PEGA
Pegasystems Inc.
PEGA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SNDK
Sandisk Corporation
SNDK has the edge over PEGA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
PEGA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
PEGA's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
SNDK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
SNDK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
PEGA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 14x | $32.04 | — |
| Cheap | 26x | $30.01 | -6.3% |
| Current | 28x | $32.04 | — |
| Fair | 46x | $53.25 | +66% |
| Expensive | 75x | $86.65 | +170% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PEGA's PE is in its cheap range at 28x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 14x.
SNDK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 3.8x | $937 | — |
| Current | 7.5x | $937 | — |
| Cheap | 17x | $2,173 | +132% |
| Fair | 24x | $3,048 | +225% |
| Expensive | 59x | $7,452 | +695% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SNDK has the edge over PEGA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
PEGA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect PEGA's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
SNDK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
SNDK has the edge over PEGA on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
PEGA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.34 | +103% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.15 | -25% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.31 | +7.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.40 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.67 | +198% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.54 | +123% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.22 | +67% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.08 | +157% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.56 | +56% |
PEGA earned $1.15 per share over the past year, down 25% from the year before.
SNDK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $247.30 | +97% |
| Q3 2026 | $125.61 | +$137.63 |
| Q2 2026 | $73.76 | +$85.07 |
| Q2 2025 | -$11.31 | -$6.65 |
SNDK has the edge over PEGA in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
PEGA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $393.4M | +3.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $420.7M | +9.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $430M | -9.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $504.3M | +2.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $381.4M | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $384.5M | +9.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $475.6M | +44% |
| Q4 2024 | $490.8M | +3.5% |
PEGA's revenue has held roughly level: $393M last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.8% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6% | -18 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | -8.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.8% | +7.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.5% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 27% | +33 points |
| Q4 2024 | 29% | -3.6 points |
PEGA's operating margin was 3.8% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
SNDK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11B | +378% |
| Q2 2026 | $9B | +372% |
| Q1 2026 | $6B | +251% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +61% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.3B | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +8% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -0.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.9B | +13% |
SNDK has the edge over PEGA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 80% | +72 points |
| Q2 2026 | 78% | +78 points |
| Q1 2026 | 69% | +180 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | +25 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.6% | -9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.9% | N/A |
| Q1 2025 | -111% | -122 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | +6.6 points |
SNDK has the edge over PEGA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PEGA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6M | -97% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.7M | -2.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $206.5M | +2.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $152.4M | +65% |
| Q3 2025 | $51.8M | +89% |
| Q2 2025 | $84.1M | +117% |
| Q1 2025 | $202.3M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $92.4M | +19% |
PEGA generated $442M in free cash flow over the past year, up 2.7% from the year before.
SNDK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.3B | +1340% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1B | +14355% |
| Q1 2026 | $3B | +$3B |
| Q3 2025 | $438M | +$636M |
| Q2 2025 | $49M | +$217M |
| Q1 2025 | -$18M | +$23M |
| Q3 2024 | -$198M | -$157M |
SNDK has the edge over PEGA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PEGA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.8% | -3.1M shares |
| 1 year | -8.4% | -15.5M shares |
| 3 years | +1.2% | +2M shares |
| 5 years | +3.4% | +5.6M shares |
| Available history | +6.7% | +10.5M shares |
PEGA has the edge over SNDK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $65M |
| Q2 2026 | $200.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $167.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $105M |
| Q3 2025 | $143M |
| Q2 2025 | $134.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $117.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $56.8M |
PEGA spent $538M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 19% from the year before.
SNDK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -1M shares |
| 1 year | +3.4% | +5M shares |
| 3 years | +6.9% | +10M shares |
SNDK has 154M diluted shares, up 3.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5B |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
PEGA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
PEGA has the edge over SNDK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SNDK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
SNDK has more cash than debt.
PEGA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 32.6 | Neutral |
PEGA's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).
SNDK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 10.6 | Oversold |
SNDK's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
PEGA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PEGA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 28x | Same PE |
| PE % | 22 | 35 | 13 pts below |
PEGA is trading at 28x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SNDK PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SNDK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.5x | 28x | 73% below |
| PE % | 4 | 27 | 23 pts below |
SNDK has the edge over PEGA on valuation relative to its sector.
PEGA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $34.1 | 6% below |
| 20 week MA | $33.4 | 4.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $39.7 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $44.7 | 28% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.5 | 12% below |
SNDK has stronger trend alignment. PEGA is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus SNDK above 0 of 3.
SNDK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,317.5 | 29% below |
| 20 week MA | $1,465.4 | 36% below |
| 50 week MA | $1,119.6 | 16% below |
SNDK is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 50-week average.
PEGA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $39.7 | $69.3 | +75% |
| 2021 | $69.3 | $55.2 | -20% |
| 2022 | $55.2 | $17.1 | -69% |
| 2023 | $17.1 | $24.4 | +43% |
| 2024 | $24.4 | $47.2 | +93% |
| 2025 | $47.2 | $62.4 | +32% |
| 2026 YTD | $62.4 | $32.0 | -49% |
PEGA is down 49% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.
SNDK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $50.4 | $250.1 | +396% |
| 2026 YTD | $250.1 | $937.5 | +275% |
SNDK has the edge over PEGA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.