PATK

Patrick Industries, Inc.

49
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

PATK's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 20x earnings, above its usual 16x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

PATK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

PATK's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

PATK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.6x19x29x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$25.09-68%
Fair16x$61.65-22%
Forward17x$78.59—
Current20x$78.59—
Expensive22x$85.00+8.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PATK's PE is in its expensive range at 20x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

PATK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PATK, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PATK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$103.45
Downside-17%$64.89

Calculated from the latest close: $78.59 on Nov 12.

PATK's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +32% against −17%.

PATK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.33Q1 2024: $4.49Q2 2024: $4.64Q3 2024: $4.63Q4 2024: $4.11Q1 2025: $4.16Q2 2025: $3.68Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.90Q1 2026: $3.89Q2 2026: $4.21Q3 2026: $3.84Forward: $4.70
Q4 2023: $4.33Q1 2024: $4.49Q2 2024: $4.64Q3 2024: $4.63Q4 2024: $4.11Q1 2025: $4.16Q2 2025: $3.68Q3 2025: $3.49Q4 2025: $3.90Q1 2026: $3.89Q2 2026: $4.21Q3 2026: $3.84Forward: $4.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.70+22%
Q3 2026$3.84+10%
Q2 2026$4.21+14%
Q1 2026$3.89-6.5%
Q4 2025$3.90-5.1%
Q3 2025$3.49-25%
Q2 2025$3.68-21%
Q1 2025$4.16-7.3%
Q4 2024$4.11-5.1%

PATK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.84 over the past year, against $9.60 in mid-2022.

PATK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $781MQ1 2024: $933MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $919MQ4 2024: $846MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $976MQ4 2025: $924MQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $975M
Q4 2023: $781MQ1 2024: $933MQ2 2024: $1BQ3 2024: $919MQ4 2024: $846MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $976MQ4 2025: $924MQ1 2026: $997MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $975M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$975.3M0%
Q2 2026$1B-0.6%
Q1 2026$997.2M-0.6%
Q4 2025$924.2M+9.2%
Q3 2025$975.6M+6.1%
Q2 2025$1B+3%
Q1 2025$1B+7.5%
Q4 2024$846.1M+8.3%

PATK's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $975M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

PATK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $121MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $58M
Q4 2023: $103MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $121MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: $113MQ1 2026: −$33MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$58.4M+$75.6M
Q2 2026$65.3M-50%
Q1 2026-$32.9M-265%
Q4 2025$112.7M+46%
Q3 2025-$17.2M-151%
Q2 2025$131.1M+8.7%
Q1 2025$19.9M+1.1%
Q4 2024$77.2M-25%

PATK still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $203M over the past year.

PATK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 33MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 34MQ4 2024: 34MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 34MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.9%-1.3M shares
1 year-6.9%-2.4M shares
3 years-0.5%-171K shares
5 years-7%-2.4M shares
Available history-6.5%-2.3M shares

PATK has 33M diluted shares, down 6.9% from a year ago, with $106M in buybacks over the past year.

PATK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.2xElevated
Q1 20263.0xElevated
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

PATK's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.0 years a year ago.

PATK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic58.7Neutral

PATK's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

PATK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPATKSector medianRelative
PE20x18x14% above
PE %744727 pts above

PATK is trading at 20x earnings, a 14% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

PATK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$71.410% above
20 week MA$78.00.7% above
50 week MA$97.119% below
100 week MA$95.818% below
200 week MA$80.62.5% below

PATK has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 2.5% below its 200-week average.

PATK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.0$46.9+34%
2021$46.9$52.6+12%
2022$52.6$40.8-23%
2023$40.8$66.9+64%
2024$66.9$83.5+25%
2025$83.5$112.1+34%
2026 YTD$112.1$78.6-30%

PATK has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 30% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key