Q1 2026$427.5M+5.5%
Q4 2025$479.1M+0.6%
Q3 2025$504M+11%
Q2 2025$486.1M+17%
Q1 2025$405.2M+19%
Q4 2024$476.4M+32%
Q3 2024$454.9M+34%

YMM's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $506M last quarter, up 4.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

YMM Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $234MQ2 2026: $323M
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $234MQ2 2026: $323M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$322.7M+$322.7M
Q1 2026$234.4M+$234.4M
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

YMM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since late 2022: $557M over the past year, against $0 the year before.

YMM Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.1BQ4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1BQ2 2025: 1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1B
Q3 2023: 1.1BQ4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1BQ2 2025: 1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-3.2M shares
1 year-0.7%-7M shares
3 years-2.5%-26.7M shares
5 years-5.2%-57.3M shares
Available history-5.2%-57.3M shares

YMM has 1B diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago.

YMM Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -6.6xQ4 2023: -6.5xQ1 2024: -5.9xQ2 2024: -3.6xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.4x
Q3 2023: -6.6xQ4 2023: -6.5xQ1 2024: -5.9xQ2 2024: -3.6xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.4xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -1.3xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-2.3xNet Cash

YMM has more cash than debt.

YMM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic41.8Neutral

YMM's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

YMM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricYMMSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

YMM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

YMM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.490% above
20 week MA$8.692.3% below
50 week MA$9.066.3% below
100 week MA$10.519% below
200 week MA$9.025.9% below

YMM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 5.9% below its 200-week average.

YMM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$19.7$8.30-58%
2022$8.30$8.14-1.9%
2023$8.14$7.01-14%
2024$7.01$11.0+56%
2025$11.0$11.2+1.8%
2026 YTD$11.2$8.49-24%

YMM has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 24% so far in 2026.

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