OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over VRTX overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

VRTX

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated

48
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential29/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

VRTX has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

VRTX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

VRTX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over VRTX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

VRTX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap23x$360-34%
Fair28x$429-21%
Forward29x$543—
Expensive32x$496-8.7%
Current35x$543—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRTX's PE is in its expensive range at 35x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 29x, in its fair range.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over VRTX on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

VRTX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect VRTX's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VRTX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

VRTX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$606.22
Downside-29%$385.35

Calculated from the latest close: $542.62 on Nov 12.

VRTX trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has returned to profit: it earned $2.47 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

VRTX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $13.89Q1 2024: $15.41Q2 2024: $-2.03Q3 2024: $-1.99Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-3.80Q2 2025: $14.11Q3 2025: $14.30Q4 2025: $15.32Q1 2026: $16.85Q2 2026: $17.17Q3 2026: $15.53Forward: $18.81
Q4 2023: $13.89Q1 2024: $15.41Q2 2024: $-2.03Q3 2024: $-1.99Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-3.80Q2 2025: $14.11Q3 2025: $14.30Q4 2025: $15.32Q1 2026: $16.85Q2 2026: $17.17Q3 2026: $15.53Forward: $18.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$18.81+21%
Q3 2026$15.53+8.6%
Q2 2026$17.17+22%
Q1 2026$16.85+$20.65
Q4 2025$15.32+$17.40
Q3 2025$14.30+$16.29
Q2 2025$14.11+$16.14
Q1 2025-$3.80-125%
Q4 2024-$2.08-115%

VRTX has the edge over OSCR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over VRTX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

VRTX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $3BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.2BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $3BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.2BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.4B+12%
Q2 2026$3.3B+12%
Q1 2026$3B+7.8%
Q4 2025$3.2B+9.5%
Q3 2025$3.1B+11%
Q2 2025$3B+12%
Q1 2025$2.8B+3%
Q4 2024$2.9B+16%

VRTX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $3.4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over VRTX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VRTX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $177MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: −$3.8BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $492MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $927MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $349MQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $546M
Q4 2023: $177MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: −$3.8BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $492MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $927MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $349MQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $546M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$545.8M-52%
Q2 2026$1B+9.3%
Q1 2026$1.3B+66%
Q4 2025$348.6M-29%
Q3 2025$1.1B-12%
Q2 2025$927.4M+$4.8B
Q1 2025$778.2M-37%
Q4 2024$492M+179%

VRTX generated $3.2B in free cash flow over the past year, down 4% from the year before.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

VRTX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 261MQ1 2024: 261MQ2 2024: 258MQ3 2024: 261MQ4 2024: 258MQ1 2025: 260MQ2 2025: 259MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 256MQ2 2026: 255MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 261MQ1 2024: 261MQ2 2024: 258MQ3 2024: 261MQ4 2024: 258MQ1 2025: 260MQ2 2025: 259MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 256MQ2 2026: 255MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-0.9%-2.4M shares
3 years-2.1%-5.4M shares
5 years-1.7%-4.5M shares
Available history-2.6%-6.9M shares

VRTX has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over VRTX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VRTX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -1.2xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -1.2xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.6xNet Cash

VRTX has more cash than debt.

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

VRTX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.4Neutral
Stochastic81.1Overbought

VRTX's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR has the edge over VRTX on valuation relative to its sector.

VRTX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricVRTXSector medianRelative
PE35x26x35% above
PE %912962 pts above

VRTX is trading at 35x earnings, a 35% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 106% above its 200-week average.

VRTX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$526.73% above
20 week MA$516.45.1% above
50 week MA$479.213% above
100 week MA$459.718% above
200 week MA$428.427% above

VRTX is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 27% above its 200-week average.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over VRTX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VRTX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$221.0$234.5+6.1%
2021$234.5$223.5-4.7%
2022$223.5$289.7+30%
2023$289.7$406.9+40%
2024$406.9$408.8+0.5%
2025$408.8$462.9+13%
2026 YTD$462.9$542.6+17%

VRTX has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 17% so far in 2026.

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