ODFL
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
ODFL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co
VRT has the edge over ODFL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
ODFL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
ODFL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
VRT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
ODFL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 26x | $172 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $150 | -12% |
| Current | 31x | $172 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $188 | +9.7% |
| Expensive | 40x | $225 | +31% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ODFL's PE is in its fair range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
VRT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 23x | $210 | — |
| Current | 39x | $210 | — |
| Cheap | 58x | $308 | +47% |
| Fair | 72x | $383 | +83% |
| Expensive | 88x | $472 | +125% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VRT has the edge over ODFL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ODFL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ODFL, with profitability improving.
VRT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.
ODFL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.62 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.57 | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.20 | +1.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.79 | -10% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.84 | -12% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.97 | -13% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.12 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.33 | -6.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.48 | -2.7% |
ODFL earned $5.57 per share over the past year, up 12% from the year before.
VRT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.14 | +71% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.35 | +102% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.98 | +131% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.41 | +166% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.65 | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.09 | +62% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.72 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.28 | +7.6% |
VRT has the edge over ODFL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ODFL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6B | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | -2.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -5.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | -6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4B | -5.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | -7.3% |
ODFL's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $1.6B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 28% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 30% | +4.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 24% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 23% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | -1.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 25% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 24% | -4 points |
ODFL has the edge over VRT on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
VRT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +26% |
VRT has the edge over ODFL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +4.2 points |
VRT's operating margin was 23% last quarter, up 3.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2020.
ODFL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $402.4M | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $195.7M | +98% |
| Q1 2026 | $311.1M | +25% |
| Q4 2025 | $264.5M | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $343.5M | +69% |
| Q2 2025 | $98.7M | -34% |
| Q1 2025 | $248.4M | -18% |
| Q4 2024 | $230.1M | -30% |
ODFL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.2B over the past year, up 27% from the year before.
VRT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $654.9M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $926.5M | +233% |
| Q1 2026 | $654.2M | +145% |
| Q4 2025 | $885.6M | +143% |
| Q3 2025 | $463.5M | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $277.9M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $266.8M | +162% |
| Q4 2024 | $364.5M | +18% |
VRT has the edge over ODFL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ODFL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -593K shares |
| 1 year | -1.3% | -2.8M shares |
| 3 years | -5.3% | -11.5M shares |
| 5 years | -10% | -24.2M shares |
| Available history | -14% | -33.1M shares |
ODFL has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $160.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $151.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $88.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $124.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $180.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $223.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $201.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $182.5M |
ODFL spent $526M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 33% from the year before.
VRT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -64.9K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +4.4M shares |
| 5 years | +10% | +36M shares |
| Available history | +63% | +152M shares |
VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | $599.9M |
ODFL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
ODFL has more cash than debt.
VRT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
VRT has more cash than debt.
ODFL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.0 | Oversold |
ODFL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
VRT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.4 | Neutral |
VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
ODFL PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | ODFL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31x | 24x | 28% above |
| PE % | 35 | 58 | 23 pts below |
ODFL has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.
VRT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | VRT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 24x | 63% above |
| PE % | 3 | 58 | 55 pts below |
VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
ODFL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $176.9 | 3% below |
| 20 week MA | $195.5 | 12% below |
| 50 week MA | $195.2 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $177.6 | 3.3% below |
| 200 week MA | $184.6 | 7% below |
ODFL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 7% below its 200-week average.
VRT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.8 | 5.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $254.4 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $253.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $189.1 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $123.5 | 70% above |
VRT has the edge over ODFL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ODFL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $63.0 | $99.1 | +57% |
| 2021 | $99.1 | $174.2 | +76% |
| 2022 | $174.2 | $143.1 | -18% |
| 2023 | $143.1 | $202.7 | +42% |
| 2024 | $202.7 | $180.2 | -11% |
| 2025 | $180.2 | $159.5 | -12% |
| 2026 YTD | $159.5 | $171.7 | +7.6% |
ODFL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 7.6% so far in 2026.
VRT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.9 | $18.9 | +73% |
| 2021 | $18.9 | $24.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $12.8 | -48% |
| 2023 | $12.8 | $48.0 | +275% |
| 2024 | $48.0 | $115.1 | +140% |
| 2025 | $115.1 | $167.6 | +46% |
| 2026 YTD | $167.6 | $209.6 | +25% |
VRT has the edge over ODFL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.