OVLY

Oak Valley Bancorp

44
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

OVLY's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 12x earnings, above its usual 9.4x.

OVLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

OVLY's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OVLY.

OVLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x6.9x10x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x6.9x10x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.7x$21.46-38%
Fair9.3x$25.93-25%
Expensive12x$32.28-6.6%
Current12x$34.57—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OVLY's PE is in its expensive range at 12x.

OVLY Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for OVLY to show an outlook.

OVLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$39.85
Downside-19%$28.12

Calculated from the latest close: $34.57 on Nov 12.

OVLY's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −19% against +15%.

OVLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.75Q1 2024: $3.32Q2 2024: $3.01Q3 2024: $3.01Q4 2024: $3.02Q1 2025: $2.97Q2 2025: $2.93Q3 2025: $2.85Q4 2025: $2.88Q1 2026: $2.88Q2 2026: $2.82Q3 2026: $2.78
Q4 2023: $3.75Q1 2024: $3.32Q2 2024: $3.01Q3 2024: $3.01Q4 2024: $3.02Q1 2025: $2.97Q2 2025: $2.93Q3 2025: $2.85Q4 2025: $2.88Q1 2026: $2.88Q2 2026: $2.82Q3 2026: $2.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$2.78-2.5%
Q2 2026$2.82-3.8%
Q1 2026$2.88-3%
Q4 2025$2.88-4.6%
Q3 2025$2.85-5.3%
Q2 2025$2.93-2.7%
Q1 2025$2.97-11%
Q4 2024$3.02-19%

OVLY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.78 over the past year, against $4.18 in late 2023.

OVLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $22M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $21MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $22M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$21.7M+2.3%
Q2 2026$20.6M+3.8%
Q1 2026$20.8M+7%
Q4 2025$21.3M+10%
Q3 2025$21.2M+8.6%
Q2 2025$19.9M+4.2%
Q1 2025$19.4M+3.5%
Q4 2024$19.3M-2%

OVLY's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $22M last quarter, up 2.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

OVLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9.1M+43%
Q2 2026$3.4M-15%
Q1 2026$7.8M+16%
Q4 2025$7.4M+119%
Q3 2025$6.3M-27%
Q2 2025$4M+12%
Q1 2025$6.8M-17%
Q4 2024$3.4M+$4.9M

OVLY's free cash flow was $28M over the past year, up 35% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OVLY.

OVLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+15K shares
1 year+0.6%+49K shares
3 years+1.4%+116K shares
5 years+2%+165K shares
Available history+2.9%+231K shares

OVLY has 8M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

OVLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.2xQ1 2024: -4.6xQ2 2024: -5.4xQ3 2024: -6.4xQ4 2024: -5.0xQ1 2025: -6.3xQ2 2025: -6.1xQ3 2025: -7.8xQ4 2025: -7.3xQ1 2026: -6.3xQ2 2026: -6.2xQ3 2026: -5.8x
Q4 2023: -5.2xQ1 2024: -4.6xQ2 2024: -5.4xQ3 2024: -6.4xQ4 2024: -5.0xQ1 2025: -6.3xQ2 2025: -6.1xQ3 2025: -7.8xQ4 2025: -7.3xQ1 2026: -6.3xQ2 2026: -6.2xQ3 2026: -5.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-7.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-6.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.0xNet Cash

OVLY has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OVLY.

OVLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.3Neutral
Stochastic56.6Neutral

OVLY's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

OVLY PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricOVLYSector medianRelative
PE12x13x4.5% below
PE %966333 pts above

OVLY is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

OVLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.11.3% above
20 week MA$34.01.6% above
50 week MA$33.14.5% above
100 week MA$30.015% above
200 week MA$27.924% above

OVLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 24% above its 200-week average.

OVLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.6$17.4-11%
2021$17.4$17.3-0.9%
2022$17.3$21.7+26%
2023$21.7$30.0+38%
2024$30.0$29.7-0.8%
2025$29.7$30.0+1.1%
2026 YTD$30.0$34.6+15%

OVLY has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

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