PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over TOST overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

TOST

Toast, Inc.

76
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation68/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

TOST has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

TOST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

TOST's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR's PE is in its cheap range at 120x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 75x next year's earnings.

TOST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE335x669x1004x1338x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE335x669x1004x1338x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$33.52—
Current36x$33.52—
Cheap40x$37.16+11%
Fair72x$67.15+100%
Expensive162x$151+351%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TOST has the edge over PLTR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PLTR, with profitability improving.

TOST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TOST, with profitability improving.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TOST, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TOST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$50.64
Downside-18%$27.41

Calculated from the latest close: $33.52 on Nov 12.

TOST trails PLTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.43 over the past year, about three times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2021.

TOST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.47Q1 2024: $-0.46Q2 2024: $-0.25Q3 2024: $-0.09Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $0.27Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.47Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.80Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $1.67
Q4 2023: $-0.47Q1 2024: $-0.46Q2 2024: $-0.25Q3 2024: $-0.09Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $0.27Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.47Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.80Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $1.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.67+79%
Q3 2026$0.93+98%
Q2 2026$0.80+111%
Q1 2026$0.67+148%
Q4 2025$0.56+1767%
Q3 2025$0.47+$0.56
Q2 2025$0.38+$0.63
Q1 2025$0.27+$0.73
Q4 2024$0.03+$0.50

TOST's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.93 over the past year, up 98% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over TOST on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TOST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+21%
Q2 2026$1.9B+23%
Q1 2026$1.6B+22%
Q4 2025$1.6B+22%
Q3 2025$1.6B+25%
Q2 2025$1.6B+25%
Q1 2025$1.3B+24%
Q4 2024$1.3B+29%

TOST's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $2B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over TOST on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TOST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: $108MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $134MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $208MQ3 2025: $153MQ4 2025: $178MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $130MQ3 2026: $181M
Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: $108MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $134MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $208MQ3 2025: $153MQ4 2025: $178MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $130MQ3 2026: $181M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$181M+18%
Q2 2026$130M-38%
Q1 2026$115M+67%
Q4 2025$178M+33%
Q3 2025$153M+58%
Q2 2025$208M+93%
Q1 2025$69M+$102M
Q4 2024$134M+148%

TOST generated $604M in free cash flow over the past year, up 7.1% from the year before.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TOST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 547MQ2 2024: 587MQ3 2024: 590MQ4 2024: 591MQ1 2025: 603MQ2 2025: 605MQ3 2025: 609MQ4 2025: 607MQ1 2026: 602MQ2 2026: 590MQ3 2026: 592M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 547MQ2 2024: 587MQ3 2024: 590MQ4 2024: 591MQ1 2025: 603MQ2 2025: 605MQ3 2025: 609MQ4 2025: 607MQ1 2026: 602MQ2 2026: 590MQ3 2026: 592M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2M shares
1 year-2.8%-17M shares
3 years+10%+55.5M shares
5 years+147%+353M shares
Available history+28%+131M shares

TOST has the edge over PLTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has more cash than debt.

TOST Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -14.8xQ1 2025: -6.0xQ2 2025: -4.8xQ3 2025: -4.6xQ4 2025: -3.8xQ1 2026: -2.7xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.1x
Q4 2024: -14.8xQ1 2025: -6.0xQ2 2025: -4.8xQ3 2025: -4.6xQ4 2025: -3.8xQ1 2026: -2.7xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-6.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-14.8xNet Cash

TOST has the edge over PLTR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

TOST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.7Neutral
Stochastic54.0Neutral

TOST's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

TOST PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTOSTSector medianRelative
PE36x28x29% above
PE %24543 pts below

TOST has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 106% above its 200-week average.

TOST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.04.8% above
20 week MA$32.14.4% above
50 week MA$30.211% above
100 week MA$34.83.6% below
200 week MA$28.717% above

TOST's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 200-week average.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +361% in 2024 to −67% in 2022. It's down 9.1% so far in 2026.

TOST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$55.8$39.6-29%
2022$39.6$17.6-56%
2023$17.6$18.3+3.6%
2024$18.3$37.5+105%
2025$37.5$36.4-2.8%
2026 YTD$36.4$33.5-8%

TOST has the edge over PLTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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