OCSL
Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation
OCSL's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 25x earnings, above its usual 19x. Analysts expect earnings to decline.
OCSL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Stable | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
OCSL's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OCSL.
OCSL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.8x | $2.79 | -77% |
| Forward | 8.9x | $12.16 | — |
| Fair | 19x | $8.88 | -27% |
| Current | 25x | $12.16 | — |
| Expensive | 34x | $16.42 | +35% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
OCSL's PE is in its expensive range at 25x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.9x, in its cheap range.
OCSL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect OCSL's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.
OCSL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.36 | +184% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.48 | -14% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.57 | +338% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.36 | -46% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.39 | -46% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.56 | -38% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.13 | -91% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.67 | -57% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.72 | -56% |
OCSL's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.48 over the past year, against $7.24 in early 2021.
OCSL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | $32.8M | -32% |
| Q1 2022 | $25.6M | -74% |
| Q4 2021 | $51.5M | -30% |
| Q3 2021 | $48M | -39% |
| Q2 2021 | $59.2M | -54% |
| Q4 2020 | $73.7M | +168% |
| Q3 2020 | $78.3M | +227% |
OCSL's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $33M last quarter, down 32% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | 46% | -31 points |
| Q1 2022 | 56% | -35 points |
| Q4 2021 | 78% | -11 points |
| Q3 2021 | 77% | -13 points |
| Q2 2021 | 82% | -11 points |
| Q1 2021 | 91% | N/A |
| Q4 2020 | 89% | +38 points |
| Q3 2020 | 90% | +30 points |
OCSL's operating margin was 46% last quarter, down 36 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
OCSL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $57.6M | +173% |
| Q1 2026 | $130.7M | +111% |
| Q4 2025 | -$83.5M | -158% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3M | -99% |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1M | +$81M |
| Q1 2025 | $62M | +$79.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $144M | +12696% |
| Q3 2024 | $95.5M | -61% |
OCSL's free cash flow was $106M over the past year, down 67% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OCSL.
OCSL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | 38.9x | High |
| Q2 2022 | 24.2x | High |
| Q1 2022 | 9.4x | High |
| Q4 2021 | 5.8x | High |
| Q3 2021 | 5.2x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2021 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2020 | 2.7x | Moderate |
OCSL's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OCSL.
OCSL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 49.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 50.3 | Neutral |
OCSL's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).
OCSL PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | OCSL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25x | 13x | 95% above |
| PE % | 75 | 63 | 12 pts above |
OCSL is trading at 25x earnings, a 95% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
OCSL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $11.9 | 1.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $12.3 | 0.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $12.2 | 0.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $13.3 | 8.5% below |
| 200 week MA | $16.1 | 24% below |
OCSL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 24% below its 200-week average.
OCSL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $16.4 | $16.7 | +1.6% |
| 2021 | $16.7 | $22.5 | +35% |
| 2022 | $22.5 | $20.6 | -8.7% |
| 2023 | $20.6 | $20.4 | -0.6% |
| 2024 | $20.4 | $15.3 | -25% |
| 2025 | $15.3 | $12.8 | -16% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.8 | $12.2 | -4.9% |
OCSL has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 4.9% so far in 2026.