OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over TMCI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

TMCI

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc.

50
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

TMCI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TMCI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Weak

TMCI's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TMCI PE Valuation

TMCI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for OSCR, with profitability improving.

TMCI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect TMCI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails TMCI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TMCI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+65%$8.81
Downside-39%$3.25

Calculated from the latest close: $5.34 on Nov 12.

TMCI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over TMCI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TMCI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.88Q2 2024: $-1.02Q3 2024: $-0.99Q4 2024: $-0.90Q1 2025: $-0.85Q2 2025: $-0.79Q3 2025: $-0.80Q4 2025: $-0.93Q1 2026: $-0.96Q2 2026: $-0.92Q3 2026: $-0.85
Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.88Q2 2024: $-1.02Q3 2024: $-0.99Q4 2024: $-0.90Q1 2025: $-0.85Q2 2025: $-0.79Q3 2025: $-0.80Q4 2025: $-0.93Q1 2026: $-0.96Q2 2026: $-0.92Q3 2026: $-0.85
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.85-$0.05
Q2 2026-$0.92-$0.13
Q1 2026-$0.96-$0.11
Q4 2025-$0.93-$0.03
Q3 2025-$0.80+$0.19
Q2 2025-$0.79+$0.23
Q1 2025-$0.85+$0.03
Q4 2024-$0.90-$0.09

TMCI is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.85 per share over the past year, against $1.02 at its worst in mid-2024.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over TMCI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TMCI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $69MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $50MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $47MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $48M
Q4 2023: $62MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $69MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $50MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $47MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $48M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$48.3M-3.9%
Q2 2026$45.4M-4.2%
Q1 2026$47.2M-10%
Q4 2025$62.5M-9%
Q3 2025$50.2M+11%
Q2 2025$47.4M+6.6%
Q1 2025$52.6M+2.9%
Q4 2024$68.7M+10%

TMCI's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $48M last quarter, down 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over TMCI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

TMCI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: −$16MQ3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $655,000Q2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: −$5M
Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: −$16MQ3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $655,000Q2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: −$5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5.4M+$6.5M
Q2 2026-$6.9M+$918K
Q1 2026$4.2M+538%
Q4 2025-$10.4M-$3.1M
Q3 2025-$11.9M+$2.8M
Q2 2025-$7.8M+$7.8M
Q1 2025$655K+$11.8M
Q4 2024-$7.3M-$5.6M

TMCI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$19M over the past year, against −$26M the year before.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

TMCI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 62MQ2 2024: 62MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 62MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 65MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 65M
Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 62MQ2 2024: 62MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 62MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 65MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 65M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+415K shares
1 year+3.1%+1.9M shares
3 years+6.3%+3.9M shares
5 years+24%+12.7M shares
Available history+49%+21.6M shares

TMCI has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has more cash than debt.

TMCI Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 202036.3xHigh

TMCI's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

TMCI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.8Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

TMCI's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

TMCI PE vs Healthcare Sector

TMCI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over TMCI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TMCI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.3523% above
20 week MA$4.4121% above
50 week MA$3.2266% above
100 week MA$5.036.2% above
200 week MA$9.4744% below

TMCI has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 44% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +314% in 2023 to −74% in 2021. It's up 114% so far in 2026.

TMCI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$25.5$17.3-32%
2022$17.3$23.9+39%
2023$23.9$12.8-47%
2024$12.8$6.98-45%
2025$6.98$2.42-65%
2026 YTD$2.42$5.34+121%

TMCI has the edge over OSCR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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