NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has the edge over OGN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

OGN

Organon & Co.

44
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation25/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

OGN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

OGN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

OGN's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO has the edge over OGN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

OGN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.4x14x19x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.7x9.4x14x19x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.7x$2.88-79%
Forward4x$13.90—
Fair5.6x$4.34-69%
Expensive7.6x$5.86-58%
Current18x$13.90—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OGN's PE is in its expensive range at 18x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 4.0x, in its cheap range.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OGN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect OGN's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OGN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OGN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$19.60
Downside-32%$9.46

Calculated from the latest close: $13.90 on Nov 12.

OGN trails NVO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over OGN on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OGN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.99Q1 2024: $4.08Q2 2024: $3.88Q3 2024: $5.03Q4 2024: $3.33Q1 2025: $2.88Q2 2025: $2.69Q3 2025: $1.92Q4 2025: $0.72Q1 2026: $0.94Q2 2026: $0.78Q3 2026: $0.77Forward: $3.49
Q4 2023: $3.99Q1 2024: $4.08Q2 2024: $3.88Q3 2024: $5.03Q4 2024: $3.33Q1 2025: $2.88Q2 2025: $2.69Q3 2025: $1.92Q4 2025: $0.72Q1 2026: $0.94Q2 2026: $0.78Q3 2026: $0.77Forward: $3.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.49+353%
Q3 2026$0.77-60%
Q2 2026$0.78-71%
Q1 2026$0.94-67%
Q4 2025$0.72-78%
Q3 2025$1.92-62%
Q2 2025$2.69-31%
Q1 2025$2.88-29%
Q4 2024$3.33-17%

OGN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.77 over the past year, against $8.53 in late 2020. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO has the edge over OGN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OGN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B-1.7%
Q2 2026$1.6B-2.3%
Q1 2026$1.5B-3.5%
Q4 2025$1.5B-5.3%
Q3 2025$1.6B+1.3%
Q2 2025$1.6B-0.8%
Q1 2025$1.5B-6.7%
Q4 2024$1.6B-0.4%

OGN's revenue has held roughly level: $1.6B last quarter, down 1.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $7.3B over the past year.

OGN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $318MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $300MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $335MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $181MQ3 2025: $218MQ4 2025: $96MQ1 2026: $188MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $326M
Q4 2023: $318MQ1 2024: $30MQ2 2024: $300MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $335MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $181MQ3 2025: $218MQ4 2025: $96MQ1 2026: $188MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $326M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$326M+50%
Q2 2026$65M-64%
Q1 2026$188M+337%
Q4 2025$96M-71%
Q3 2025$218M+120%
Q2 2025$181M-40%
Q1 2025$43M+43%
Q4 2024$335M+5.3%

OGN still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $675M over the past year.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over OGN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OGN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 256MQ1 2024: 258MQ2 2024: 259MQ3 2024: 260MQ4 2024: 259MQ1 2025: 261MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 261MQ4 2025: 261MQ1 2026: 263MQ2 2026: 270MQ3 2026: 272M
Q4 2023: 256MQ1 2024: 258MQ2 2024: 259MQ3 2024: 260MQ4 2024: 259MQ1 2025: 261MQ2 2025: 260MQ3 2025: 261MQ4 2025: 261MQ1 2026: 263MQ2 2026: 270MQ3 2026: 272M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+1.9M shares
1 year+4.5%+11.7M shares
3 years+6.3%+16M shares
5 years+7.2%+18.2M shares
Available history+7.6%+19.3M shares

OGN has 272M diluted shares, up 4.5% from a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over OGN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

OGN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 10.2xQ2 2024: 10.2xQ3 2024: 8.8xQ4 2024: 8.7xQ1 2025: 10.4xQ2 2025: 10.3xQ3 2025: 9.6xQ4 2025: 13.9xQ1 2026: 10.7xQ2 2026: 11.4xQ3 2026: 10.8x
Q4 2023: 10.2xQ1 2024: 10.2xQ2 2024: 10.2xQ3 2024: 8.8xQ4 2024: 8.7xQ1 2025: 10.4xQ2 2025: 10.3xQ3 2025: 9.6xQ4 2025: 13.9xQ1 2026: 10.7xQ2 2026: 11.4xQ3 2026: 10.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202610.8xHigh
Q2 202611.4xHigh
Q1 202610.7xHigh
Q4 202513.9xHigh
Q3 20259.6xHigh
Q2 202510.3xHigh
Q1 202510.4xHigh
Q4 20248.7xHigh

OGN's net debt is about 11 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 9.6 years a year ago.

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

OGN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.9Overbought
Stochastic99.0Overbought

OGN's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 99 (overbought).

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO has the edge over OGN on valuation relative to its sector.

OGN PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOGNSector medianRelative
PE18x26x30% below
PE %1003763 pts above

OGN is trading at 18x earnings, a 30% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

OGN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.80.7% above
20 week MA$13.71.5% above
50 week MA$11.125% above
100 week MA$11.224% above
200 week MA$15.49.4% below

OGN has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

OGN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$33.3$30.2-9.1%
2022$30.2$27.9-7.6%
2023$27.9$14.4-48%
2024$14.4$15.1+4.4%
2025$15.1$7.18-52%
2026 YTD$7.18$13.9+94%

OGN has the edge over NVO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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