OPXS

Optex Systems Holdings, Inc

43
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

OPXS's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 16x earnings, in line with its usual 15x.

OPXS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

OPXS's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

OPXS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.3x$4.49-48%
Fair15x$8.18-4.7%
Current16x$8.58—
Expensive20x$10.93+27%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OPXS's PE is in its fair range at 16x.

OPXS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for OPXS to show an outlook.

OPXS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$11.85
Downside-32%$5.84

Calculated from the latest close: $8.58 on Nov 12.

OPXS's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +38% against −32%.

OPXS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.34Q4 2023: $0.43Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.61Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $0.61Q1 2025: $0.71Q2 2025: $0.75Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $0.58Q2 2026: $0.54
Q4 2023: $0.34Q4 2023: $0.43Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.61Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $0.61Q1 2025: $0.71Q2 2025: $0.75Q3 2025: $0.74Q4 2025: $0.65Q1 2026: $0.58Q2 2026: $0.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.54-28%
Q1 2026$0.58-18%
Q4 2025$0.65+6.6%
Q3 2025$0.74+35%
Q2 2025$0.75+23%
Q1 2025$0.71+37%
Q4 2024$0.61+42%
Q3 2024$0.55+62%

OPXS's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.54 over the past year, against $0.75 in mid-2025.

OPXS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $11MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $10M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$9.7M-12%
Q1 2026$9.6M-10%
Q4 2025$9.1M+12%
Q3 2025$11.3M+20%
Q2 2025$11.1M+23%
Q1 2025$10.7M+26%
Q4 2024$8.2M+18%
Q3 2024$9.4M+17%

OPXS's revenue has held roughly level: $10M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

OPXS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$256,000Q3 2024: $545,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: −$548,000Q1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: $1MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$256,000Q3 2024: $545,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: −$548,000Q1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$2.1M+53%
Q1 2026-$1.6M-256%
Q4 2025-$548K-122%
Q3 2025$1.5M+179%
Q2 2025$1.4M+$1.6M
Q1 2025$1.1M+$2.4M
Q4 2024$2.5M+13%
Q3 2024$545K-50%

OPXS generated $1M in free cash flow over the past year, down 73% from the year before.

OPXS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7MQ4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 7M
Q4 2023: 7MQ4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 7M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+9.8K shares
1 year+0.1%+5.4K shares
3 years+3.7%+249K shares
5 years-15%-1.2M shares
Available history-18%-1.6M shares

OPXS has 7M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

OPXS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.6xNet Cash

OPXS has more cash than debt.

OPXS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic13.5Oversold

OPXS's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

OPXS PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricOPXSSector medianRelative
PE16x24x34% below
PE %56582 pts below

OPXS is trading at 16x earnings, a 34% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

OPXS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.5410% below
20 week MA$10.719% below
50 week MA$12.129% below
100 week MA$10.921% below
200 week MA$8.224.4% above

OPXS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 4.4% above its 200-week average.

OPXS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.02$1.73-14%
2021$1.73$1.79+3.5%
2022$1.79$2.91+63%
2023$2.91$6.55+125%
2024$6.55$7.02+7.2%
2025$7.02$14.1+100%
2026 YTD$14.1$8.58-39%

OPXS is down 39% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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