PLGO

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limit

58
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential36/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

PLGO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over PLGO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

PLGO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PLGO's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PLGO.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

PLGO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.5x9.0x14x18x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.5x9.0x14x18x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.9x$20.62-28%
Fair6.8x$23.72-18%
Forward7.6x$28.83—
Current8.3x$28.83—
Expensive10x$34.97+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLGO's PE is in its fair range at 8.3x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.6x next year's earnings.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over PLGO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PLGO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PLGO, but weaker profitability.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over PLGO on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

PLGO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$32.54
Downside-23%$22.12

Calculated from the latest close: $28.83 on Nov 12.

PLGO trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PLGO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PLGO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $18.65Q4 2024: $0.98Q1 2025: $-0.09Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $2.11Q1 2026: $3.64Q2 2026: $3.98Q3 2026: $3.48Forward: $3.77
Q4 2023: $18.65Q4 2024: $0.98Q1 2025: $-0.09Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $2.11Q1 2026: $3.64Q2 2026: $3.98Q3 2026: $3.48Forward: $3.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.77+8.3%
Q3 2026$3.48+$3.49
Q2 2026$3.98+$4.35
Q1 2026$3.64+$3.73
Q4 2025$2.11+115%
Q4 2024$0.98-95%

PLGO has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.

PLGO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $520MQ2 2024: $540MQ3 2024: $686MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $658MQ2 2025: $589MQ3 2025: $652MQ4 2025: $601MQ1 2026: $611MQ2 2026: $650MQ3 2026: $801M
Q4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $520MQ2 2024: $540MQ3 2024: $686MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $658MQ2 2025: $589MQ3 2025: $652MQ4 2025: $601MQ1 2026: $611MQ2 2026: $650MQ3 2026: $801M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$800.9M+23%
Q2 2026$650M+10%
Q1 2026$610.6M-7.3%
Q4 2025$600.9M-11%
Q3 2025$651.9M-5%
Q2 2025$589.3M+9.1%
Q1 2025$658.4M+27%
Q4 2024$673.8M-81%

PLGO's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $801M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over PLGO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PLGO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $489MQ1 2024: −$36MQ2 2024: $207MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: −$433MQ2 2025: −$359MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $274MQ2 2026: −$27MQ3 2026: $134M
Q4 2023: $489MQ1 2024: −$36MQ2 2024: $207MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: −$433MQ2 2025: −$359MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $274MQ2 2026: −$27MQ3 2026: $134M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$133.7M-14%
Q2 2026-$26.7M+$332.6M
Q1 2026$273.6M+$707M
Q4 2025$228.6M+82%
Q3 2025$154.6M-51%
Q2 2025-$359.3M-274%
Q1 2025-$433.4M-$397.8M
Q4 2024$125.4M-74%

PLGO has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

PLGO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 114MQ1 2024: 118MQ2 2024: 118MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 116MQ1 2025: 112MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 105MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 83M
Q4 2023: 114MQ1 2024: 118MQ2 2024: 118MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 116MQ1 2025: 112MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 105MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 83M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.5%-2.1M shares
1 year-21%-22M shares
3 years-29%-33.5M shares

PLGO has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

PLGO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ4 2024: -2.0xQ1 2025: -30.9xQ3 2025: -3.7xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ4 2024: -2.0xQ1 2025: -30.9xQ3 2025: -3.7xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-30.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.1xNet Cash

PLGO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PLGO.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has the edge over PLGO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PLGO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI74.5Overbought
Stochastic91.0Overbought

PLGO's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 91 (overbought).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

PLGO PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPLGOSector medianRelative
PE8.3x13x36% below
PE %644618 pts above

PLGO has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

PLGO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.812% above
20 week MA$25.314% above
50 week MA$22.230% above
100 week MA$19.548% above

PLGO has stronger trend alignment. PLGO is above 4 of 4 weekly averages versus SOFI above 1 of 5.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

PLGO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$13.7$12.7-7.3%
2024$12.7$17.6+39%
2025$17.6$19.5+11%
2026 YTD$19.5$28.8+48%

PLGO has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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