PATK

Patrick Industries, Inc.

49
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

PATK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has a slight edge over PATK overall on the model score.

PATK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

PATK's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

PATK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$25.09-68%
Fair16x$61.65-22%
Forward17x$78.59—
Current20x$78.59—
Expensive22x$85.00+8.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PATK has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

PATK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PATK, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PATK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$103.45
Downside-17%$64.89

Calculated from the latest close: $78.59 on Nov 12.

PATK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails PATK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PATK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.33Q1 2024: $4.49Q2 2024: $4.64Q3 2024: $4.63Q4 2024: $4.11Q1 2025: $4.16Q2 2025: $3.68Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.90Q1 2026: $3.89Q2 2026: $4.21Q3 2026: $3.84Forward: $4.70
Q4 2023: $4.33Q1 2024: $4.49Q2 2024: $4.64Q3 2024: $4.63Q4 2024: $4.11Q1 2025: $4.16Q2 2025: $3.68Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.90Q1 2026: $3.89Q2 2026: $4.21Q3 2026: $3.84Forward: $4.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.70+22%
Q3 2026$3.84+10%
Q2 2026$4.21+14%
Q1 2026$3.89-6.5%
Q4 2025$3.90-5.1%
Q3 2025$3.49-25%
Q2 2025$3.68-21%
Q1 2025$4.16-7.3%
Q4 2024$4.11-5.1%

PATK has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

PATK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $781MQ1 2024: $933MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $919MQ4 2024: $846MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $976MQ4 2025: $924MQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $975M
Q4 2023: $781MQ1 2024: $933MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $919MQ4 2024: $846MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $976MQ4 2025: $924MQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $975M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$975.3M0%
Q2 2026$1B-0.6%
Q1 2026$997.2M-0.6%
Q4 2025$924.2M+9.2%
Q3 2025$975.6M+6.1%
Q2 2025$1B+3%
Q1 2025$1B+7.5%
Q4 2024$846.1M+8.3%

PATK has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

PATK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $121MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $58M
Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $121MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$58.4M+$75.6M
Q2 2026$65.3M-50%
Q1 2026-$32.9M-265%
Q4 2025$112.7M+46%
Q3 2025-$17.2M-151%
Q2 2025$131.1M+8.7%
Q1 2025$19.9M+1.1%
Q4 2024$77.2M-25%

PATK has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

PATK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.9%-1.3M shares
1 year-6.9%-2.4M shares
3 years-0.5%-171K shares
5 years-7%-2.4M shares
Available history-6.5%-2.3M shares

PATK has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

PATK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.2xElevated
Q1 20263.0xElevated
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

PATK's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.0 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over PATK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PATK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic58.7Neutral

PATK's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

PATK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPATKSector medianRelative
PE20x18x14% above
PE %744727 pts above

PATK has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

PATK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$71.410% above
20 week MA$78.00.7% above
50 week MA$97.119% below
100 week MA$95.818% below
200 week MA$80.62.5% below

PATK has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 2.5% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over PATK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PATK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.0$46.9+34%
2021$46.9$52.6+12%
2022$52.6$40.8-23%
2023$40.8$66.9+64%
2024$66.9$83.5+25%
2025$83.5$112.1+34%
2026 YTD$112.1$78.6-30%

PATK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA has the edge over PATK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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