OCSL

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation

42
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

OCSL's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 25x earnings, above its usual 19x. Analysts expect earnings to decline.

OCSL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Stable
N/A
N/A

OCSL's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OCSL.

OCSL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE89x178x267x356x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE89x178x267x356x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.8x$2.79-77%
Forward8.9x$12.16—
Fair19x$8.88-27%
Current25x$12.16—
Expensive34x$16.42+35%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OCSL's PE is in its expensive range at 25x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.9x, in its cheap range.

OCSL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect OCSL's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.

OCSL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$14.35
Downside-15%$10.28

Calculated from the latest close: $12.16 on Nov 12.

OCSL's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +18% against −15%.

OCSL Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.63Q4 2023: $1.55Q1 2024: $1.38Q2 2024: $0.91Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.67Q1 2025: $0.13Q2 2025: $0.56Q3 2025: $0.39Q4 2025: $0.36Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.48Forward: $1.36
Q3 2023: $1.63Q4 2023: $1.55Q1 2024: $1.38Q2 2024: $0.91Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $0.67Q1 2025: $0.13Q2 2025: $0.56Q3 2025: $0.39Q4 2025: $0.36Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.48Forward: $1.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.36+184%
Q2 2026$0.48-14%
Q1 2026$0.57+338%
Q4 2025$0.36-46%
Q3 2025$0.39-46%
Q2 2025$0.56-38%
Q1 2025$0.13-91%
Q4 2024$0.67-57%
Q3 2024$0.72-56%

OCSL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.48 over the past year, against $7.24 in early 2021.

OCSL Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$32.8M-32%
Q1 2022$25.6M-74%
Q4 2021$51.5M-30%
Q3 2021$48M-39%
Q2 2021$59.2M-54%
Q4 2020$73.7M+168%
Q3 2020$78.3M+227%

OCSL's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $33M last quarter, down 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

OCSL Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $244MQ4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: −$60MQ3 2024: $96MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: −$83MQ1 2026: $131MQ2 2026: $58M
Q3 2023: $244MQ4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: −$18MQ2 2024: −$60MQ3 2024: $96MQ4 2024: $144MQ1 2025: $62MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: −$83MQ1 2026: $131MQ2 2026: $58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$57.6M+173%
Q1 2026$130.7M+111%
Q4 2025-$83.5M-158%
Q3 2025$1.3M-99%
Q2 2025$21.1M+$81M
Q1 2025$62M+$79.6M
Q4 2024$144M+12696%
Q3 2024$95.5M-61%

OCSL's free cash flow was $106M over the past year, down 67% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OCSL.

OCSL Total Shares

Q3 2023: 72MQ4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 82MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 82MQ1 2025: 86MQ2 2025: 88MQ3 2025: 86MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 88M
Q3 2023: 72MQ4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 82MQ3 2024: 80MQ4 2024: 82MQ1 2025: 86MQ2 2025: 88MQ3 2025: 86MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years+14%+11M shares
5 years+47%+28M shares
Available history+87%+41.1M shares

OCSL has 88M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

OCSL Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202238.9xHigh
Q2 202224.2xHigh
Q1 20229.4xHigh
Q4 20215.8xHigh
Q3 20215.2xHigh
Q2 20213.7xElevated
Q1 20213.1xElevated
Q4 20202.7xModerate

OCSL's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OCSL.

OCSL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.4Neutral
Stochastic50.3Neutral

OCSL's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

OCSL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricOCSLSector medianRelative
PE25x13x95% above
PE %756312 pts above

OCSL is trading at 25x earnings, a 95% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

OCSL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.91.9% above
20 week MA$12.30.8% below
50 week MA$12.20.4% below
100 week MA$13.38.5% below
200 week MA$16.124% below

OCSL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 24% below its 200-week average.

OCSL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.4$16.7+1.6%
2021$16.7$22.5+35%
2022$22.5$20.6-8.7%
2023$20.6$20.4-0.6%
2024$20.4$15.3-25%
2025$15.3$12.8-16%
2026 YTD$12.8$12.2-4.9%

OCSL has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 4.9% so far in 2026.

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