OPEN

Opendoor Technologies Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score OPEN yet.

ORC

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

50
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation35/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

ORC's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 19x earnings, above its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings to decline, though they disagree widely on how much.

OPEN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

OPEN's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like OPEN.

ORC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

ORC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for real estate companies like ORC.

OPEN PE Valuation

OPEN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ORC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE49x99x148x197x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE49x99x148x197x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$4.67—
Cheap5.4x$1.36-71%
Fair14x$3.53-24%
Current19x$4.67—
Expensive41x$10.36+122%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ORC's PE is in its fair range at 19x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.6x, in its cheap range.

OPEN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect OPEN's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ORC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ORC's revenue to grow, but its earnings to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OPEN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $1.24 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare OPEN and ORC's risk to reward.

ORC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$5.44
Downside-14%$4.03

Calculated from the latest close: $4.67 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare OPEN and ORC's risk to reward.

OPEN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.58Q3 2024: $-0.53Q4 2024: $-0.56Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-0.44Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.76Q2 2026: $-1.89Q3 2026: $-2.00
Q4 2023: $-0.42Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.58Q3 2024: $-0.53Q4 2024: $-0.56Q1 2025: $-0.52Q2 2025: $-0.43Q3 2025: $-0.44Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.76Q2 2026: $-1.89Q3 2026: $-2.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.00-$1.56
Q2 2026-$1.89-$1.46
Q1 2026-$1.76-$1.24
Q4 2025-$1.70-$1.14
Q3 2025-$0.44+$0.09
Q2 2025-$0.43+$0.15
Q1 2025-$0.52-$0.10
Q4 2024-$0.56-$0.14

OPEN lost $2.00 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last five quarters.

ORC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.78Q3 2024: $1.14Q4 2024: $0.57Q1 2025: $0.37Q2 2025: $0.17Q3 2025: $0.46Q4 2025: $1.24Q1 2026: $0.95Q2 2026: $1.68Q3 2026: $0.25Forward: $1.01
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.78Q3 2024: $1.14Q4 2024: $0.57Q1 2025: $0.37Q2 2025: $0.17Q3 2025: $0.46Q4 2025: $1.24Q1 2026: $0.95Q2 2026: $1.68Q3 2026: $0.25Forward: $1.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.01+304%
Q3 2026$0.25-46%
Q2 2026$1.68+888%
Q1 2026$0.95+157%
Q4 2025$1.24+118%
Q3 2025$0.46-60%
Q2 2025$0.17+$0.95
Q1 2025$0.37+$0.81
Q4 2024$0.57+$1.30

ORC has the edge over OPEN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

OPEN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $870MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $736MQ1 2026: $720MQ2 2026: $883MQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $870MQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $915MQ4 2025: $736MQ1 2026: $720MQ2 2026: $883MQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1B+12%
Q2 2026$883M-44%
Q1 2026$720M-38%
Q4 2025$736M-32%
Q3 2025$915M-34%
Q2 2025$1.6B+3.7%
Q1 2025$1.2B-2.4%
Q4 2024$1.1B+25%

OPEN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $1B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

ORC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: $340,000Q4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $59M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: $340,000Q4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $57MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $59M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$59.1M+120%
Q2 2026$60M+159%
Q1 2026$57.1M+189%
Q4 2025$38.5M+373%
Q3 2025$26.9M+7817%
Q4 2022$2.4M-94%
Q3 2022$14.2M-56%
Q2 2022$27.1M-2.2%

ORC has the edge over OPEN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OPEN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$551MQ1 2024: −$186MQ2 2024: −$407MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: −$83MQ1 2025: −$283MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $432MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: −$250MQ2 2026: −$723MQ3 2026: −$836M
Q4 2023: −$551MQ1 2024: −$186MQ2 2024: −$407MQ3 2024: $56MQ4 2024: −$83MQ1 2025: −$283MQ2 2025: $821MQ3 2025: $432MQ4 2025: $67MQ1 2026: −$250MQ2 2026: −$723MQ3 2026: −$836M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$836M-294%
Q2 2026-$723M-188%
Q1 2026-$250M+$33M
Q4 2025$67M+$150M
Q3 2025$432M+671%
Q2 2025$821M+$1.2B
Q1 2025-$283M-$97M
Q4 2024-$83M+$468M

OPEN's free cash flow was −$1.7B over the past year, against $887M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like OPEN.

