OVLY

Oak Valley Bancorp

44
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

OVLY has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over OVLY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

OVLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

OVLY's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OVLY.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

OVLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x6.9x10x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x6.9x10x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.7x$21.46-38%
Fair9.3x$25.93-25%
Expensive12x$32.28-6.6%
Current12x$34.57—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OVLY's PE is in its expensive range at 12x.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over OVLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

OVLY Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for OVLY to show an outlook.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SOFI, with profitability improving.

OVLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$39.85
Downside-19%$28.12

Calculated from the latest close: $34.57 on Nov 12.

OVLY trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OVLY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OVLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.75Q1 2024: $3.32Q2 2024: $3.01Q3 2024: $3.01Q4 2024: $3.02Q1 2025: $2.97Q2 2025: $2.93Q3 2025: $2.85Q4 2025: $2.88Q1 2026: $2.88Q2 2026: $2.82Q3 2026: $2.78
Q4 2023: $3.75Q1 2024: $3.32Q2 2024: $3.01Q3 2024: $3.01Q4 2024: $3.02Q1 2025: $2.97Q2 2025: $2.93Q3 2025: $2.85Q4 2025: $2.88Q1 2026: $2.88Q2 2026: $2.82Q3 2026: $2.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$2.78-2.5%
Q2 2026$2.82-3.8%
Q1 2026$2.88-3%
Q4 2025$2.88-4.6%
Q3 2025$2.85-5.3%
Q2 2025$2.93-2.7%
Q1 2025$2.97-11%
Q4 2024$3.02-19%

OVLY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.78 over the past year, against $4.18 in late 2023.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over OVLY on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OVLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $22M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $22M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$21.7M+2.3%
Q2 2026$20.6M+3.8%
Q1 2026$20.8M+7%
Q4 2025$21.3M+10%
Q3 2025$21.2M+8.6%
Q2 2025$19.9M+4.2%
Q1 2025$19.4M+3.5%
Q4 2024$19.3M-2%

OVLY's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $22M last quarter, up 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI has the edge over OVLY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OVLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.1M+43%
Q2 2026$3.4M-15%
Q1 2026$7.8M+16%
Q4 2025$7.4M+119%
Q3 2025$6.3M-27%
Q2 2025$4M+12%
Q1 2025$6.8M-17%
Q4 2024$3.4M+$4.9M

OVLY has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

OVLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+15K shares
1 year+0.6%+49K shares
3 years+1.4%+116K shares
5 years+2%+165K shares
Available history+2.9%+231K shares

OVLY has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

OVLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.2xQ1 2024: -4.6xQ2 2024: -5.4xQ3 2024: -6.4xQ4 2024: -5.0xQ1 2025: -6.3xQ2 2025: -6.1xQ3 2025: -7.8xQ4 2025: -7.3xQ1 2026: -6.3xQ2 2026: -6.2xQ3 2026: -5.8x
Q4 2023: -5.2xQ1 2024: -4.6xQ2 2024: -5.4xQ3 2024: -6.4xQ4 2024: -5.0xQ1 2025: -6.3xQ2 2025: -6.1xQ3 2025: -7.8xQ4 2025: -7.3xQ1 2026: -6.3xQ2 2026: -6.2xQ3 2026: -5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-7.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-6.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.0xNet Cash

OVLY has the edge over SOFI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

OVLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.3Neutral
Stochastic56.6Neutral

OVLY's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

OVLY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricOVLYSector medianRelative
PE12x13x4.5% below
PE %966333 pts above

OVLY has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

OVLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.11.3% above
20 week MA$34.01.6% above
50 week MA$33.14.5% above
100 week MA$30.015% above
200 week MA$27.924% above

OVLY has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

OVLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.6$17.4-11%
2021$17.4$17.3-0.9%
2022$17.3$21.7+26%
2023$21.7$30.0+38%
2024$30.0$29.7-0.8%
2025$29.7$30.0+1.1%
2026 YTD$30.0$34.6+15%

OVLY has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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