PAGS

PagSeguro Digital Ltd.

50
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

PAGS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SNDK

Sandisk Corporation

79
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

SNDK has the edge over PAGS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

PAGS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Under pressure
Weak

PAGS's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

SNDK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

SNDK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

PAGS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x91x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x91x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current5.8x$7.82—
Cheap7.1x$9.52+22%
Fair12x$16.50+111%
Expensive51x$67.68+766%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PAGS has the edge over SNDK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SNDK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE20x39x59x79x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward3.8x$937—
Current7.5x$937—
Cheap17x$2,173+132%
Fair24x$3,048+225%
Expensive59x$7,452+695%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SNDK's PE is 7.5x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

PAGS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PAGS's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

SNDK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

SNDK has the edge over PAGS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

PAGS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$11.47
Downside-32%$5.33

Calculated from the latest close: $7.82 on Nov 12.

PAGS trails SNDK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SNDK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+113%$1,996.75
Downside-51%$461.20

Calculated from the latest close: $937.46 on Nov 12.

SNDK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PAGS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PAGS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.86Q4 2023: $0.91Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.05Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.31Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.34
Q3 2023: $0.86Q4 2023: $0.91Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.05Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.31Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.34+5.5%
Q1 2026$1.31+6.5%
Q4 2025$1.28+7.6%
Q3 2025$1.31+17%
Q2 2025$1.27+21%
Q1 2025$1.23+26%
Q4 2024$1.19+31%
Q3 2024$1.12+30%

PAGS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.34 over the past year, up 5.5% from the year before, and higher year over year for 18 quarters in a row.

SNDK Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
Q2 2024: $-4.66Q2 2025: $-11.31Q4 2025: $-12.02Q1 2026: $-7.59Q2 2026: $28.77Q3 2026: $73.76Q4 2026: $125.61Forward: $247.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$247.30+97%
Q3 2026$125.61+$137.63
Q2 2026$73.76+$85.07
Q2 2025-$11.31-$6.65

SNDK has the edge over PAGS in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

PAGS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $709MQ4 2023: $765MQ1 2024: $752MQ2 2024: $792MQ3 2024: $842MQ4 2024: $896MQ1 2025: $843MQ2 2025: $876MQ3 2025: $880MQ4 2025: $950MQ1 2026: $840MQ2 2026: $874M
Q3 2023: $709MQ4 2023: $765MQ1 2024: $752MQ2 2024: $792MQ3 2024: $842MQ4 2024: $896MQ1 2025: $843MQ2 2025: $876MQ3 2025: $880MQ4 2025: $950MQ1 2026: $840MQ2 2026: $874M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$873.8M-0.2%
Q1 2026$840.1M-0.4%
Q4 2025$949.7M+6%
Q3 2025$880.1M+4.5%
Q2 2025$875.7M+11%
Q1 2025$843.5M+12%
Q4 2024$895.7M+17%
Q3 2024$842.3M+19%

PAGS's revenue has held roughly level: $874M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

SNDK Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
Q1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: --Q3 2024: $1.9BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $6BQ3 2026: $9BQ4 2026: $11B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11B+378%
Q2 2026$9B+372%
Q1 2026$6B+251%
Q4 2025$3B+61%
Q3 2025$2.3B+23%
Q2 2025$1.9B+8%
Q1 2025$1.7B-0.6%
Q4 2024$1.9B+13%

SNDK has the edge over PAGS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PAGS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $80MQ4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: $335MQ2 2024: −$930MQ3 2024: −$228MQ4 2024: −$146MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $306MQ3 2025: $299MQ4 2025: −$579MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $140M
Q3 2023: $80MQ4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: $335MQ2 2024: −$930MQ3 2024: −$228MQ4 2024: −$146MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $306MQ3 2025: $299MQ4 2025: −$579MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $140M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$139.8M-54%
Q1 2026$39.4M-61%
Q4 2025-$579.5M-$433.3M
Q3 2025$299M+$527.2M
Q2 2025$305.5M+$1.2B
Q1 2025$101.6M-70%
Q4 2024-$146.2M-314%
Q3 2024-$228.1M-387%

PAGS's free cash flow was −$101M over the past year, against $33M the year before.

SNDK Free Cash Flow

Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
Q1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$168MQ3 2024: −$198MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: −$18MQ2 2025: $49MQ4 2025: $438MQ1 2026: $980MQ2 2026: $3BQ3 2026: $7.1BQ4 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.3B+1340%
Q2 2026$7.1B+14355%
Q1 2026$3B+$3B
Q3 2025$438M+$636M
Q2 2025$49M+$217M
Q1 2025-$18M+$23M
Q3 2024-$198M-$157M

SNDK has the edge over PAGS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

PAGS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 324MQ4 2023: 320MQ1 2024: 321MQ2 2024: 322MQ3 2024: 321MQ4 2024: 314MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 301MQ3 2025: 295MQ4 2025: 290MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 279M
Q3 2023: 324MQ4 2023: 320MQ1 2024: 321MQ2 2024: 322MQ3 2024: 321MQ4 2024: 314MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 301MQ3 2025: 295MQ4 2025: 290MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 279M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.4M shares
1 year-7.1%-21.2M shares
3 years-14%-46M shares
5 years-15%-50.9M shares
Available history-15%-51.1M shares

PAGS has the edge over SNDK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SNDK Total Shares

Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
Q1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 145MQ3 2024: 145MQ4 2024: 145MQ1 2025: 145MQ2 2025: 145MQ4 2025: 149MQ1 2026: 156MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 155MQ4 2026: 154M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-1M shares
1 year+3.4%+5M shares
3 years+6.9%+10M shares

SNDK has 154M diluted shares, up 3.4% from a year ago.

PAGS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.5xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.7x
Q3 2023: 0.5xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.7xHigh
Q1 20264.6xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20254.5xHigh
Q2 20254.8xHigh
Q1 20254.7xHigh
Q4 20245.3xHigh
Q3 20245.1xHigh

PAGS's net debt is about 4.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

SNDK Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
Q2 2026: -0.7xQ3 2026: -0.4xQ4 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash

SNDK has the edge over PAGS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PAGS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.9Neutral
Stochastic7.0Oversold

PAGS's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

SNDK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.2Neutral
Stochastic10.6Oversold

SNDK's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

PAGS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPAGSSector medianRelative
PE5.8x28x79% below
PE %13534 pts below

PAGS has the edge over SNDK on valuation relative to its sector.

SNDK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSNDKSector medianRelative
PE7.5x28x73% below
PE %42723 pts below

SNDK is trading at 7.5x earnings, a 73% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

PAGS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.3817% below
20 week MA$9.2916% below
50 week MA$9.6919% below
100 week MA$9.1114% below
200 week MA$9.7620% below

SNDK has stronger trend alignment. PAGS is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus SNDK above 0 of 3.

SNDK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,317.529% below
20 week MA$1,465.436% below
50 week MA$1,119.616% below

SNDK is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 50-week average.

PAGS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.5$53.8+56%
2021$53.8$26.7-50%
2022$26.7$8.62-68%
2023$8.62$12.5+45%
2024$12.5$6.38-49%
2025$6.38$9.77+53%
2026 YTD$9.77$7.82-20%

PAGS has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 20% so far in 2026.

SNDK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$50.4$250.1+396%
2026 YTD$250.1$937.5+275%

SNDK has the edge over PAGS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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