ORC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $82MQ3 2026: $65M
Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: $45MQ2 2024: $19MQ3 2024: −$15MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $28MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $82MQ3 2026: $65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$65.1M+133%
Q2 2026$81.6M+342%
Q1 2026$48.6M+89%
Q4 2025$48.3M+176%
Q3 2025$28M+$42.8M
Q2 2025$18.4M-4.4%
Q1 2025$25.8M-43%
Q4 2024$17.5M+$58.3M

ORC has the edge over OPEN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

OPEN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 657MQ1 2024: 682MQ2 2024: 693MQ3 2024: 705MQ4 2024: 699MQ1 2025: 724MQ2 2025: 729MQ3 2025: 742MQ1 2026: 959MQ2 2026: 966MQ3 2026: 949M
Q4 2023: 657MQ1 2024: 682MQ2 2024: 693MQ3 2024: 705MQ4 2024: 699MQ1 2025: 724MQ2 2025: 729MQ3 2025: 742MQ1 2026: 959MQ2 2026: 966MQ3 2026: 949M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.7%-16.3M shares
1 year+30%+220M shares
3 years+42%+282M shares
5 years+61%+361M shares
Available history+1042%+866M shares

OPEN has the edge over ORC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ORC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 95MQ2 2025: 114MQ3 2025: 136MQ1 2026: 189MQ2 2026: 201MQ3 2026: 198M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 95MQ2 2025: 114MQ3 2025: 136MQ1 2026: 189MQ2 2026: 201MQ3 2026: 198M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-2.5M shares
1 year+73%+84M shares
3 years+416%+160M shares
5 years+1308%+184M shares
Available history+1472%+186M shares

ORC has 198M diluted shares, up 73% from a year ago, despite $39M in buybacks over the past year.

OPEN Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2022337.2xHigh

OPEN's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for real estate companies like OPEN.

ORC Net Leverage

OPEN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI20.6Oversold
Stochastic1.2Oversold

OPEN's weekly RSI is 21 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 1 (oversold).

ORC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI20.9Oversold
Stochastic5.0Oversold

ORC's weekly RSI is 21 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

OPEN PE vs Real Estate Sector

OPEN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ORC PE vs Real Estate Sector

MetricORCSector medianRelative
PE19x24x22% below
PE %642341 pts above

ORC is trading at 19x earnings, a 22% discount to the Real Estate sector's median of 24x.

OPEN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.9737% below
20 week MA$3.0059% below
50 week MA$4.3772% below
100 week MA$3.7467% below
200 week MA$3.1360% below

OPEN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 60% below its 200-week average.

ORC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.047.3% below
20 week MA$5.9722% below
50 week MA$6.7231% below
100 week MA$7.0734% below
200 week MA$8.0342% below

ORC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 42% below its 200-week average.

OPEN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$27.4+150%
2021$27.4$14.9-46%
2022$14.9$1.02-93%
2023$1.02$4.48+339%
2024$4.48$1.67-63%
2025$1.67$6.01+260%
2026 YTD$6.01$1.24-79%

OPEN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +339% in 2023 to −93% in 2022. It's down 79% so far in 2026.

ORC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.8$26.9-9.9%
2021$26.9$23.3-13%
2022$23.3$11.1-52%
2023$11.1$8.43-24%
2024$8.43$7.88-6.5%
2025$7.88$7.32-7.1%
2026 YTD$7.32$4.67-36%

ORC has the edge over OPEN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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