TMCI

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc.

50
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

TMCI lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink.

TMCI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Weak

TMCI's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

TMCI PE Valuation

TMCI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMCI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect TMCI's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

TMCI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+65%$8.81
Downside-39%$3.25

Calculated from the latest close: $5.34 on Nov 12.

TMCI's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +65% against −39%.

TMCI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.88Q2 2024: $-1.02Q3 2024: $-0.99Q4 2024: $-0.90Q1 2025: $-0.85Q2 2025: $-0.79Q3 2025: $-0.80Q4 2025: $-0.93Q1 2026: $-0.96Q2 2026: $-0.92Q3 2026: $-0.85
Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-0.88Q2 2024: $-1.02Q3 2024: $-0.99Q4 2024: $-0.90Q1 2025: $-0.85Q2 2025: $-0.79Q3 2025: $-0.80Q4 2025: $-0.93Q1 2026: $-0.96Q2 2026: $-0.92Q3 2026: $-0.85
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.85-$0.05
Q2 2026-$0.92-$0.13
Q1 2026-$0.96-$0.11
Q4 2025-$0.93-$0.03
Q3 2025-$0.80+$0.19
Q2 2025-$0.79+$0.23
Q1 2025-$0.85+$0.03
Q4 2024-$0.90-$0.09

TMCI is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.85 per share over the past year, against $1.02 at its worst in mid-2024.

TMCI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $69MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $50MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $47MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $48M
Q4 2023: $62MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $45MQ4 2024: $69MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $50MQ4 2025: $63MQ1 2026: $47MQ2 2026: $45MQ3 2026: $48M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$48.3M-3.9%
Q2 2026$45.4M-4.2%
Q1 2026$47.2M-10%
Q4 2025$62.5M-9%
Q3 2025$50.2M+11%
Q2 2025$47.4M+6.6%
Q1 2025$52.6M+2.9%
Q4 2024$68.7M+10%

TMCI's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $48M last quarter, down 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

TMCI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: −$16MQ3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $655,000Q2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: −$5M
Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: −$16MQ3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $655,000Q2 2025: −$8MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: −$7MQ3 2026: −$5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5.4M+$6.5M
Q2 2026-$6.9M+$918K
Q1 2026$4.2M+538%
Q4 2025-$10.4M-$3.1M
Q3 2025-$11.9M+$2.8M
Q2 2025-$7.8M+$7.8M
Q1 2025$655K+$11.8M
Q4 2024-$7.3M-$5.6M

TMCI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$19M over the past year, against −$26M the year before.

TMCI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 62MQ2 2024: 62MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 62MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 65MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 65M
Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 62MQ2 2024: 62MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 62MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 63MQ1 2026: 65MQ2 2026: 65MQ3 2026: 65M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+415K shares
1 year+3.1%+1.9M shares
3 years+6.3%+3.9M shares
5 years+24%+12.7M shares
Available history+49%+21.6M shares

TMCI has 65M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.

TMCI Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 202036.3xHigh

TMCI's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

TMCI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.8Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

TMCI's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

TMCI PE vs Healthcare Sector

TMCI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TMCI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.3523% above
20 week MA$4.4121% above
50 week MA$3.2266% above
100 week MA$5.036.2% above
200 week MA$9.4744% below

TMCI has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 44% below its 200-week average.

TMCI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$25.5$17.3-32%
2022$17.3$23.9+39%
2023$23.9$12.8-47%
2024$12.8$6.98-45%
2025$6.98$2.42-65%
2026 YTD$2.42$5.34+121%

TMCI has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 121% so far in 2026.

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