NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

VCEL

Vericel Corporation

79
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

VCEL has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

VCEL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

VCEL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

VCEL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1360x2721x4081x5441x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1360x2721x4081x5441x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward67x$57.42—
Current88x$57.42—
Cheap106x$68.69+20%
Fair277x$180+214%
Expensive1,180x$767+1236%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VCEL has the edge over NVO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VCEL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

VCEL has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails VCEL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VCEL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$85.30
Downside-16%$47.95

Calculated from the latest close: $57.42 on Nov 12.

VCEL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $3.89 over the past year, up 4.9% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

VCEL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $0.01Q2 2024: $0.02Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.20Q1 2025: $0.05Q2 2025: $0.14Q3 2025: $0.26Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.48Q3 2026: $0.65Forward: $0.86
Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $0.01Q2 2024: $0.02Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.20Q1 2025: $0.05Q2 2025: $0.14Q3 2025: $0.26Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.48Q3 2026: $0.65Forward: $0.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.86+32%
Q3 2026$0.65+150%
Q2 2026$0.48+243%
Q1 2026$0.43+760%
Q4 2025$0.32+60%
Q3 2025$0.26+225%
Q2 2025$0.14+600%
Q1 2025$0.05+400%
Q4 2024$0.20+$0.27

VCEL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.65 over the past year, up 150% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

VCEL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: $68MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $68MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: $85M
Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: $68MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $68MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: $85M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$85.4M+26%
Q2 2026$77.5M+22%
Q1 2026$68.4M+30%
Q4 2025$92.9M+23%
Q3 2025$67.5M+17%
Q2 2025$63.2M+20%
Q1 2025$52.6M+2.6%
Q4 2024$75.4M+16%

VCEL has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

VCEL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $81,000Q3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $16M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $81,000Q3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $16M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$15.7M-19%
Q2 2026$14.3M+17504%
Q1 2026$15.1M+$22.7M
Q4 2025$12.8M+52%
Q3 2025$19.5M+$28.7M
Q2 2025$81K-95%
Q1 2025-$7.6M-$797K
Q4 2024$8.5M+276%

VCEL generated $58M in free cash flow over the past year, up 184% from the year before.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over VCEL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VCEL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 52MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 53M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 52MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 53M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+650K shares
1 year+2%+1.1M shares
3 years+11%+5.3M shares
5 years+13%+6.3M shares
Available history+20%+8.8M shares

VCEL has 53M diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

VCEL Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -57.2xQ2 2024: -42.5xQ3 2024: -13.6xQ4 2024: -7.4xQ1 2025: -18.4xQ2 2025: -8.5xQ3 2025: -5.9xQ4 2025: -4.4xQ1 2026: -3.9xQ2 2026: -4.0xQ3 2026: -3.3x
Q1 2024: -57.2xQ2 2024: -42.5xQ3 2024: -13.6xQ4 2024: -7.4xQ1 2025: -18.4xQ2 2025: -8.5xQ3 2025: -5.9xQ4 2025: -4.4xQ1 2026: -3.9xQ2 2026: -4.0xQ3 2026: -3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-4.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-8.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-18.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-7.4xNet Cash

VCEL has the edge over NVO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

VCEL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI75.1Overbought
Stochastic69.5Neutral

VCEL's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over VCEL on valuation relative to its sector.

VCEL PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricVCELSector medianRelative
PE88x26x242% above
PE %102919 pts below

VCEL is trading at 88x earnings, a 242% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

VCEL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.429% above
20 week MA$43.931% above
50 week MA$39.047% above
100 week MA$41.040% above
200 week MA$40.542% above

VCEL has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

VCEL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.5$29.0+66%
2021$29.0$41.6+44%
2022$41.6$23.8-43%
2023$23.8$35.6+49%
2024$35.6$57.3+61%
2025$57.3$37.7-34%
2026 YTD$37.7$57.4+52%

VCEL has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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