OCSL

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation

42
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

OCSL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.

70
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

SOFI has the edge over OCSL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

OCSL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Stable
N/A
N/A

OCSL's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OCSL.

SOFI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.

OCSL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE89x178x267x356x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE89x178x267x356x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.8x$2.79-77%
Forward8.9x$12.16—
Fair19x$8.88-27%
Current25x$12.16—
Expensive34x$16.42+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OCSL's PE is in its expensive range at 25x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.9x, in its cheap range.

SOFI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$15.63—
Current28x$15.63—
Cheap33x$18.24+17%
Fair43x$23.82+52%
Expensive53x$29.74+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SOFI has the edge over OCSL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

OCSL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect OCSL's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

SOFI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

SOFI has the edge over OCSL on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

OCSL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$14.35
Downside-15%$10.28

Calculated from the latest close: $12.16 on Nov 12.

OCSL trails SOFI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SOFI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$27.97
Downside-20%$12.51

Calculated from the latest close: $15.63 on Nov 12.

SOFI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OCSL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OCSL Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.63Q4 2023: $1.55Q1 2024: $1.38Q2 2024: $0.91Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.67Q1 2025: $0.13Q2 2025: $0.56Q3 2025: $0.39Q4 2025: $0.36Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.48Forward: $1.36
Q3 2023: $1.63Q4 2023: $1.55Q1 2024: $1.38Q2 2024: $0.91Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.67Q1 2025: $0.13Q2 2025: $0.56Q3 2025: $0.39Q4 2025: $0.36Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.48Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36+184%
Q2 2026$0.48-14%
Q1 2026$0.57+338%
Q4 2025$0.36-46%
Q3 2025$0.39-46%
Q2 2025$0.56-38%
Q1 2025$0.13-91%
Q4 2024$0.67-57%
Q3 2024$0.72-56%

OCSL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.48 over the past year, against $7.24 in early 2021.

SOFI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
Q4 2023: $-0.36Q1 2024: $-0.29Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $0.12Q4 2024: $0.39Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.50Q3 2025: $0.56Q4 2025: $0.39Q1 2026: $0.45Q2 2026: $0.49Q3 2026: $0.56Forward: $0.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.82+47%
Q3 2026$0.560%
Q2 2026$0.49-2%
Q1 2026$0.45+4.7%
Q4 2025$0.390%
Q3 2025$0.56+367%
Q2 2025$0.50+$0.72
Q1 2025$0.43+$0.72
Q4 2024$0.39+$0.75

SOFI has the edge over OCSL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OCSL Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$32.8M-32%
Q1 2022$25.6M-74%
Q4 2021$51.5M-30%
Q3 2021$48M-39%
Q2 2021$59.2M-54%
Q4 2020$73.7M+168%
Q3 2020$78.3M+227%

SOFI has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 32% for OCSL versus up 44% for SOFI.

SOFI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $615MQ1 2024: $645MQ2 2024: $599MQ3 2024: $697MQ4 2024: $734MQ1 2025: $772MQ2 2025: $855MQ3 2025: $962MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+44%
Q2 2026$1.2B+43%
Q1 2026$1.1B+43%
Q4 2025$1B+40%
Q3 2025$961.6M+38%
Q2 2025$854.9M+43%
Q1 2025$771.8M+20%
Q4 2024$734.1M+19%

SOFI's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since mid-2022: $1.4B last quarter, up 44% from the same quarter a year ago.

OCSL Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $244MQ4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: −$60MQ3 2024: $96MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: −$83MQ1 2026: $131MQ2 2026: $58M
Q3 2023: $244MQ4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: −$60MQ3 2024: $96MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: −$83MQ1 2026: $131MQ2 2026: $58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$57.6M+173%
Q1 2026$130.7M+111%
Q4 2025-$83.5M-158%
Q3 2025$1.3M-99%
Q2 2025$21.1M+$81M
Q1 2025$62M+$79.6M
Q4 2024$144M+12696%
Q3 2024$95.5M-61%

OCSL has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

SOFI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
Q4 2023: −$282MQ1 2024: $706MQ2 2024: −$521MQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: −$242MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: −$1.4BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$2.4BQ2 2026: −$4BQ3 2026: −$3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1B-$1.7B
Q2 2026-$4B-$2.5B
Q1 2026-$2.4B-$2.4B
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$815.2M
Q3 2025-$1.4B-$149M
Q2 2025-$1.5B-$1B
Q1 2025-$31.1M-104%
Q4 2024-$242.4M+$39.9M

SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

OCSL Total Shares

Q3 2023: 72MQ4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 82MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 82MQ1 2025: 86MQ2 2025: 88MQ3 2025: 86MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 88M
Q3 2023: 72MQ4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 82MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 82MQ1 2025: 86MQ2 2025: 88MQ3 2025: 86MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years+14%+11M shares
5 years+47%+28M shares
Available history+87%+41.1M shares

OCSL has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SOFI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 945MQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.2BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.4BQ2 2026: 1.4BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+5.8M shares
1 year+5.2%+66.8M shares
3 years+43%+407M shares
5 years+272%+993M shares

SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

OCSL Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202238.9xHigh
Q2 202224.2xHigh
Q1 20229.4xHigh
Q4 20215.8xHigh
Q3 20215.2xHigh
Q2 20213.7xElevated
Q1 20213.1xElevated
Q4 20202.7xModerate

OCSL's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OCSL.

SOFI Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
Q1 2024: -109.4xQ2 2024: -23.8xQ3 2024: -5.5xQ4 2024: -5.8xQ1 2025: -4.9xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -5.2xQ4 2025: -6.5xQ1 2026: -3.8xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.8xNet Cash

SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.

OCSL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.4Neutral
Stochastic50.3Neutral

OCSL's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

SOFI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.1Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

OCSL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricOCSLSector medianRelative
PE25x13x95% above
PE %756312 pts above

OCSL has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.

SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSOFISector medianRelative
PE28x13x114% above
PE %26159 pts below

SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

OCSL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.91.9% above
20 week MA$12.30.8% below
50 week MA$12.20.4% below
100 week MA$13.38.5% below
200 week MA$16.124% below

OCSL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 24% below its 200-week average.

SOFI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.70.7% below
20 week MA$17.07.8% below
50 week MA$18.917% below
100 week MA$18.917% below
200 week MA$13.516% above

SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.

OCSL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.4$16.7+1.6%
2021$16.7$22.5+35%
2022$22.5$20.6-8.7%
2023$20.6$20.4-0.6%
2024$20.4$15.3-25%
2025$15.3$12.8-16%
2026 YTD$12.8$12.2-4.9%

OCSL has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SOFI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.4$12.4+19%
2021$12.4$15.1+22%
2022$15.1$4.61-69%
2023$4.61$9.95+116%
2024$9.95$16.0+61%
2025$16.0$27.1+69%
2026 YTD$27.1$15.6-42%

SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

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