PEGA
Pegasystems Inc.
PEGA's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 28x earnings, below its usual 46x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.
PEGA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
PEGA's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
PEGA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 14x | $32.04 | — |
| Cheap | 26x | $30.01 | -6.3% |
| Current | 28x | $32.04 | — |
| Fair | 46x | $53.25 | +66% |
| Expensive | 75x | $86.65 | +170% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PEGA's PE is in its cheap range at 28x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 14x.
PEGA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect PEGA's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
PEGA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.34 | +103% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.15 | -25% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.31 | +7.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.40 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.67 | +198% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.54 | +123% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.22 | +67% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.08 | +157% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.56 | +56% |
PEGA earned $1.15 per share over the past year, down 25% from the year before.
PEGA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $393.4M | +3.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $420.7M | +9.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $430M | -9.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $504.3M | +2.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $381.4M | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $384.5M | +9.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $475.6M | +44% |
| Q4 2024 | $490.8M | +3.5% |
PEGA's revenue has held roughly level: $393M last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.8% | 0 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6% | -18 points |
| Q4 2025 | 21% | -8.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.8% | +7.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.5% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 27% | +33 points |
| Q4 2024 | 29% | -3.6 points |
PEGA's operating margin was 3.8% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
PEGA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6M | -97% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.7M | -2.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $206.5M | +2.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $152.4M | +65% |
| Q3 2025 | $51.8M | +89% |
| Q2 2025 | $84.1M | +117% |
| Q1 2025 | $202.3M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $92.4M | +19% |
PEGA generated $442M in free cash flow over the past year, up 2.7% from the year before.
PEGA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.8% | -3.1M shares |
| 1 year | -8.4% | -15.5M shares |
| 3 years | +1.2% | +2M shares |
| 5 years | +3.4% | +5.6M shares |
| Available history | +6.7% | +10.5M shares |
PEGA has 169M diluted shares, down 8.4% from a year ago, with $538M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $65M |
| Q2 2026 | $200.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $167.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $105M |
| Q3 2025 | $143M |
| Q2 2025 | $134.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $117.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $56.8M |
PEGA spent $538M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 19% from the year before.
PEGA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
PEGA has more cash than debt.
PEGA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 32.6 | Neutral |
PEGA's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).
PEGA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PEGA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 28x | Same PE |
| PE % | 22 | 35 | 13 pts below |
PEGA is trading at 28x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
PEGA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $34.1 | 6% below |
| 20 week MA | $33.4 | 4.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $39.7 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $44.7 | 28% below |
| 200 week MA | $36.5 | 12% below |
PEGA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 12% below its 200-week average.
PEGA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $39.7 | $69.3 | +75% |
| 2021 | $69.3 | $55.2 | -20% |
| 2022 | $55.2 | $17.1 | -69% |
| 2023 | $17.1 | $24.4 | +43% |
| 2024 | $24.4 | $47.2 | +93% |
| 2025 | $47.2 | $62.4 | +32% |
| 2026 YTD | $62.4 | $32.0 | -49% |
PEGA is down 49% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.