PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.
PLTR has the edge over VRRM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
VRRM
Verra Mobility Corporation
VRRM offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
PLTR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
VRRM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure |
VRRM's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.
PLTR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 75x | $172 | — |
| Current | 120x | $172 | — |
| Cheap | 165x | $236 | +37% |
| Fair | 251x | $359 | +109% |
| Expensive | 452x | $646 | +277% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PLTR has the edge over VRRM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
VRRM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 2.6x | $1.96 | — |
| Current | 8.2x | $1.96 | — |
| Cheap | 31x | $7.49 | +282% |
| Fair | 46x | $11.05 | +464% |
| Expensive | 111x | $26.65 | +1260% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VRRM's PE is in its cheap range at 8.2x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 2.6x.
PLTR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
PLTR has the edge over VRRM on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
VRRM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong decline | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect VRRM's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PLTR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.30 | +61% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.43 | +240% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.17 | +290% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.89 | +287% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.63 | +232% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.42 | +110% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.30 | +76% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.23 | +92% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.19 | +111% |
PLTR has the edge over VRRM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
VRRM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.75 | +214% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.24 | -29% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.26 | 0% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.82 | +273% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.85 | +347% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.34 | -43% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.26 | -54% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.22 | -56% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.19 | -47% |
VRRM earned $0.24 per share over the past year, down 29% from the year before.
PLTR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.3B | +96% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | +93% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.6B | +85% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | +70% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +63% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | +48% |
| Q1 2025 | $883.9M | +39% |
| Q4 2024 | $827.5M | +36% |
PLTR has the edge over VRRM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 47% | +14 points |
| Q2 2026 | 47% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +26 points |
| Q4 2025 | 41% | +40 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +18 points |
| Q2 2025 | 27% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +7.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3% | -9.5 points |
PLTR's operating margin was 47% last quarter, up 14 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
VRRM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28.3M | -21% |
| Q2 2026 | $25.8M | -22% |
| Q1 2026 | $27.3M | -13% |
| Q4 2025 | $32.7M | +0.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $35.7M | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $33.2M | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $31.4M | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $32.4M | +17% |
VRRM's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $28M last quarter, down 21% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 232% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -127% | -318 points |
| Q1 2026 | 190% | +7.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 132% | +266 points |
| Q3 2025 | 210% | -16 points |
| Q2 2025 | 191% | -21 points |
| Q1 2025 | 182% | -24 points |
| Q4 2024 | -134% | -218 points |
VRRM has the edge over PLTR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PLTR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +139% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +126% |
| Q1 2026 | $891.8M | +193% |
| Q4 2025 | $764M | +67% |
| Q3 2025 | $500.9M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $531.6M | +276% |
| Q1 2025 | $304.1M | +140% |
| Q4 2024 | $457.2M | +54% |
PLTR has the edge over VRRM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
VRRM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $89.4M | +83% |
| Q2 2026 | $32.6M | -19% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.6M | -77% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.7M | -73% |
| Q3 2025 | $49M | -42% |
| Q2 2025 | $40.3M | +55% |
| Q1 2025 | $41.7M | +108% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.6M | +12% |
VRRM still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $137M over the past year.
PLTR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +5.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +2.9M shares |
| 3 years | +11% | +248M shares |
| 5 years | +31% | +610M shares |
| Available history | +184% | +1.7B shares |
PLTR has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $19.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $19.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $18.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $18M |
| Q4 2024 | $18.6M |
| Q3 2024 | $18.9M |
| Q2 2024 | $17.7M |
| Q1 2024 | $9M |
VRRM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +175K shares |
| 1 year | -6% | -9.7M shares |
| 3 years | -10% | -17.4M shares |
| 5 years | -8% | -13.3M shares |
| Available history | -7.5% | -12.3M shares |
VRRM has the edge over PLTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $50.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $133.4M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $148.5M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
VRRM spent $185M buying back its own shares over the past year.
PLTR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
PLTR has the edge over VRRM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
VRRM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.9x | Elevated |
VRRM's net debt is about 3.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.1 years a year ago.
PLTR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 47.4 | Neutral |
PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).
VRRM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 18.4 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 2.7 | Oversold |
VRRM's weekly RSI is 18 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).
PLTR PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PLTR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 120x | 28x | 331% above |
| PE % | 1 | 38 | 37 pts below |
PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
VRRM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | VRRM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.2x | 28x | 71% below |
| PE % | 3 | 35 | 32 pts below |
VRRM has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.
PLTR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $185.8 | 7.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $167.6 | 2.4% above |
| 50 week MA | $157.1 | 9.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $143.8 | 19% above |
| 200 week MA | $83.3 | 106% above |
PLTR has the edge over VRRM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
VRRM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.74 | 28% below |
| 20 week MA | $3.67 | 47% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.8 | 82% below |
| 100 week MA | $17.3 | 89% below |
| 200 week MA | $19.7 | 90% below |
VRRM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.
PLTR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.20 | $27.8 | +202% |
| 2021 | $27.8 | $18.9 | -32% |
| 2022 | $18.9 | $6.29 | -67% |
| 2023 | $6.29 | $17.2 | +173% |
| 2024 | $17.2 | $79.1 | +361% |
| 2025 | $79.1 | $188.7 | +139% |
| 2026 YTD | $188.7 | $171.6 | -9.1% |
PLTR has the edge over VRRM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
VRRM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.0 | $13.5 | -3.6% |
| 2021 | $13.5 | $15.2 | +12% |
| 2022 | $15.2 | $13.5 | -11% |
| 2023 | $13.5 | $23.0 | +71% |
| 2024 | $23.0 | $24.1 | +4.6% |
| 2025 | $24.1 | $22.5 | -6.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $22.5 | $1.96 | -91% |
VRRM has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 91% so far in 2026.