PEGA

Pegasystems Inc.

58
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

PEGA trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over PEGA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

PEGA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Strong

PEGA's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PEGA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE218x436x653x871x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE218x436x653x871x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$32.04—
Cheap26x$30.01-6.3%
Current28x$32.04—
Fair46x$53.25+66%
Expensive75x$86.65+170%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PEGA's PE is in its cheap range at 28x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 14x.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR has the edge over PEGA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PEGA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PEGA's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

PLTR has the edge over PEGA on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

PEGA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$41.92
Downside-23%$24.83

Calculated from the latest close: $32.04 on Nov 12.

PEGA trails PLTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PEGA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PEGA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.73Q3 2024: $0.69Q4 2024: $0.56Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.22Q3 2025: $1.54Q4 2025: $1.67Q1 2026: $1.40Q2 2026: $1.31Q3 2026: $1.15Forward: $2.34
Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.73Q3 2024: $0.69Q4 2024: $0.56Q1 2025: $1.08Q2 2025: $1.22Q3 2025: $1.54Q4 2025: $1.67Q1 2026: $1.40Q2 2026: $1.31Q3 2026: $1.15Forward: $2.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.34+103%
Q3 2026$1.15-25%
Q2 2026$1.31+7.4%
Q1 2026$1.40+30%
Q4 2025$1.67+198%
Q3 2025$1.54+123%
Q2 2025$1.22+67%
Q1 2025$1.08+157%
Q4 2024$0.56+56%

PEGA earned $1.15 per share over the past year, down 25% from the year before.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR has the edge over PEGA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PEGA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $474MQ1 2024: $330MQ2 2024: $351MQ3 2024: $325MQ4 2024: $491MQ1 2025: $476MQ2 2025: $385MQ3 2025: $381MQ4 2025: $504MQ1 2026: $430MQ2 2026: $421MQ3 2026: $393M
Q4 2023: $474MQ1 2024: $330MQ2 2024: $351MQ3 2024: $325MQ4 2024: $491MQ1 2025: $476MQ2 2025: $385MQ3 2025: $381MQ4 2025: $504MQ1 2026: $430MQ2 2026: $421MQ3 2026: $393M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$393.4M+3.1%
Q2 2026$420.7M+9.4%
Q1 2026$430M-9.6%
Q4 2025$504.3M+2.7%
Q3 2025$381.4M+17%
Q2 2025$384.5M+9.5%
Q1 2025$475.6M+44%
Q4 2024$490.8M+3.5%

PEGA's revenue has held roughly level: $393M last quarter, up 3.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over PEGA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PEGA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $202MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $207MQ2 2026: $82MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $202MQ2 2025: $84MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $152MQ1 2026: $207MQ2 2026: $82MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.6M-97%
Q2 2026$81.7M-2.9%
Q1 2026$206.5M+2.1%
Q4 2025$152.4M+65%
Q3 2025$51.8M+89%
Q2 2025$84.1M+117%
Q1 2025$202.3M+13%
Q4 2024$92.4M+19%

PEGA generated $442M in free cash flow over the past year, up 2.7% from the year before.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over PEGA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PEGA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 169MQ2 2024: 177MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 179MQ1 2025: 189MQ2 2025: 182MQ3 2025: 184MQ4 2025: 185MQ1 2026: 179MQ2 2026: 172MQ3 2026: 169M
Q4 2023: 170MQ1 2024: 169MQ2 2024: 177MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 179MQ1 2025: 189MQ2 2025: 182MQ3 2025: 184MQ4 2025: 185MQ1 2026: 179MQ2 2026: 172MQ3 2026: 169M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.8%-3.1M shares
1 year-8.4%-15.5M shares
3 years+1.2%+2M shares
5 years+3.4%+5.6M shares
Available history+6.7%+10.5M shares

PEGA has the edge over PLTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

PEGA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: 2.7xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 0.9xQ1 2025: -0.8xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -1.5xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 20240.9xVery low

PEGA has more cash than debt.

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has more cash than debt.

PEGA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic32.6Neutral

PEGA's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

PEGA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPEGASector medianRelative
PE28x28xSame PE
PE %223513 pts below

PEGA has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

PEGA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.16% below
20 week MA$33.44.1% below
50 week MA$39.719% below
100 week MA$44.728% below
200 week MA$36.512% below

PEGA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 12% below its 200-week average.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR has the edge over PEGA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PEGA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$39.7$69.3+75%
2021$69.3$55.2-20%
2022$55.2$17.1-69%
2023$17.1$24.4+43%
2024$24.4$47.2+93%
2025$47.2$62.4+32%
2026 YTD$62.4$32.0-49%

PEGA is down 49% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR has the edge over PEGA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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