TOST

Toast, Inc.

76
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation68/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

TOST's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 36x earnings, about half its usual 72x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

TOST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

TOST's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TOST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE335x669x1004x1338x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE335x669x1004x1338x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$33.52—
Current36x$33.52—
Cheap40x$37.16+11%
Fair72x$67.15+100%
Expensive162x$151+351%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TOST's PE is in its cheap range at 36x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings.

TOST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TOST, with profitability improving.

TOST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$50.64
Downside-18%$27.41

Calculated from the latest close: $33.52 on Nov 12.

TOST's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +51% against −18%.

TOST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.47Q1 2024: $-0.46Q2 2024: $-0.25Q3 2024: $-0.09Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $0.27Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.47Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.80Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $1.67
Q4 2023: $-0.47Q1 2024: $-0.46Q2 2024: $-0.25Q3 2024: $-0.09Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $0.27Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $0.47Q4 2025: $0.56Q1 2026: $0.67Q2 2026: $0.80Q3 2026: $0.93Forward: $1.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.67+79%
Q3 2026$0.93+98%
Q2 2026$0.80+111%
Q1 2026$0.67+148%
Q4 2025$0.56+1767%
Q3 2025$0.47+$0.56
Q2 2025$0.38+$0.63
Q1 2025$0.27+$0.73
Q4 2024$0.03+$0.50

TOST's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.93 over the past year, up 98% from the year before, and higher year over year for 12 quarters in a row.

TOST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+21%
Q2 2026$1.9B+23%
Q1 2026$1.6B+22%
Q4 2025$1.6B+22%
Q3 2025$1.6B+25%
Q2 2025$1.6B+25%
Q1 2025$1.3B+24%
Q4 2024$1.3B+29%

TOST's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $2B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

TOST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: $108MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $134MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $208MQ3 2025: $153MQ4 2025: $178MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $130MQ3 2026: $181M
Q4 2023: $54MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: $108MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $134MQ1 2025: $69MQ2 2025: $208MQ3 2025: $153MQ4 2025: $178MQ1 2026: $115MQ2 2026: $130MQ3 2026: $181M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$181M+18%
Q2 2026$130M-38%
Q1 2026$115M+67%
Q4 2025$178M+33%
Q3 2025$153M+58%
Q2 2025$208M+93%
Q1 2025$69M+$102M
Q4 2024$134M+148%

TOST generated $604M in free cash flow over the past year, up 7.1% from the year before.

TOST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 547MQ2 2024: 587MQ3 2024: 590MQ4 2024: 591MQ1 2025: 603MQ2 2025: 605MQ3 2025: 609MQ4 2025: 607MQ1 2026: 602MQ2 2026: 590MQ3 2026: 592M
Q4 2023: 533MQ1 2024: 547MQ2 2024: 587MQ3 2024: 590MQ4 2024: 591MQ1 2025: 603MQ2 2025: 605MQ3 2025: 609MQ4 2025: 607MQ1 2026: 602MQ2 2026: 590MQ3 2026: 592M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2M shares
1 year-2.8%-17M shares
3 years+10%+55.5M shares
5 years+147%+353M shares
Available history+28%+131M shares

TOST has 592M diluted shares, down 2.8% from a year ago, with $539M in buybacks over the past year.

TOST Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -14.8xQ1 2025: -6.0xQ2 2025: -4.8xQ3 2025: -4.6xQ4 2025: -3.8xQ1 2026: -2.7xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.1x
Q4 2024: -14.8xQ1 2025: -6.0xQ2 2025: -4.8xQ3 2025: -4.6xQ4 2025: -3.8xQ1 2026: -2.7xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-6.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-14.8xNet Cash

TOST has more cash than debt.

TOST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.7Neutral
Stochastic54.0Neutral

TOST's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).

TOST PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTOSTSector medianRelative
PE36x28x29% above
PE %24543 pts below

TOST is trading at 36x earnings, a 29% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

TOST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$32.04.8% above
20 week MA$32.14.4% above
50 week MA$30.211% above
100 week MA$34.83.6% below
200 week MA$28.717% above

TOST's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 200-week average.

TOST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$55.8$39.6-29%
2022$39.6$17.6-56%
2023$17.6$18.3+3.6%
2024$18.3$37.5+105%
2025$37.5$36.4-2.8%
2026 YTD$36.4$33.5-8%

TOST's yearly returns have swung widely, from +105% in 2024 to −56% in 2022. It's down 8% so far in 2026.

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