PENG

Penguin Solutions, Inc.

76
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

PENG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SNDK

Sandisk Corporation

79
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

SNDK has a slight edge over PENG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

PENG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Weak
Healthy

PENG's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

SNDK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

SNDK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PENG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x73x97x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x73x97x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$50.10—
Current19x$50.10—
Cheap36x$93.86+87%
Fair66x$171+240%
Expensive83x$215+330%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PENG's PE is in its cheap range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

SNDK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward3.8x$937—
Current7.5x$937—
Cheap17x$2,173+132%
Fair24x$3,048+225%
Expensive59x$7,452+695%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SNDK has the edge over PENG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PENG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PENG, with profitability improving.

SNDK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SNDK, with profitability improving.

PENG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+115%$107.94
Downside-25%$37.45

Calculated from the latest close: $50.10 on Nov 12.

PENG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SNDK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SNDK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+113%$1,996.75
Downside-51%$461.20

Calculated from the latest close: $937.46 on Nov 12.

SNDK trails PENG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PENG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.97Q1 2024: $-3.68Q2 2024: $-3.08Q3 2024: $-1.00Q4 2024: $-0.52Q1 2025: $-0.17Q2 2025: $-0.28Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.23Q1 2026: $0.72Q2 2026: $1.41Q3 2026: $2.59Forward: $4.56
Q4 2023: $-3.97Q1 2024: $-3.68Q2 2024: $-3.08Q3 2024: $-1.00Q4 2024: $-0.52Q1 2025: $-0.17Q2 2025: $-0.28Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.23Q1 2026: $0.72Q2 2026: $1.41Q3 2026: $2.59Forward: $4.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.56+76%
Q3 2026$2.59+793%
Q2 2026$1.41+$1.69
Q1 2026$0.72+$0.89
Q4 2025$0.23+$0.75
Q3 2025$0.29+$1.29
Q2 2025-$0.28+$2.80
Q1 2025-$0.17+$3.51
Q4 2024-$0.52+$3.45

PENG's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.59 over the past year, about nine times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

SNDK Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$247.30+97%
Q3 2026$125.61+$137.63
Q2 2026$73.76+$85.07
Q2 2025-$11.31-$6.65

SNDK has the edge over PENG in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

PENG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $285MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $311MQ4 2024: $341MQ1 2025: $366MQ2 2025: $324MQ3 2025: $338MQ4 2025: $343MQ1 2026: $343MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $567M
Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $285MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $311MQ4 2024: $341MQ1 2025: $366MQ2 2025: $324MQ3 2025: $338MQ4 2025: $343MQ1 2026: $343MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $567M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$566.7M+68%
Q2 2026$478.7M+48%
Q1 2026$343M-6.2%
Q4 2025$343.1M+0.6%
Q3 2025$337.9M+8.6%
Q2 2025$324.3M+7.9%
Q1 2025$365.5M+28%
Q4 2024$341.1M+24%

PENG's revenue is growing: $567M last quarter, up 68% from the same quarter a year ago.

SNDK Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11B+378%
Q2 2026$9B+372%
Q1 2026$6B+251%
Q4 2025$3B+61%
Q3 2025$2.3B+23%
Q2 2025$1.9B+8%
Q1 2025$1.7B-0.6%
Q4 2024$1.9B+13%

SNDK has the edge over PENG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PENG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $91MQ3 2025: −$73MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: −$78MQ3 2026: −$167M
Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $91MQ3 2025: −$73MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: −$78MQ3 2026: −$167M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$167.4M-$94.1M
Q2 2026-$77.6M-185%
Q1 2026$53.3M-24%
Q4 2025$28.2M+135%
Q3 2025-$73.4M-$55.4M
Q2 2025$90.9M+20%
Q1 2025$70.5M+$97.7M
Q4 2024$12M-55%

PENG's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$163M over the past year.

SNDK Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.3B+1340%
Q2 2026$7.1B+14355%
Q1 2026$3B+$3B
Q3 2025$438M+$636M
Q2 2025$49M+$217M
Q1 2025-$18M+$23M
Q3 2024-$198M-$157M

SNDK has the edge over PENG on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

PENG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 52MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 55MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 52MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 55MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+16%+9M shares
1 year+18%+9.7M shares
3 years+15%+8.5M shares
5 years+24%+12.5M shares
Available history+32%+15.5M shares

PENG has 64M diluted shares, up 18% from a year ago, despite $74M in buybacks over the past year.

SNDK Total Shares

Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1M shares
1 year+3.4%+5M shares
3 years+6.9%+10M shares

SNDK has the edge over PENG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PENG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.7xQ1 2024: 5.5xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 4.7xQ1 2024: 5.5xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.0xVery low
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 20250.0xVery low
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20243.0xModerate

PENG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

SNDK Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash

SNDK has the edge over PENG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PENG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.1Neutral
Stochastic21.3Neutral

PENG's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

SNDK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic10.6Oversold

SNDK's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

PENG PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPENGSector medianRelative
PE19x28x31% below
PE %23533 pts below

PENG is trading at 19x earnings, a 31% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SNDK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSNDKSector medianRelative
PE7.5x28x73% below
PE %42723 pts below

SNDK has the edge over PENG on valuation relative to its sector.

PENG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.011% below
20 week MA$56.812% below
50 week MA$41.022% above
100 week MA$30.962% above
200 week MA$25.696% above

PENG has stronger trend alignment. PENG is above 3 of 5 weekly averages versus SNDK above 0 of 3.

SNDK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,317.529% below
20 week MA$1,465.436% below
50 week MA$1,119.616% below

SNDK is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 50-week average.

PENG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.1$17.7-7.3%
2021$17.7$33.4+89%
2022$33.4$15.3-54%
2023$15.3$18.9+24%
2024$18.9$19.4+2.3%
2025$19.4$20.3+4.7%
2026 YTD$20.3$50.1+147%

PENG has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 147% so far in 2026.

SNDK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$50.4$250.1+396%
2026 YTD$250.1$937.5+275%

SNDK has the edge over PENG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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