OPXS
Optex Systems Holdings, Inc
OPXS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over OPXS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
OPXS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
OPXS's balance sheet is currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
OPXS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.3x | $4.49 | -48% |
| Fair | 15x | $8.18 | -4.7% |
| Current | 16x | $8.58 | — |
| Expensive | 20x | $10.93 | +27% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OPXS's PE is in its fair range at 16x.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OPXS Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for OPXS to show an outlook.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
OPXS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.54 | -28% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.58 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.65 | +6.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.74 | +35% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.75 | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.71 | +37% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.61 | +42% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.55 | +62% |
OPXS has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
OPXS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $9.7M | -12% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.6M | -10% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.1M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.3M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1M | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.7M | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $8.2M | +18% |
| Q3 2024 | $9.4M | +17% |
OPXS's revenue has held roughly level: $10M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.6% | -9.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 18% | +4.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 21% | +4.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +3.2 points |
| Q3 2024 | 14% | -7.3 points |
OPXS has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over OPXS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
OPXS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.1M | +53% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.6M | -256% |
| Q4 2025 | -$548K | -122% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5M | +179% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4M | +$1.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1M | +$2.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $2.5M | +13% |
| Q3 2024 | $545K | -50% |
OPXS has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
OPXS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +9.8K shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +5.4K shares |
| 3 years | +3.7% | +249K shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -1.2M shares |
| Available history | -18% | -1.6M shares |
OPXS has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2021 | $74,000 |
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
OPXS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
OPXS has more cash than debt.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
OPXS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 13.5 | Oversold |
OPXS's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
OPXS PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | OPXS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 24x | 34% below |
| PE % | 56 | 58 | 2 pts below |
OPXS is trading at 16x earnings, a 34% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
OPXS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.54 | 10% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.7 | 19% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.1 | 29% below |
| 100 week MA | $10.9 | 21% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.22 | 4.4% above |
OPXS has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
OPXS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.02 | $1.73 | -14% |
| 2021 | $1.73 | $1.79 | +3.5% |
| 2022 | $1.79 | $2.91 | +63% |
| 2023 | $2.91 | $6.55 | +125% |
| 2024 | $6.55 | $7.02 | +7.2% |
| 2025 | $7.02 | $14.1 | +100% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.1 | $8.58 | -39% |
OPXS is down 39% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over OPXS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.