VRTX

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated

48
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential29/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

VRTX's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 35x earnings, above its usual 28x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady, though they disagree widely on how much.

VRTX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

VRTX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

VRTX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x31x47x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap23x$360-34%
Fair28x$429-21%
Forward29x$543—
Expensive32x$496-8.7%
Current35x$543—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRTX's PE is in its expensive range at 35x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 29x, in its fair range.

VRTX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect VRTX's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VRTX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$606.22
Downside-29%$385.35

Calculated from the latest close: $542.62 on Nov 12.

VRTX's one-year downside scenario is more than twice its upside: −29% against +12%.

VRTX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $13.89Q1 2024: $15.41Q2 2024: $-2.03Q3 2024: $-1.99Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-3.80Q2 2025: $14.11Q3 2025: $14.30Q4 2025: $15.32Q1 2026: $16.85Q2 2026: $17.17Q3 2026: $15.53Forward: $18.81
Q4 2023: $13.89Q1 2024: $15.41Q2 2024: $-2.03Q3 2024: $-1.99Q4 2024: $-2.08Q1 2025: $-3.80Q2 2025: $14.11Q3 2025: $14.30Q4 2025: $15.32Q1 2026: $16.85Q2 2026: $17.17Q3 2026: $15.53Forward: $18.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$18.81+21%
Q3 2026$15.53+8.6%
Q2 2026$17.17+22%
Q1 2026$16.85+$20.65
Q4 2025$15.32+$17.40
Q3 2025$14.30+$16.29
Q2 2025$14.11+$16.14
Q1 2025-$3.80-125%
Q4 2024-$2.08-115%

VRTX earned $15.53 per share over the past year, up 8.6% from the year before.

VRTX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $3BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.2BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.8BQ2 2025: $3BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3.2BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.4B+12%
Q2 2026$3.3B+12%
Q1 2026$3B+7.8%
Q4 2025$3.2B+9.5%
Q3 2025$3.1B+11%
Q2 2025$3B+12%
Q1 2025$2.8B+3%
Q4 2024$2.9B+16%

VRTX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $3.4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRTX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $177MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: −$3.8BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $492MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $927MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $349MQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $546M
Q4 2023: $177MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: −$3.8BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $492MQ1 2025: $778MQ2 2025: $927MQ3 2025: $1.1BQ4 2025: $349MQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $546M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$545.8M-52%
Q2 2026$1B+9.3%
Q1 2026$1.3B+66%
Q4 2025$348.6M-29%
Q3 2025$1.1B-12%
Q2 2025$927.4M+$4.8B
Q1 2025$778.2M-37%
Q4 2024$492M+179%

VRTX generated $3.2B in free cash flow over the past year, down 4% from the year before.

VRTX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 261MQ1 2024: 261MQ2 2024: 258MQ3 2024: 261MQ4 2024: 258MQ1 2025: 260MQ2 2025: 259MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 256MQ2 2026: 255MQ3 2026: 255M
Q4 2023: 261MQ1 2024: 261MQ2 2024: 258MQ3 2024: 261MQ4 2024: 258MQ1 2025: 260MQ2 2025: 259MQ3 2025: 258MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 256MQ2 2026: 255MQ3 2026: 255M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-0.9%-2.4M shares
3 years-2.1%-5.4M shares
5 years-1.7%-4.5M shares
Available history-2.6%-6.9M shares

VRTX has 255M diluted shares, down 0.9% from a year ago.

VRTX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -1.2xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.2xQ3 2025: -1.2xQ4 2025: -1.2xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.6xNet Cash

VRTX has more cash than debt.

VRTX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.4Neutral
Stochastic81.1Overbought

VRTX's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

VRTX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricVRTXSector medianRelative
PE35x26x35% above
PE %912962 pts above

VRTX is trading at 35x earnings, a 35% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

VRTX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$526.73% above
20 week MA$516.45.1% above
50 week MA$479.213% above
100 week MA$459.718% above
200 week MA$428.427% above

VRTX is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 27% above its 200-week average.

VRTX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$221.0$234.5+6.1%
2021$234.5$223.5-4.7%
2022$223.5$289.7+30%
2023$289.7$406.9+40%
2024$406.9$408.8+0.5%
2025$408.8$462.9+13%
2026 YTD$462.9$542.6+17%

VRTX has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 17% so far in 2026.

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