PLGO

Pelagos Insurance Capital Limit

58
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential36/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

PLGO's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin went from −0.3% to 14% and it returned to profit. At 8.3x earnings, it's trading above its usual 6.8x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

PLGO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PLGO's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PLGO.

PLGO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.5x9.0x14x18x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.5x9.0x14x18x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.9x$20.62-28%
Fair6.8x$23.72-18%
Forward7.7x$28.83—
Current8.3x$28.83—
Expensive10x$34.97+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLGO's PE is in its fair range at 8.3x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.7x next year's earnings.

PLGO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PLGO, but weaker profitability.

PLGO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$32.54
Downside-23%$22.12

Calculated from the latest close: $28.83 on Nov 12.

PLGO's one-year downside scenario is about twice its upside: −23% against +13%.

PLGO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $18.65Q4 2024: $0.98Q1 2025: $-0.09Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $2.11Q1 2026: $3.64Q2 2026: $3.98Q3 2026: $3.48Forward: $3.76
Q4 2023: $18.65Q4 2024: $0.98Q1 2025: $-0.09Q2 2025: $-0.37Q3 2025: $-0.01Q4 2025: $2.11Q1 2026: $3.64Q2 2026: $3.98Q3 2026: $3.48Forward: $3.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.76+8.2%
Q3 2026$3.48+$3.49
Q2 2026$3.98+$4.35
Q1 2026$3.64+$3.73
Q4 2025$2.11+115%
Q4 2024$0.98-95%

PLGO has returned to profit: it earned $3.48 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

PLGO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $520MQ2 2024: $540MQ3 2024: $686MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $658MQ2 2025: $589MQ3 2025: $652MQ4 2025: $601MQ1 2026: $611MQ2 2026: $650MQ3 2026: $801M
Q4 2023: $3.6BQ1 2024: $520MQ2 2024: $540MQ3 2024: $686MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $658MQ2 2025: $589MQ3 2025: $652MQ4 2025: $601MQ1 2026: $611MQ2 2026: $650MQ3 2026: $801M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$800.9M+23%
Q2 2026$650M+10%
Q1 2026$610.6M-7.3%
Q4 2025$600.9M-11%
Q3 2025$651.9M-5%
Q2 2025$589.3M+9.1%
Q1 2025$658.4M+27%
Q4 2024$673.8M-81%

PLGO's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $801M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLGO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $489MQ1 2024: −$36MQ2 2024: $207MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: −$433MQ2 2025: −$359MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $274MQ2 2026: −$27MQ3 2026: $134M
Q4 2023: $489MQ1 2024: −$36MQ2 2024: $207MQ3 2024: $317MQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: −$433MQ2 2025: −$359MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $274MQ2 2026: −$27MQ3 2026: $134M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$133.7M-14%
Q2 2026-$26.7M+$332.6M
Q1 2026$273.6M+$707M
Q4 2025$228.6M+82%
Q3 2025$154.6M-51%
Q2 2025-$359.3M-274%
Q1 2025-$433.4M-$397.8M
Q4 2024$125.4M-74%

PLGO's free cash flow was $609M over the past year, against −$513M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PLGO.

PLGO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 114MQ1 2024: 118MQ2 2024: 118MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 116MQ1 2025: 112MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 105MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 83M
Q4 2023: 114MQ1 2024: 118MQ2 2024: 118MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 116MQ1 2025: 112MQ2 2025: 109MQ3 2025: 105MQ4 2025: 107MQ1 2026: 94MQ2 2026: 85MQ3 2026: 83M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.5%-2.1M shares
1 year-21%-22M shares
3 years-29%-33.5M shares

PLGO has 83M diluted shares, down 21% from a year ago, with $481M in buybacks over the past year.

PLGO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ4 2024: -2.0xQ1 2025: -30.9xQ3 2025: -3.7xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ4 2024: -2.0xQ1 2025: -30.9xQ3 2025: -3.7xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-30.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.1xNet Cash

PLGO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PLGO.

PLGO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI74.5Overbought
Stochastic91.0Overbought

PLGO's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 91 (overbought).

PLGO PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPLGOSector medianRelative
PE8.3x13x36% below
PE %644618 pts above

PLGO is trading at 8.3x earnings, a 36% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

PLGO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$25.812% above
20 week MA$25.314% above
50 week MA$22.230% above
100 week MA$19.548% above

PLGO is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 48% above its 100-week average.

PLGO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$13.7$12.7-7.3%
2024$12.7$17.6+39%
2025$17.6$19.5+11%
2026 YTD$19.5$28.8+48%

PLGO has finished higher in two of the last three years. It's up 48% so far in 2026.

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