ODFL

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.

71
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

ODFL has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

ODFL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

ODFL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ODFL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x53x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x53x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward26x$172—
Cheap27x$150-12%
Current31x$172—
Fair34x$188+9.7%
Expensive40x$225+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ODFL's PE is in its fair range at 31x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ODFL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ODFL, with profitability improving.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

ODFL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$242.87
Downside-13%$149.73

Calculated from the latest close: $171.66 on Nov 12.

ODFL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails ODFL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ODFL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.63Q1 2024: $5.68Q2 2024: $5.83Q3 2024: $5.72Q4 2024: $5.48Q1 2025: $5.33Q2 2025: $5.12Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $4.84Q1 2026: $4.79Q2 2026: $5.20Q3 2026: $5.57Forward: $6.62
Q4 2023: $5.63Q1 2024: $5.68Q2 2024: $5.83Q3 2024: $5.72Q4 2024: $5.48Q1 2025: $5.33Q2 2025: $5.12Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $4.84Q1 2026: $4.79Q2 2026: $5.20Q3 2026: $5.57Forward: $6.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.62+19%
Q3 2026$5.57+12%
Q2 2026$5.20+1.6%
Q1 2026$4.79-10%
Q4 2025$4.84-12%
Q3 2025$4.97-13%
Q2 2025$5.12-12%
Q1 2025$5.33-6.2%
Q4 2024$5.48-2.7%

ODFL has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

ODFL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+13%
Q2 2026$1.6B+10%
Q1 2026$1.3B-2.9%
Q4 2025$1.3B-5.7%
Q3 2025$1.4B-4.3%
Q2 2025$1.4B-6.1%
Q1 2025$1.4B-5.8%
Q4 2024$1.4B-7.3%

ODFL's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $1.6B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over ODFL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ODFL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $331MQ1 2024: $304MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $248MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $344MQ4 2025: $265MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $402M
Q4 2023: $331MQ1 2024: $304MQ2 2024: $150MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $248MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $344MQ4 2025: $265MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $402M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$402.4M+17%
Q2 2026$195.7M+98%
Q1 2026$311.1M+25%
Q4 2025$264.5M+15%
Q3 2025$343.5M+69%
Q2 2025$98.7M-34%
Q1 2025$248.4M-18%
Q4 2024$230.1M-30%

ODFL has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

ODFL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 220MQ1 2024: 219MQ2 2024: 218MQ3 2024: 215MQ4 2024: 216MQ1 2025: 213MQ2 2025: 212MQ3 2025: 211MQ4 2025: 212MQ1 2026: 209MQ2 2026: 209MQ3 2026: 208M
Q4 2023: 220MQ1 2024: 219MQ2 2024: 218MQ3 2024: 215MQ4 2024: 216MQ1 2025: 213MQ2 2025: 212MQ3 2025: 211MQ4 2025: 212MQ1 2026: 209MQ2 2026: 209MQ3 2026: 208M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-593K shares
1 year-1.3%-2.8M shares
3 years-5.3%-11.5M shares
5 years-10%-24.2M shares
Available history-14%-33.1M shares

ODFL has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

ODFL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

ODFL has more cash than debt.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ODFL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.5Neutral
Stochastic8.0Oversold

ODFL's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

ODFL PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricODFLSector medianRelative
PE31x24x28% above
PE %355823 pts below

ODFL is trading at 31x earnings, a 28% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ODFL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$176.93% below
20 week MA$195.512% below
50 week MA$195.212% below
100 week MA$177.63.3% below
200 week MA$184.67% below

ODFL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 7% below its 200-week average.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

ODFL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$63.0$99.1+57%
2021$99.1$174.2+76%
2022$174.2$143.1-18%
2023$143.1$202.7+42%
2024$202.7$180.2-11%
2025$180.2$159.5-12%
2026 YTD$159.5$171.7+7.6%

ODFL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 7.6% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over ODFL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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