OPXS

Optex Systems Holdings, Inc

43
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

OPXS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over OPXS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

OPXS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

OPXS's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

OPXS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$4.49-48%
Fair15x$8.18-4.7%
Current16x$8.58—
Expensive20x$10.93+27%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OPXS's PE is in its fair range at 16x.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OPXS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for OPXS to show an outlook.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OPXS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$11.85
Downside-32%$5.84

Calculated from the latest close: $8.58 on Nov 12.

OPXS trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OPXS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OPXS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.34Q4 2023: $0.43Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.61Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $0.61Q1 2025: $0.71Q2 2025: $0.75Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $0.58Q2 2026: $0.54
Q4 2023: $0.34Q4 2023: $0.43Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.61Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $0.61Q1 2025: $0.71Q2 2025: $0.75Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $0.58Q2 2026: $0.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.54-28%
Q1 2026$0.58-18%
Q4 2025$0.65+6.6%
Q3 2025$0.74+35%
Q2 2025$0.75+23%
Q1 2025$0.71+37%
Q4 2024$0.61+42%
Q3 2024$0.55+62%

OPXS has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

OPXS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $10M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$9.7M-12%
Q1 2026$9.6M-10%
Q4 2025$9.1M+12%
Q3 2025$11.3M+20%
Q2 2025$11.1M+23%
Q1 2025$10.7M+26%
Q4 2024$8.2M+18%
Q3 2024$9.4M+17%

OPXS's revenue has held roughly level: $10M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over OPXS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OPXS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$256,000Q3 2024: $545,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: −$548,000Q1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: $1MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$256,000Q3 2024: $545,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: −$548,000Q1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$2.1M+53%
Q1 2026-$1.6M-256%
Q4 2025-$548K-122%
Q3 2025$1.5M+179%
Q2 2025$1.4M+$1.6M
Q1 2025$1.1M+$2.4M
Q4 2024$2.5M+13%
Q3 2024$545K-50%

OPXS has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

OPXS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7MQ4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 7M
Q4 2023: 7MQ4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 7M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+9.8K shares
1 year+0.1%+5.4K shares
3 years+3.7%+249K shares
5 years-15%-1.2M shares
Available history-18%-1.6M shares

OPXS has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

OPXS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.6xNet Cash

OPXS has more cash than debt.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

OPXS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic13.5Oversold

OPXS's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

OPXS PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricOPXSSector medianRelative
PE16x24x34% below
PE %56582 pts below

OPXS is trading at 16x earnings, a 34% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OPXS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.5410% below
20 week MA$10.719% below
50 week MA$12.129% below
100 week MA$10.921% below
200 week MA$8.224.4% above

OPXS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 4.4% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over OPXS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OPXS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.02$1.73-14%
2021$1.73$1.79+3.5%
2022$1.79$2.91+63%
2023$2.91$6.55+125%
2024$6.55$7.02+7.2%
2025$7.02$14.1+100%
2026 YTD$14.1$8.58-39%

OPXS is down 39% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over OPXS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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