VCEL

Vericel Corporation

79
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation72/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

VCEL's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 88x earnings, about a third of its usual 280x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

VCEL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

VCEL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

VCEL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1360x2721x4081x5441x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1360x2721x4081x5441x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward67x$57.42—
Current88x$57.42—
Cheap106x$68.69+20%
Fair277x$180+214%
Expensive1,180x$767+1236%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VCEL's PE is in its cheap range at 88x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 67x next year's earnings.

VCEL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VCEL, with profitability improving.

VCEL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$85.30
Downside-16%$47.95

Calculated from the latest close: $57.42 on Nov 12.

VCEL's one-year upside scenario is about three times its downside: +49% against −16%.

VCEL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $0.01Q2 2024: $0.02Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.20Q1 2025: $0.05Q2 2025: $0.14Q3 2025: $0.26Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.48Q3 2026: $0.65Forward: $0.86
Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $0.01Q2 2024: $0.02Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.20Q1 2025: $0.05Q2 2025: $0.14Q3 2025: $0.26Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.43Q2 2026: $0.48Q3 2026: $0.65Forward: $0.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.86+32%
Q3 2026$0.65+150%
Q2 2026$0.48+243%
Q1 2026$0.43+760%
Q4 2025$0.32+60%
Q3 2025$0.26+225%
Q2 2025$0.14+600%
Q1 2025$0.05+400%
Q4 2024$0.20+$0.27

VCEL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.65 over the past year, up 150% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

VCEL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: $68MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $68MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: $85M
Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $53MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: $68MQ4 2025: $93MQ1 2026: $68MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: $85M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$85.4M+26%
Q2 2026$77.5M+22%
Q1 2026$68.4M+30%
Q4 2025$92.9M+23%
Q3 2025$67.5M+17%
Q2 2025$63.2M+20%
Q1 2025$52.6M+2.6%
Q4 2024$75.4M+16%

VCEL's revenue has grown year over year for 17 quarters in a row: $85M last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

VCEL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $81,000Q3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $16M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: −$8MQ2 2025: $81,000Q3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $16M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$15.7M-19%
Q2 2026$14.3M+17504%
Q1 2026$15.1M+$22.7M
Q4 2025$12.8M+52%
Q3 2025$19.5M+$28.7M
Q2 2025$81K-95%
Q1 2025-$7.6M-$797K
Q4 2024$8.5M+276%

VCEL generated $58M in free cash flow over the past year, up 184% from the year before.

VCEL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 52MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 53M
Q4 2023: 48MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 52MQ1 2025: 50MQ2 2025: 50MQ3 2025: 52MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 52MQ3 2026: 53M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+650K shares
1 year+2%+1.1M shares
3 years+11%+5.3M shares
5 years+13%+6.3M shares
Available history+20%+8.8M shares

VCEL has 53M diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.

VCEL Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -57.2xQ2 2024: -42.5xQ3 2024: -13.6xQ4 2024: -7.4xQ1 2025: -18.4xQ2 2025: -8.5xQ3 2025: -5.9xQ4 2025: -4.4xQ1 2026: -3.9xQ2 2026: -4.0xQ3 2026: -3.3x
Q1 2024: -57.2xQ2 2024: -42.5xQ3 2024: -13.6xQ4 2024: -7.4xQ1 2025: -18.4xQ2 2025: -8.5xQ3 2025: -5.9xQ4 2025: -4.4xQ1 2026: -3.9xQ2 2026: -4.0xQ3 2026: -3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-4.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-8.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-18.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-7.4xNet Cash

VCEL has more cash than debt.

VCEL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI75.1Overbought
Stochastic69.5Neutral

VCEL's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

VCEL PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricVCELSector medianRelative
PE88x26x242% above
PE %102919 pts below

VCEL is trading at 88x earnings, a 242% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

VCEL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.429% above
20 week MA$43.931% above
50 week MA$39.047% above
100 week MA$41.040% above
200 week MA$40.542% above

VCEL is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 42% above its 200-week average.

VCEL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.5$29.0+66%
2021$29.0$41.6+44%
2022$41.6$23.8-43%
2023$23.8$35.6+49%
2024$35.6$57.3+61%
2025$57.3$37.7-34%
2026 YTD$37.7$57.4+52%

VCEL has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 52% so far in 2026.

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