ODFL

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.

71
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

ODFL's fundamentals are strong: it turned 20% of its revenue into free cash flow and free cash flow grew 27%. At 31x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 34x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

ODFL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ODFL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ODFL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x53x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x53x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward26x$172—
Cheap27x$150-12%
Current31x$172—
Fair34x$188+9.7%
Expensive40x$225+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ODFL's PE is in its fair range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ODFL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ODFL, with profitability improving.

ODFL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$242.87
Downside-13%$149.73

Calculated from the latest close: $171.66 on Nov 12.

ODFL's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +41% against −13%.

ODFL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.63Q1 2024: $5.68Q2 2024: $5.83Q3 2024: $5.72Q4 2024: $5.48Q1 2025: $5.33Q2 2025: $5.12Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $4.84Q1 2026: $4.79Q2 2026: $5.20Q3 2026: $5.57Forward: $6.62
Q4 2023: $5.63Q1 2024: $5.68Q2 2024: $5.83Q3 2024: $5.72Q4 2024: $5.48Q1 2025: $5.33Q2 2025: $5.12Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $4.84Q1 2026: $4.79Q2 2026: $5.20Q3 2026: $5.57Forward: $6.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.62+19%
Q3 2026$5.57+12%
Q2 2026$5.20+1.6%
Q1 2026$4.79-10%
Q4 2025$4.84-12%
Q3 2025$4.97-13%
Q2 2025$5.12-12%
Q1 2025$5.33-6.2%
Q4 2024$5.48-2.7%

ODFL earned $5.57 per share over the past year, up 12% from the year before.

ODFL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+13%
Q2 2026$1.6B+10%
Q1 2026$1.3B-2.9%
Q4 2025$1.3B-5.7%
Q3 2025$1.4B-4.3%
Q2 2025$1.4B-6.1%
Q1 2025$1.4B-5.8%
Q4 2024$1.4B-7.3%

ODFL's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $1.6B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

ODFL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $331MQ1 2024: $304MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $248MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $344MQ4 2025: $265MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $402M
Q4 2023: $331MQ1 2024: $304MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $248MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $344MQ4 2025: $265MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $402M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$402.4M+17%
Q2 2026$195.7M+98%
Q1 2026$311.1M+25%
Q4 2025$264.5M+15%
Q3 2025$343.5M+69%
Q2 2025$98.7M-34%
Q1 2025$248.4M-18%
Q4 2024$230.1M-30%

ODFL's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.2B over the past year, up 27% from the year before.

ODFL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 220MQ1 2024: 219MQ2 2024: 218MQ3 2024: 215MQ4 2024: 216MQ1 2025: 213MQ2 2025: 212MQ3 2025: 211MQ4 2025: 212MQ1 2026: 209MQ2 2026: 209MQ3 2026: 208M
Q4 2023: 220MQ1 2024: 219MQ2 2024: 218MQ3 2024: 215MQ4 2024: 216MQ1 2025: 213MQ2 2025: 212MQ3 2025: 211MQ4 2025: 212MQ1 2026: 209MQ2 2026: 209MQ3 2026: 208M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-593K shares
1 year-1.3%-2.8M shares
3 years-5.3%-11.5M shares
5 years-10%-24.2M shares
Available history-14%-33.1M shares

ODFL has 208M diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago, with $526M in buybacks over the past year.

ODFL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

ODFL has more cash than debt.

ODFL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.5Neutral
Stochastic8.0Oversold

ODFL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

ODFL PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricODFLSector medianRelative
PE31x24x28% above
PE %355823 pts below

ODFL is trading at 31x earnings, a 28% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

ODFL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$176.93% below
20 week MA$195.512% below
50 week MA$195.212% below
100 week MA$177.63.3% below
200 week MA$184.67% below

ODFL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 7% below its 200-week average.

ODFL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$63.0$99.1+57%
2021$99.1$174.2+76%
2022$174.2$143.1-18%
2023$143.1$202.7+42%
2024$202.7$180.2-11%
2025$180.2$159.5-12%
2026 YTD$159.5$171.7+7.6%

ODFL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 7.6% so far in 2026.

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