PENG

Penguin Solutions, Inc.

76
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

PENG's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 19x earnings, about a third of its usual 67x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

PENG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Weak
Healthy

PENG's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

PENG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x73x97x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x48x73x97x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$50.10—
Current19x$50.10—
Cheap36x$93.86+87%
Fair66x$171+240%
Expensive83x$215+330%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PENG's PE is in its cheap range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

PENG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PENG, with profitability improving.

PENG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+115%$107.94
Downside-25%$37.45

Calculated from the latest close: $50.10 on Nov 12.

PENG's one-year upside scenario is about five times its downside: +115% against −25%.

PENG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.97Q1 2024: $-3.68Q2 2024: $-3.08Q3 2024: $-1.00Q4 2024: $-0.52Q1 2025: $-0.17Q2 2025: $-0.28Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.23Q1 2026: $0.72Q2 2026: $1.41Q3 2026: $2.59Forward: $4.56
Q4 2023: $-3.97Q1 2024: $-3.68Q2 2024: $-3.08Q3 2024: $-1.00Q4 2024: $-0.52Q1 2025: $-0.17Q2 2025: $-0.28Q3 2025: $0.29Q4 2025: $0.23Q1 2026: $0.72Q2 2026: $1.41Q3 2026: $2.59Forward: $4.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.56+76%
Q3 2026$2.59+793%
Q2 2026$1.41+$1.69
Q1 2026$0.72+$0.89
Q4 2025$0.23+$0.75
Q3 2025$0.29+$1.29
Q2 2025-$0.28+$2.80
Q1 2025-$0.17+$3.51
Q4 2024-$0.52+$3.45

PENG's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $2.59 over the past year, about nine times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

PENG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $285MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $311MQ4 2024: $341MQ1 2025: $366MQ2 2025: $324MQ3 2025: $338MQ4 2025: $343MQ1 2026: $343MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $567M
Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $285MQ2 2024: $301MQ3 2024: $311MQ4 2024: $341MQ1 2025: $366MQ2 2025: $324MQ3 2025: $338MQ4 2025: $343MQ1 2026: $343MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $567M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$566.7M+68%
Q2 2026$478.7M+48%
Q1 2026$343M-6.2%
Q4 2025$343.1M+0.6%
Q3 2025$337.9M+8.6%
Q2 2025$324.3M+7.9%
Q1 2025$365.5M+28%
Q4 2024$341.1M+24%

PENG's revenue is growing: $567M last quarter, up 68% from the same quarter a year ago.

PENG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $91MQ3 2025: −$73MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: −$78MQ3 2026: −$167M
Q4 2023: $27MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: −$18MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: $91MQ3 2025: −$73MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: $53MQ2 2026: −$78MQ3 2026: −$167M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$167.4M-$94.1M
Q2 2026-$77.6M-185%
Q1 2026$53.3M-24%
Q4 2025$28.2M+135%
Q3 2025-$73.4M-$55.4M
Q2 2025$90.9M+20%
Q1 2025$70.5M+$97.7M
Q4 2024$12M-55%

PENG's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$163M over the past year.

PENG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 52MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 55MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 52MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 54MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 54MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 53MQ2 2026: 55MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+16%+9M shares
1 year+18%+9.7M shares
3 years+15%+8.5M shares
5 years+24%+12.5M shares
Available history+32%+15.5M shares

PENG has 64M diluted shares, up 18% from a year ago, despite $74M in buybacks over the past year.

PENG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.7xQ1 2024: 5.5xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: 4.7xQ1 2024: 5.5xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: 0.1xQ4 2025: 0.0xQ1 2026: -0.4xQ2 2026: 0.0xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.0xVery low
Q1 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 20250.0xVery low
Q3 20250.1xVery low
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20243.0xModerate

PENG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

PENG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.1Neutral
Stochastic21.3Neutral

PENG's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

PENG PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPENGSector medianRelative
PE19x28x31% below
PE %23533 pts below

PENG is trading at 19x earnings, a 31% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

PENG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.011% below
20 week MA$56.812% below
50 week MA$41.022% above
100 week MA$30.962% above
200 week MA$25.696% above

PENG has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 96% above its 200-week average.

PENG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.1$17.7-7.3%
2021$17.7$33.4+89%
2022$33.4$15.3-54%
2023$15.3$18.9+24%
2024$18.9$19.4+2.3%
2025$19.4$20.3+4.7%
2026 YTD$20.3$50.1+147%

PENG has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 147% so far in 2026.

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