PAGS

PagSeguro Digital Ltd.

50
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

PAGS's fundamentals are mixed: its operating margin rose 3 points to 38%, but free cash flow turned negative. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

PAGS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Under pressure
Weak

PAGS's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

PAGS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x91x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x91x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current5.8x$7.82—
Cheap7.1x$9.52+22%
Fair12x$16.50+111%
Expensive51x$67.68+766%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PAGS's PE is 5.8x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

PAGS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PAGS's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

PAGS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$11.47
Downside-32%$5.33

Calculated from the latest close: $7.82 on Nov 12.

PAGS's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +47% against −32%.

PAGS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.86Q4 2023: $0.91Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.05Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.31Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.34
Q3 2023: $0.86Q4 2023: $0.91Q1 2024: $0.98Q2 2024: $1.05Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.19Q1 2025: $1.23Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.31Q4 2025: $1.28Q1 2026: $1.31Q2 2026: $1.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.34+5.5%
Q1 2026$1.31+6.5%
Q4 2025$1.28+7.6%
Q3 2025$1.31+17%
Q2 2025$1.27+21%
Q1 2025$1.23+26%
Q4 2024$1.19+31%
Q3 2024$1.12+30%

PAGS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.34 over the past year, up 5.5% from the year before, and higher year over year for 18 quarters in a row.

PAGS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $709MQ4 2023: $765MQ1 2024: $752MQ2 2024: $792MQ3 2024: $842MQ4 2024: $896MQ1 2025: $843MQ2 2025: $876MQ3 2025: $880MQ4 2025: $950MQ1 2026: $840MQ2 2026: $874M
Q3 2023: $709MQ4 2023: $765MQ1 2024: $752MQ2 2024: $792MQ3 2024: $842MQ4 2024: $896MQ1 2025: $843MQ2 2025: $876MQ3 2025: $880MQ4 2025: $950MQ1 2026: $840MQ2 2026: $874M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$873.8M-0.2%
Q1 2026$840.1M-0.4%
Q4 2025$949.7M+6%
Q3 2025$880.1M+4.5%
Q2 2025$875.7M+11%
Q1 2025$843.5M+12%
Q4 2024$895.7M+17%
Q3 2024$842.3M+19%

PAGS's revenue has held roughly level: $874M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

PAGS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $80MQ4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: $335MQ2 2024: −$930MQ3 2024: −$228MQ4 2024: −$146MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $306MQ3 2025: $299MQ4 2025: −$579MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $140M
Q3 2023: $80MQ4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: $335MQ2 2024: −$930MQ3 2024: −$228MQ4 2024: −$146MQ1 2025: $102MQ2 2025: $306MQ3 2025: $299MQ4 2025: −$579MQ1 2026: $39MQ2 2026: $140M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$139.8M-54%
Q1 2026$39.4M-61%
Q4 2025-$579.5M-$433.3M
Q3 2025$299M+$527.2M
Q2 2025$305.5M+$1.2B
Q1 2025$101.6M-70%
Q4 2024-$146.2M-314%
Q3 2024-$228.1M-387%

PAGS's free cash flow was −$101M over the past year, against $33M the year before.

PAGS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 324MQ4 2023: 320MQ1 2024: 321MQ2 2024: 322MQ3 2024: 321MQ4 2024: 314MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 301MQ3 2025: 295MQ4 2025: 290MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 279M
Q3 2023: 324MQ4 2023: 320MQ1 2024: 321MQ2 2024: 322MQ3 2024: 321MQ4 2024: 314MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 301MQ3 2025: 295MQ4 2025: 290MQ1 2026: 283MQ2 2026: 279M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.4M shares
1 year-7.1%-21.2M shares
3 years-14%-46M shares
5 years-15%-50.9M shares
Available history-15%-51.1M shares

PAGS has 279M diluted shares, down 7.1% from a year ago, with $183M in buybacks over the past year.

PAGS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.5xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.7x
Q3 2023: 0.5xQ4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 5.1xQ4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.7xHigh
Q1 20264.6xHigh
Q4 20254.5xHigh
Q3 20254.5xHigh
Q2 20254.8xHigh
Q1 20254.7xHigh
Q4 20245.3xHigh
Q3 20245.1xHigh

PAGS's net debt is about 4.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

PAGS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.9Neutral
Stochastic7.0Oversold

PAGS's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

PAGS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPAGSSector medianRelative
PE5.8x28x79% below
PE %13534 pts below

PAGS is trading at 5.8x earnings, a 79% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

PAGS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.3817% below
20 week MA$9.2916% below
50 week MA$9.6919% below
100 week MA$9.1114% below
200 week MA$9.7620% below

PAGS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.

PAGS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.5$53.8+56%
2021$53.8$26.7-50%
2022$26.7$8.62-68%
2023$8.62$12.5+45%
2024$12.5$6.38-49%
2025$6.38$9.77+53%
2026 YTD$9.77$7.82-20%

PAGS has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 20% so far in 2026.

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